2024-10-03
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peaceful development and improvement of people's livelihood are better than anything else!
text | haike
shigeru ishiba took office as japan's prime minister. before he could complete the formation of the cabinet, he hurriedly announced that he was preparing to start an "asian version of nato."
but who would have thought that before he finished speaking, indian foreign minister jaishankar expressed his opposition at a sprint speed of 100 meters!
jaishankar pictures: information
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uncle hai didn't know why ishiba was so eager to make the "asian version of nato" remarks.
of course, his predecessor fumio kishida visited the united states before leaving office. before attending the united nations general assembly, he specially participated in the four-way meeting between the united states, japan, india, and australia organized by us president biden.
the four-way meeting between the united states, japan, india and australia seems to be about to bring about an "asian version of nato".
anyway, fumio kishida, as prime minister of japan, attended the meeting together with biden, australian prime minister albanese, and indian prime minister modi. however, uncle hai had analyzed at that time that the four people had different thoughts.biden wants to leave a political legacy.he stated at the time that he hoped that the four-party meeting between the united states, japan, india, and australia could still be held regularly after he leaves office.
the us-japan-india-australia summit was held in the united states not long ago
in fact, what fumio kishida understood most at the time was that he was about to "end get out of class", that is, he would no longer serve as the prime minister of japan starting from october 1.therefore, what he cares more about is whether he can fulfill his duties while in office, go to the united states to participate in the four-party meeting, and then participate in the united nations general assembly.
as for australian prime minister albanese, he is also considering whether he can be re-elected.only by being re-elected can there be further progress, such as contacting the united states, japan, and india on the quad meeting mechanism, such as wooing new zealand to also participate in "ocus", that is, the trilateral security mechanism of the united states, britain, and australia is "increased" to become the quad security. mechanism. of course, it should also be noted that albanese’s understanding of relations with china is much wiser and more pragmatic than his predecessor morris. thinking from this perspective, he must have unique perspectives and considerations in leading australia's participation and participation in the quad mechanism of the united states, japan, india, and australia and "ocus".
in india, modi has just been re-elected and is actually the most secure in diaoyutai.whether modi is involved in the united states, japan, india, and australia, or whether he claims to be involved in the so-called "indo-pacific" strategy, it is all out of consideration for safeguarding india's interests.
may as well take a lookshigeru ishibaif thejapan self-defense forcessending troops to station on u.s. soil, specifically guam. the reason he gave was that "the united states is in decline."
i really don’t know if ishiba shigeru’s words exposed japan’s strength in advance - if japan really has strength, it is still just a rumor.
anyway, in the few days since he came to power, the united states seems to have ignored his remarks.
it seems that it is completely nonsense, no matter who it is mentioned, the person being mentioned is completely indifferent——
japan's self-defense forces "garrisoning" troops in the united states? such words certainly lack common sense. after all, the self-defense forces cannot be considered an army. japan's constitution stipulates that it is not allowed to have an army.
as for whether the united states has declined enough to need japan's protection, i think biden is too lazy to address this topic. the next us president, whether trump or harris, will definitely give a clear answer to japan.
although mars collided with the earth in the debate between trump and harris, there was consensus on some issues
uncle hai estimates:
then trump will inevitably hope that japan will pay more "protection fees";
harris would like japan to do more errands.
but just like when biden went to the hiroshima peace memorial museum in the past and did not forget to expressly carry a nuclear suitcase, the united states will always knock japan from time to time to let him know who he is.
2
as for india, even in its "indo-pacific" strategy, it is actually different from the united states, which often talks about "indo-pacific".
for politicians in the united states and india, it is easy to understand that each has its own master.
as quoted by reuters, jaishankar said at an event at the carnegie endowment for international peace in washington:
unlike japan, india has never been a treaty ally of another country.
asked about ishiba's vision, jaishankar said: "we are not thinking about that kind of strategic architecture."
he also said we have "different histories and different approaches to things."
uncle hai would like to say that even during world war ii, india was generally not ravaged by japanese imperialist aggression. this is different from china, and also different from the united states and australia. it is rare for jaishankar to have such an understanding that india and japan have different histories and different ways of dealing with problems.
under this circumstance, it has to be said that although the four-party mechanism of the united states, japan, india, and australia exists, even if this mechanism still exists in the "post-biden era" and the leaders of the four countries still meet regularly, it may not become an "asian version of nato."
what's more, when it was revealed not long ago that the nato office in tokyo would be opened, france expressed opposition. later, the united states had to come forward and claim that now is not the time for the north atlantic treaty organization to set up an office in japan.
juliana smith, the u.s. permanent representative to the north atlantic treaty organization, was interviewed by japan broadcasting corporation (nhk) on may 3 and made it clear that it is currently impossible for nato to establish an office in japan.
this is really interesting. the united states does not follow japan on nato-related issues. instead, it must fully respect the opinions of france, which withdrew from nato during the de gaulle era and later returned to nato.
japan should understand its role and should not be so high-profile. with such a high profile, no one would pay attention to him. as a senior japanese politician, shigeru ishiba should understand this.
3
where is the asia-pacific going?
from the perspective of today’s world, the conflict between russia and ukraine,palestinian-israeli conflict, and even the lebanese-israeli conflict, watching it makes people feel like wars are breaking out in many places.
iran retaliated by firing nearly 200 missiles at israel.israelprime minister benjamin netanyahu said he would make iran pay. all this makes people feel that peace has become a luxury in some places.
but in asia-pacific, this is not the case.
although there are all kinds of ups and downs, it is generally within the scope of peace.
why?
i always feel that the japanese political circles should fully reflect——
are you fully aware of past war crimes?
are you doing anything conducive to peace in the asia-pacific?
does it take into account the feelings of people in the asia-pacific region, including the japanese people, and the people in the indian subcontinent?
if even india has made it clear that it will not follow japan in building an "asian version of nato", japan should think about it——
where is the north atlantic?
don't talk about "foreign style and soul". on the pacific, what is needed is——
peace.
shigeru ishiba was elected president of the liberal democratic party of japan and later took over as prime minister of japan
it would be best for japanese politicians to give everyone peace of mind. less useless fancy words. peaceful development and improvement of people's livelihood are better than anything else!