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since hamas politburo chairman haniyeh was assassinated in tehran in july this year, iran has been calling for revenge for haniyeh. however, after two months of shouting, another important armed organization, the lebanese hezbollah, chairman nasrallah was also killed by an israeli aerial bomb along with the senior commander of iran's islamic revolutionary guard corps and the deputy commander of the "quds force", general neil forchan. today, iran can be said to have lost its left and right arms. although public opinion has been talking about how iran will fight back, judging from the current situation, the rules of war have completely changed. does iran still dare to fight back?

in terms of operational efficiency, the israelis are really ruthless. last year, hamas suddenly launched the "aqsa flood" operation, which caught israel off guard. this led israel to begin to strictly purge its intelligence department. after nearly a year, after years of efforts, israel now has a high probability of fully understanding the hezbollah armed forces and the situation in iran. therefore, when haniyeh was assassinated in tehran, the murderer was able to escape unscathed, and israel subsequently launched a major attack on the hezbollah leadership. scale cleaning. through the "bp plane attack", "walkie-talkie attack" and targeted bombing of important figures in hezbollah, the israeli army almost wiped out the entire top leadership of hezbollah.

(in order to kill one person, israel dispatched half a squadron of f-15i fighter jets and dropped 43.58 tons of bombs)

judging from the specific actions of the israeli army, it can be said that it has spent a lot of money. according to reports, in order to ensure that nasrallah could be killed, israel dispatched 8 f-15i fighter jets, each of which carried 6 gbus. -31v3 aerial bomb, 8 aircraft carried a total of 48 gbu-31, with a total bomb delivery of 43.58 tons (gbu-31 is a 2000-pound aerial bomb, equivalent to 908 kilograms/piece). you know, when israel launched "operation babylon" in 1981 to blow up the usilak nuclear reactor in iraq, it only dispatched eight f-16 fighter jets, each carrying two 1,000-pound (approximately 454 kilograms) bombs. . in other words, israel only used 16 1,000-pound bombs to blow up a huge nuclear power plant, but dropped 48 2,000-pound bombs to kill one person. how could it be so ruthless?

(israeli “iron dome” air defense system)

the reason why israel dares to be so unscrupulous in the middle east is essentially because israel has more advanced science, technology and weapons and equipment than neighboring arab countries, including iran. when israel dispatched fighter jets to bomb the iranian embassy in syria, iran retaliated: it launched multiple ballistic missiles at israel and also launched a large number of suicide drones. however, 100% of these drones were hit by israeli air defense forces. most of the ballistic missiles were intercepted, and only 1 or 2 of them were finally confirmed to have hit an israeli military base, and they hit the runway, causing no casualties.

(after the bombing of the embassy in syria, iran did launch missiles against israel, but the effect was not good)

it is not difficult to see from this that most of the rockets and missiles launched against israel by iran or hezbollah and other militia groups in lebanon can be intercepted by israel. in this way, israel can basically guarantee the security of its homeland, but at the same time, israel dispatches its air force there was nothing they could do about bombing lebanon and syria. eight israeli fighter jets carried more than 40 tons of bombs and went straight to the lebanese capital, and violently bombed residential areas, just to kill one person. these actions all show that the rules of war have changed. israel has completely ignored the impact of international public opinion and public opinion. it has completely turned into a crazy killing beast, desperate to kill all israel's self-described enemies.

(strictly speaking, iran is not actually afraid of israel, but is afraid of the united states)

faced with the already crazy israel, why has iran not started to teach israel a lesson? in fact, the reason is very simple: israel’s madness does not depend on how strong this country is. you must know that as early as the 2006 lebanese-israeli war, the israeli army had been defeated by the lebanese hezbollah armed forces, and the israeli army had also defeated the lebanese hezbollah forces in gaza. lost to the weaker hamas forces. today's israel defense forces simply cannot defeat hamas and hezbollah, so they can only vent their anger by massacring innocent civilians. but israel has a backer, and that is the united states. for nearly a year, no matter how brutal the israeli army was in gaza, the united states has unconditionally supported israel. this is the root cause of israel's madness - because the united states has taken the blame for israel.

(most of iran’s weapons and equipment are still at the level of the 1980s)

iran is different. although the relationship between iran and china and russia is relatively close, it can never reach the "father-son relationship" like the united states and israel. therefore, if iran is really determined to go head-to-head with israel, who can "cover" iran? ? obviously, no country can give iran a guarantee at present, let alone big countries, which are not willing to give iran a guarantee. after all, there are no relevant interests, so why should they give you a guarantee?

(the only advantage iran has over israel now is probably its missile weapons)

this is the problem. if we talk about iran and israel alone, iran may still have a slight advantage in military production capacity, because many of israel's advanced weapons and equipment are provided by the united states. even israel's self-produced weapons are indispensable for american chips and other supporting parts. once there is no backer, the country of israel will immediately collapse. after being blocked for so many years, iran has established a part of its independent military industry system and is able to produce some weapons and equipment on its own. so from this perspective, iran even has a slight advantage over israel, but if the united states is added, the situation is very different. the military production capacity and technological level of the united states are completely incomparable to iran, and now the united states is closely protecting israel. this is the fundamental reason why iran has not taken action.

(missiles cannot always be hidden in caves. it only makes sense to take them out and shoot them out.)

in short, if iran really wants to take action against israel, on the one hand, it must overcome the psychological and moral obstacles. it must be more ruthless than israel and cause enough traumatizing blows to israel to truly calm israel down; on the other hand, it must seek support from other major powers in the world. after all, iran alone cannot confront israel supported by the united states.