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russia's "nuclear red line" is here. russian foreign minister lavrov warned that if the west allows ukraine to use western missiles to attack russia, it is "playing with fire", and stressed that if world war iii breaks out, it will not be limited to europe. lavrov added that russia is clarifying relevant nuclear theories. it is worth noting that the west is currently "talking about nuclear fear". previously, ukraine has been trying its best to lobby the united states and other western countries to agree to it using western weapons to attack russia. however, judging from lavrov's statement, it is estimated that the united states will not agree to zelensky's request, because they cannot take any nuclear risks, and no one can afford to gamble.

lavrov's warning is here. this time it involves nuclear war, not a joke.

according to reuters, since ukraine raided kursk and occupied parts of the state, the west, especially the leaders of the western bloc such as the united states and germany, has been cautiously optimistic because they are worried that putin will use nuclear weapons. in the autumn of 2022, when the russian army was in a disadvantageous situation and suffered heavy casualties, and was beaten by the ukrainian army and lost kharkiv, the west was very worried that putin would use nuclear weapons on the ukrainian battlefield. at the beginning of this year, after macron made a statement that he did not rule out sending troops to the ukrainian battlefield, putin's nuclear deterrence came again. however, as the remarks of "sending troops to ukraine" faded, the "nuclear crisis" hidden in the ukrainian battlefield gradually disappeared.

but after the ukrainian army raided the russian mainland and occupied a piece of territory in russia, the west's "nuclear concerns" came back. now the west has been watching putin's remarks.

it is worth noting that on august 27, lavrov issued a vague nuclear warning to the west: if the west considers relaxing restrictions on ukraine's use of foreign-supplied weapons, it will lead to an escalation of the conflict and trigger a global disaster. what does this mean?

as we all know, the russian-ukrainian conflict is limited to russia and ukraine. from a geographical perspective, lavrov's "global disaster" does not rule out the possibility of the conflict expanding. under what circumstances will this conflict spill over from a geographical level to the world? obviously, that is a world war.

over the past year, the west has provided ukraine with long-range weapons

lavrov went on to say that the united states cannot regard world war iii as an event limited to europe. "we now confirm once again that this is like a child playing with matches." the deterrent effect of this sentence is even greater. lavrov has issued a clear warning, and he is just short of directly stating that "world war iii will extend to north america."

in the end, it is still about the use of long-range weapons by ukraine. in the past year, the west has broken a "new taboo" on the issue of "aiding ukraine": it has begun to provide long-range weapons to ukraine. for kiev, this is a blessing after a long drought. getting long-range weapons provided by the west means that ukraine's strike range has been improved, which will further threaten russia's rear area.

however, the west put forward a condition when providing long-range weapons to ukraine: these weapons are not allowed to be used in russia. in fact, it is not just long-range weapons. the west also emphasized this point when providing other offensive weapons to ukraine, including fighter jets. their move will completely anger russia and make the latter take risks.

however, with the continuous stalemate of the war and the weak military production capacity of the west, the ukrainian army faces a great disadvantage on the battlefield. in order to reverse the situation, ukraine hopes that the west can relax restrictions and allow ukraine to use these weapons to attack the russian mainland. regarding this, the united states and germany have always been very cautious. the united states dare not "give the green light", and germany is even more determined. no matter how ukraine and other western countries put pressure on it, it will not provide ukraine with "taurus" missiles. scholz was forced into a corner and simply leaked the secret, saying that british and french soldiers were in ukraine to help the ukrainian army operate the missiles they provided.

when it comes to nuclear deterrence, the west dare not take it lightly, nor dare to take risks

the reason why the west is so cautious about relaxing the use of long-range weapons is ultimately because of "nuclear weapons". the biggest magic weapon in russia's hands that can deter the west is nuclear weapons, and the west, especially the united states, cannot afford to take this risk. lavrov's warning this time is serious, and it is estimated that if this warning continues, the united states will probably be more cautious on this issue.