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determined to avoid detours, young americans are abandoning college degrees and flocking to vocational schools

2024-09-11

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highlights    in the past two years, the number of students enrolled in career-focused community colleges in the united states has surged. young families put aside their pride and the "white-collar halo" and are more willing to let their children learn a craft. is this phenomenon simply due to the "cost-effectiveness" concerns caused by the economic downturn? will our social concepts also usher in a similar change?


text丨zhang nan edited by keguan


for decades, american high school students have been told to "go to college, get a diploma, and find a good job," which seems to be the golden rule to success. but with soaring college tuition, mounting student loans and a turbulent job market, people are increasingly skeptical of this path.


data from payroll provider adp shows that in recent months, job postings for positions requiring a bachelor's degree have been lower than in 2019. more and more young people are attracted by the prospect of high-paying careers.shift to technical workthese careers offer job security and do not require taking on huge debt to get trained.


enrollment in career-focused community colleges in the u.s. grew 16% last year to its highest level since 2018. that’s nearly 30,000 more students than before the pandemic.


screenshot from the movie boyhood


abandoning undergraduate studies and going straight to technical schools. across the ocean, young people in the united states are also "taking off kong yiji's long gown".


chinese families can relate to the academic contempt chain. the path of attending a prestigious school, getting a high diploma, and finding a high-paying job is also deeply ingrained in our minds.


but,is university the only path to career success?

the halo of academic qualifications fades

the rise of skills education

most american kids of generation z take it for granted that they will go to college and get a degree after graduating from high school.


but today, faced with overwhelming student debt, job difficulties, and political intolerance on campus, “college for everyone”that consensus is crumbling.


the latest data from the u.s. department of labor shows that the college enrollment rate of high school graduates aged 16 to 24 in the united states has dropped from 66.2% on the eve of the outbreak in 2019 to 61.4% last year. in 2009, this proportion reached a peak of 70.1%.


the story of “university going to college” no longer works.


screenshot from the movie "talented"


in sharp contrast,community colleges that focus on vocational courses have bucked the trend and become a popular choice for more and more families.


community colleges with a focus on career programs saw a 16% increase in enrollment in fall 2023. the number of students studying construction trades grew 23%, while the number of students studying hvac and vehicle maintenance and repair programs grew 7%.


community colleges in the united states can be divided into two categories:


one is to focus on vocational courses, this type of colleges and universities focuses on a "short, flat and fast" approach, with training courses targeted at specific occupations;


the other is to focus on transfer, as a springboard to four-year colleges, notable examples include santa monica college, which sent 1,086 students into the university of california system in the 2022-23 academic year alone.


growth only occurs in the firstthe number of new students enrolled in the second category of colleges and universities has decreased by more than 500,000 compared to before the epidemic.


after a thorough investigation, it is clear that american students disdain four-year college degrees.


screenshot from the movie boyhood


gallup polls show that over the past decade, the percentage of americans who feel confident about higher education has dropped from 57% to 36%. two-thirds of high school students believe they are doing just fine without a college degree.

screenshot of wsj report


ultimately, the biggest reason is cost-effectiveness.


according to the college board's trends in college pricing and student aid report, average tuition for in-state students at public colleges and universities in the 2023-24 academic year is about $11,260 per year, while out-of-state students will pay about $29,150.


at private schools, that number jumps to about $41,540. that doesn't include housing, textbooks or other basic expenses, so the total cost of college can be much higher than that.


the cost of community colleges is much lower. if you choose a two-year public college in the state, the average total cost for two years is about $20,000. some vocational and technical schools that cooperate with unions and companies will also share part of the cost with future employers.


"high investment, high return" is a phrase that still largely applies to american education today.


in general, it is still a widespread reality that college graduates have higher salaries and greater opportunities for promotion in companies.data from the u.s. bureau of labor statistics show that last year, the median weekly wage for bachelor's degree recipients was $1,493 (about 10,598 yuan), while the median weekly wage for young people who earned an associate's degree from a two-year community college was $1,058 (about 7,510 yuan).


however, the reality is always more complicated than the conclusions on paper. a 2021 report from the georgetown university center on education and the workforce found thatsixteen percent of high school graduates and 28 percent of associate degree holders earn more than half of those with four-year bachelor's degrees.


at the same time, college students face greater financial risks, including having to pay increasingly higher tuition fees, student loans that may take decades to pay off, the possibility of dropping out without a degree, and the possibility of not being able to find a job.


