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nasrallah, the supreme leader of lebanon's hezbollah, was "beheaded" by an israeli airstrike. this ruthless and precise assassination finally forced iran to make a decision. iran's supreme leader ayatollah ali khamenei publicly stated that lebanon will make israel "regret." at the same time, iran has started registration for military recruitment and is preparing to deploy troops to lebanon and the golan heights. just before iran was preparing to integrate the forces of all parties to launch a revenge counterattack, israel acted even more rapidly. multiple sources of information indicate that the israeli army is about to launch ground military operations in lebanon.

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in terms of diplomacy, despite a joint call by the european union, the united states, france and eight other countries for a 21-day ceasefire between israel and lebanon, israeli foreign minister israel katz has clearly rejected the proposal for a ceasefire on the border between israel and lebanon. . at the same time, israel’s wartime cabinet reached a rare consensus to support continued military attacks on lebanon! since september 25, a large number of israeli tanks and armored vehicles have begun to gather at the lebanese-israeli border, and a war is imminent.

israel's military action against lebanon is by no means impulsive, but has been planned for a long time. in the past two weeks, israel first used "fixed-point remote explosions of communication equipment," causing a large number of casualties to members of hezbollah in lebanon and paralyzing their communication network. it also caused chaos in lebanese society and made people panic. since september 21, when hezbollah has not yet recovered, the israeli army has launched intensive air strikes on thousands of ammunition depots and missile launch sites in lebanon, comprehensively weakening the resistance of hezbollah's armed forces. on this basis, the israeli mossad also mastered real-time intelligence about the upcoming meeting of hezbollah in lebanon. the israeli army launched an attack and accurately "beheaded" the top leaders of hezbollah.

obviously, israel's main focus is nato's "hybrid warfare" model. it starts with technological warfare and then uses its air superiority advantage to destroy a series of high-value military targets. the next stage is for ground troops to go to the battlefield. attacking lebanon at this time can be said to be when hezbollah's armed forces are at their weakest and most disordered. according to a picture released by israel, in addition to hezbollah leader nasrallah, including hezbollah rocket and missile force commander qubaisi, radwan force commander aqil, and combat force chief shukur nearly 10 senior leaders of hezbollah, including commander karachi of the southern front and commander sroul of the air command, have been "beheaded" by israel. hezbollah's command system has been basically disintegrated. in addition, previous the "pager explosion" caused a large number of casualties among elite members. today, hezbollah is leaderless and it is difficult to organize an effective defense.

of course, a skinny camel is bigger than a horse. although israel's "combination punch" has severely damaged the vitality of hezbollah's armed forces, hezbollah is different from hamas, which is trapped in gaza. according to assessments by western intelligence agencies, hezbollah is estimated to have about 30,000 active combatants and up to 20,000 reservists, and the number of rockets and missiles it is equipped with is estimated to be 120,000-200,000. since it is a war to protect the country, hezbollah can make full use of the rugged and hilly terrain of southern lebanon to carry out guerrilla operations. at the same time, in the past 18 years, hezbollah has built a large number of tunnels and positions. if it wants to crack this hard nut, israel does not have such good teeth.

it is precisely because of the cruelty of the new round of lebanese-israeli war that western media generally believe that the purpose of the ground offensive that israel may launch is to occupy a piece of land in southern lebanon as a military buffer zone to prevent israel from encountering sudden attacks from the north in the future. . however, southern lebanon is a sad place for israel. in the 2006 military conflict, the israeli army once entered southern lebanon and reached the litani river. the fighting raged for 34 days. however, the israeli army never conquered hezbollah and had to reach a ceasefire agreement after paying a heavy price. nowadays, a new crisis is quietly brewing. we will wait and see whether israel or hezbollah will have the last laugh.