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In the era of electrification and intelligence, new energy vehicles have long become a general trend. In July, the domestic retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles exceeded 50% for the first time.

Faced with this situation, many consumers are curious about what electric cars will look like in five or ten years.

"The tram of the future may be a smart mobile terminal, becoming the entrance and center of the Internet of Everything." "The cockpit inside the car can realize lying mode and social mode." "The perfect smart tram is: it runs online ride-hailing while I am at work, and automatically picks me up after get off work."

In fact, with various car companies and power battery manufacturers competing to layout in the new energy market, the appearance of future electric vehicles has gradually "surfaced".

Future electric vehicles will have food and grass first

When it comes to the future, the word "technology" is naturally indispensable, and an electric car with end-to-end autonomous driving technology will undoubtedly become a "sought-after object" among consumers.

At present, with the continuous innovation of new energy vehicle companies such as Tesla and Xiaopeng in the field of intelligent driving,Autonomous driving is no longer a distant dream, but something that is within reach.

For example, Tesla, as a pioneer in the layout of end-to-end autonomous driving technology, has now entered the v12.5 stage of its FSD technology. It is understood that the parameters of this version have been improved by more than 5 times compared with the old version, and it has been able to fully switch highway and urban intelligent driving to an end-to-end solution.

Xpeng Motors has always emphasized "intelligent driving" since its inception. Its latest intelligent driving system, AI Dimensity system XOS 5.2.0, has successfully achieved end-to-end large-scale mass production.

It is obvious that those who are reaping the benefits of autonomous driving are far more than just the big players who entered the new energy market earliest.

Baidu Apollo launched and operated the "Carrot Run" driverless taxi in Wuhan in July this year.People's perception of existing autonomous driving technology has completely moved from the "laboratory" to daily life.

As of now, Luobo Kuaipao has launched fully unmanned autonomous driving operation services in first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, Guangzhou, and Chongqing.

In August, Huawei launched ADS 3.0, which has achieved end-to-end human-like intelligent driving, which means that the car can basically travel the distance from home to the company without the need for a driver to take over.

Going back 10 years, who would have thought that the “concept” would one day become a reality.

Of course, in the future, it will not be enough for an ideal electric car to just have automatic driving. If it wants to run on the road, it cannot be without electricity. Therefore,The convenience of energy replenishment has also gradually become another upgrade point that consumers expect.

Currently, the most convenient energy replenishment mode on the market is battery swapping, which can directly replace the electric vehicle with a fully charged battery through a battery swap station. The energy replenishment speed not only far exceeds the charging mode, but also can achieve electricity replenishment faster than oil.At the same time, battery replacement also effectively reduces consumers' concerns about battery life and safety.

As one of the earliest car companies to deploy battery swapping, NIO currently adopts the "bottom-mounted" battery swapping method, which can complete the replacement of a power battery in as fast as 3 minutes.

In terms of the layout of charging facilities, NIO has built 23,009 charging piles and 2,480 battery swap stations across the country.According to the official plan of NIO, charging will be available in every county before June 30, 2025, and every county will have a NIO charging station.

One chassis, unlocking hundreds of cars

It should be noted that end-to-end technology and battery swap stations are just appetizers.For future electric vehicles, having a good skateboard chassis is tantamount to successfully unlocking the "Transformers".Bringing unlimited possibilities to tram manufacturing.

What is a skateboard chassis?

In layman's terms, it integrates the battery, motor, electronic control, linear brake and steering components into the chassis in advance to achieve the upper and lower decoupling of the body and chassis. This design can improve the integration and flatness of the vehicle chassis to a certain extent, and the appearance looks more like a skateboard, hence the name "skateboard chassis".

Different from the load-bearing body design of traditional car manufacturing, the emergence of the skateboard chassis is equivalent to preparing the "foundation" for car companies to build cars in advance.The work of the vehicle manufacturer will be much simpler than it is now. It will only need to "lay bricks and build walls" on this existing "foundation" to complete the construction of the upper half of the vehicle.

It is not difficult to imagine that as the skateboard chassis becomes more mature, car companies will have more room for innovation and will be able to launch diversified models more quickly.

One day in the future, perhaps the cars we drive will also be able to support personalized private customization services like shoes, bags, and jewelry.

However, it is a bit superficial to only see this layer.

After all, for car companies, the benefits of having a skateboard chassis are not only to shorten the product development cycle and easily obtain "hundreds of models".Compared with conventional chassis, the biggest advantage of skateboard chassis is that it can improve production efficiency, reduce vehicle manufacturing costs and improve space utilization.