after weighing the pros and cons, the trend of consumption downgrade finally reached education.

put aside your pride and make money


in a report in the wall street journal, an hvac (heating, ventilation and air conditioning) apprentice leonardo told reporters:

he takes eight hours of classes every other week at the union's training center, paid for by the union. he works the rest of the time, making between $24 and $32 an hour, depending on the job. with overtime, he can make $70,000 a year. when he finishes his apprenticeship, he expects to make $132,000 a year. after four years of night school, he expects to make $175,000 a year.

because of the pandemic, leonardo spent a year and a half in high school sitting in front of a computer to take online classes. he was fed up with it and decided not to sit at a desk all day in the future. moreover, after talking to friends and family who went to college, he found that many of them did not earn as much as their parents who worked in blue-collar jobs.


according to the u.s. bureau of labor statistics, last year:

the average annual salary of a construction worker is $57,880 (about 410,000 rmb).


the average annual salary of a carpenter is $61,770 (about 440,000 rmb).


the average annual salary for those engaged in automobile repair and maintenance is us$65,210 (approximately rmb 460,000).


these numbers are already quite competitive in today's american society.

screenshot from the movie boyhood

of course, blue-collar work is not glamorous and is also very hard. high-intensity physical labor is not only hard, but also may bring health risks. while leonardo followed his master to the boiler room of the building, white-collar workers were walking through the bright and open lobby.

but i don't know if it's because of the "class atmosphere" or because i'm too scared of being dominated by the computer screen.many young people no longer take the so-called white-collar halo seriously.another young man who works in welding said,blue-collar work brings a tangible sense of accomplishment.

job vacancies are also a significant factor.google, microsoft and cisco are all laying off employees, but there are many job openings in fields such as construction, manufacturing and warehousing.

this situation is further exacerbated by the development of artificial intelligence tools. according to research by emad mostaque, former ceo of stability ai, he predicts that ai automation will put 300 million full-time jobs at risk.blue-collar jobs may be less affected by generative ai than white-collar jobs.

pearson research found that approximately 30% of white-collar jobs can be performed by generative ai. however, less than 1% of blue-collar jobs can be performed by generative ai.


forbes contributor and author mark c. perna therefore puts forward a point of view: for generation z in the united states, blue-collar jobs may be very suitable for their needs.job stability, high earning potential, not being tied to an office job, and, moreover, the possibility of owning your own business.


the barriers to entry for many blue-collar industries are low: “all you need is a second-hand lawn mower, a rubber broom and a bucket, plus the courage to knock on doors and offer your services.”

the wall street journal also found that on tiktok, there were 500,000 posts under the term #bluecollar from january to april this year, an increase of 64% over the same period in 2023. in addition, the use of the term #electrician increased by 77% year-on-year, and the number of posts with the tags #constructionworker and #mechanic also saw similar growth.
screenshot of wsj report

this lively atmosphere on social media makes blue-collar work look a lot cooler.

what is more worth mentioning is the change in parents' attitudes.

although many blue-collar jobs in western countries have high salaries, many middle-class families still prefer to send their children to college to get a degree. gene marks, an american writer and freelance writer, pointed out sharply, "this is our parents' fault. our self-esteem is too strong and our self-confidence is too low."

he recalled that he spent a lot of money to send his three children to college, but in the end, the children spent more time at home or drinking beer than in the classroom. he complained that the tuition was too high and he knew that those courses would not be of much help to his children's future work., but when he thought about his middle-class friends knowing that his children went to community college and technical school, he had only one thought: "what a shame!"

screenshot from the movie "admission notice"

but in this situation now, parents have come to terms with it.

gallup's survey found that nearly half of parents said that even if there were no financial or other obstacles, they would definitely not be willing to send their children to a four-year college after high school graduation. instead of sitting on the "cold bench" in an ivory tower for four years, it is better to go to a community college to learn "hot skills" for two years.


in june this year, intelligent, an american college preparatory company, conducted an online survey of 750 american business leaders on their views on college degrees. the results showed that one-third of american companies have eliminated the bachelor's degree requirement in recruitment, and another 25% of companies said:by 2025, the bachelor's degree requirement will be eliminated from job postings.


screenshot of wsj report


the federal government and several states have also eliminated degree requirements for many government jobs, and major companies including microsoft, ibm, and deloitte have also taken the same step.they want real skills more than a certain number of years of experience or a college degree.


