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Recently, vegetable prices have continued to rise in many places. According to the national wholesale price data of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, from June 16 to August 15, the daily price of vegetables in China rose from 4.27 yuan/kg to 6.01 yuan/kg, an increase of 40.7%. Experts analyzed that the recent rise in vegetable prices is the result of the combined effect of multiple factors.

In terms of weekly prices, vegetable prices reached 4.91 yuan/kg in the 30th week of this year (July 22 to 28), the highest level in the same period in the past 10 years.

Kong Fantao, deputy director of the Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, analyzed that based on the rules of previous years, vegetable prices have shown seasonal fluctuations. Generally, from mid-June, vegetable prices enter an upward channel, reaching a high point in early September, and then turn into a downward channel. The main reason is that the high temperature in summer is not conducive to the growth of vegetables, resulting in a relatively insufficient market supply and a "summer slack" phenomenon in vegetable production.

The abnormal weather this summer has had a certain impact on the growth and circulation of vegetables. This summer, my country has generally experienced more rainfall, with severe convective weather such as heavy rain, thunderstorms and gale force winds in many places such as Hunan, Shandong, Sichuan and Anhui, resulting in a decrease in vegetable production. The rainfall caused muddy or damaged roads in vegetable fields, which also affected the harvesting, transportation and listing of vegetables, resulting in tight supply in some vegetable markets and rising prices.

In May and June this year, due to factors such as the expansion of vegetable acreage, overproduction and overlapping listings, some vegetable varieties experienced regional and temporary sluggish sales, which reduced vegetable farmers' expected profits and dampened the enthusiasm of some farmers. In some places, there was a phenomenon of premature pulling out of seedlings, abandoning management and abandoning harvesting.

Looking ahead to the market, industry experts said that although vegetable prices will continue to rise seasonally in the short term, the room for growth is limited. After early September, vegetable prices will enter a seasonal downward range. "Neither the field area nor the weather supports continued high vegetable prices," said An Min, assistant researcher at the Institute of Agricultural Information of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. According to the forecast of the National Climate Center, in September, except for the western part of Northeast China, eastern Inner Mongolia, southern China, and southern Southwest China, the temperature in the rest of the country will be higher than the same period of previous years, and the production and supply of vegetables will be guaranteed. (Huang Junyi)

(Economic Daily)