Specifically, the integration of multiple parts makes the production process of models equipped with skateboard chassis simpler, which is conducive to improving production line efficiency and vehicle quality. Of course, in this process, due to the reduction of assembly processes and the number of parts, the manufacturing cost of the vehicle will also be reduced accordingly.

at the same time,A nearly flat chassis helps to maximize the cabin space, successfully resolving the problem of most electric vehicles on the market currently having a generally high or raised bottom platform.

In addition, the full-wire control electronic system used in the skateboard chassis can greatly shorten the vehicle's reaction time. In the case of emergency braking or avoidance, the chassis can quickly make corresponding actions to improve safety. It is understood that the full-wire control electronic system is also equipped with a fault diagnosis function, which can take corresponding isolation and repair measures as soon as the vehicle fails, minimizing the safety impact of the fault on the vehicle.

The 2024 Avita 12, which was launched at the end of March this year, is equipped with CATL's Panshi skateboard chassis. It is reported that this chassis is the world's first pure electric chassis technology solution with ultra-high safety standards.

Specifically, the Panshi skateboard chassis is developed based on the CIIC integrated intelligent chassis and CTC technology, which can absorb more than 80% of the vehicle's collision energy and achieve a 120km/h frontal collision without fire or explosion.

therefore,For consumers, if they can buy an electric car equipped with CATL's skateboard chassis in the future, it will be like adding a "safety lock" to their travel safety.

In the future, buying a tram will be as easy as buying a mobile phone

What do you think the tram of the future will look like?

It’s probably just like the saying goes, “There are a thousand Hamlets in the eyes of a thousand people.”

However, it is foreseeable that as a consumer, you will likely change your electric car as quickly as you change your mobile phone.

Lang Xuehong, deputy secretary general of the China Automobile Dealers Association, said:"The replacement cycle of traditional fuel vehicles is about 6 to 8 years, and the replacement cycle of new energy vehicles is about 3 to 5 years. The iteration frequency of new energy vehicles is approaching that of smartphones."

Tracing back to the phenomenon, it is not difficult to find that the change in consumers' concept of car buying is not only related to the gradual improvement of the level of social and economic development. After all, the price of a car is dozens of times more expensive than that of a mobile phone.

So, how did trams become a “fast-moving consumer product”?

On the one hand, affected by the improvement of intelligent technology and the speed of hardware update, various new energy vehicle companies have continuously upgraded their models. The accelerated replacement cycle of new energy vehicles will inevitably give consumers a feeling that the models in their hands are outdated. On the other hand, the government's old-for-new subsidy policy has also promoted the consumption of new energy vehicles to a certain extent. For example, on August 16, the second round of car old-for-new policy details increased the subsidy for purchasing new energy passenger cars to 20,000 yuan.

Figure/Some details of the second round of old-for-new policy Source/Screenshot of Guangming Daily New Energy View

Xu Xu (pseudonym), born in the 1990s, recently got her new car, Xiaomi SU7. She said that she had driven her last car, Ora Good Cat, for less than a year. "Now it is very convenient to sell old cars and buy new ones. You can do it at the new car store you want to buy. You just need to decide which car to buy, and the store staff will help you with the rest in a one-stop manner."

More than half of the 100 new energy vehicle owners contacted by New Energy View said that"If you want to experience the latest smart technology and hardware, replacing it is the best choice."

Of course, there are also consumers who suggest that buying a car should be done according to one's actual needs and financial conditions.

In this situation,In order to help the automotive market usher in a new era as soon as possible, various power battery manufacturers are also stepping up research and development and upgrading of batteries.

It is understood that most of the on-board power batteries on the market are liquid lithium-ion batteries, mainly including ternary lithium and lithium iron phosphate. Due to the limitations of the liquid form, they are prone to leakage and even fire during overcharging, overdischarging or collision. At the same time, the electrolytes and materials of some liquid batteries may contain toxic substances, posing a potential risk of environmental pollution.

In comparison,Solid-state batteries have higher energy density, greater thermal stability, and are less prone to spontaneous combustion or explosion.At the same time, since the interface resistance between the electrode and the electrolyte of the solid-state battery is relatively small, its charging speed is also significantly faster than that of the liquid battery.

at present,CATL, the leading Chinese power battery company, has already acted like a "big brother" and has become a pioneer in the field of solid-state batteries. It is expected to achieve small-scale production of all-solid-state batteries by 2027.

Based on this, other power battery manufacturers have followed suit and gradually deployed solid-state batteries.

In the future, what surprises will electric vehicles that integrate four major black technologies: autonomous driving, battery replacement mode, skateboard chassis and solid-state batteries bring us? New Energy View will continue to pay attention.