the value of a university degree, already controversial, is now under threat.

arthur levine, president emeritus of columbia teachers college and author of the great upheaval: the past, present, and uncertain future of higher education, talked about the great changes in education after the industrial revolution:


at that time, it was the rapid transformation of the socioeconomic structure that developed higher education into a vast system of community colleges, land-grant universities, and graduate schools.


but for today’s high school students, the situation is much tougher. the same massive economic upheaval has arrived, but new educational options have not yet emerged.


he said, “whatever happens next, it’s too late for them.”


to be fair, universities are not indifferent.


some universities have combined dozens of majors in different fields, such as computer science and english;


some universities have made a commitment to give every student the opportunity to intern at a partner company or participate in a learning program;


some universities are also strengthening career research by having their professors lead special research teams to understand the latest talent needs of companies.


but the existential crisis arrived before the reforms took effect. according to the association of state higher education administrators,more than 500 private, nonprofit four-year colleges have closed in the past decade, triple the number from the previous decade.


the overall reform is slow and sluggish, and ordinary families have to actively look for alternatives.


01

two-year community college


a two-year community college is a type of college that offers shorter program durations, more concise, relevant, and practical courses than a four-year university, and provides additional value to students compared to going directly to work after high school graduation.


according to the center on education and the workforce at georgetown university, workers with only a high school diploma earn an average of $1.6 million over their lifetime, while workers with an associate's degree earn an average of $2 million.

02

career and technical education programs


there are also career and technical education programs that focus on training students for careers such as auto repair, electrical wiring and welding. some of these programs are offered by community colleges, and some are run by for-profit schools. cheaper and faster, they only give you a skills certificate after graduation, not an associate's degree.



03

apprenticeship


in addition, apprenticeships are becoming an alternative for more and more families. such opportunities are usually provided by employers or program sponsors (such as unions). apprentices work in their chosen field and then learn through practical operation while receiving classroom instruction. according to data from the federal government and the urban institute, a think tank in washington, d.c., the number of apprenticeships has increased by more than 50% in the past year.


interestingly, apprenticeships have traditionally been offered in trades such as construction and mechanics.but now, it is becoming increasingly common in white-collar industries such as banking, insurance and cybersecurity.


04

certificate programs


certificate programs are also a viable option. since google partnered with more than 100 community colleges to offer training for it support jobs, such programs have become more associated with higher-paying jobs in a wider range of fields, from computer programmers and horticulturalists to dental assistants and surgical technicians.


the rise of these alternative college degree programs is a big step for american parents, and it could be a small step in a revolution in american higher education.


stills from the movie "freshman"


for us, these changes are also worth pondering. once upon a time, we sent our children to college, as if we had accomplished a great mission. but is that the success of education?


in any case, one indisputable fact is that the nature of education is undergoing profound changes.


in this era of uncertainty, perhaps the most important thing is not which path to choose;keep an open and adaptable mindset, keep learning and growing


after all, in this ever-changing world, the only constant is change itself.


(swipe up and down to browse)

 

1. The Wall Street Journal: He Skipped College to Become a Repairman. He’s On His Way to $175,000 a Year, Te-Ping Chen, Aug 2, 2024


2. The Wall Street Journal: Gen Z Plumbers and Construction Workers Are Making #BlueCollar Cool, Te-Ping Chen, June 9, 2024


3. The Wall Street Journal: Why Americans Have Lost Faith in the Value of College, Douglas Belkin, Jan 19, 2024


4. The Wall Street Journal: More High-School Grads Forgo College in Hot Labor Market, Harriet Torry, May 29, 2023


5. The Wall Street Journal: How Gen Z Is Becoming the Toolbelt Generation, Te-Ping Chen, April 1, 2024


6. Forbes: Credentials Over Credits: Why Students Aren’t Buying What Universities AreSelling,Mark C. Perna, May 21, 2024


7. Inside Higher Ed: Upskilling, Reskilling or Retiring: Responding to the Advent of AI, Ray Schroeder, August 29, 2024


8. The 74: Job Focused Community College Programs Grow — But Grim Transfer Trend Continues, Joshua Bay, March 5, 2024


9. The Guardian: Gen-Z students are choosing a trade over college. That shows they’re smart, Gene Marks, May 19, 2024


10.U.S.News: Alternatives to College: What to Know, Cole Claybourn, Jan 3, 2024

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