"the market closes as soon as it opens", ren zeping's bold prediction on the a-share market arouses heated discussion
2024-10-06
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on october 4, the well-known economist ren zeping shared an article on social platforms, which quickly attracted widespread attention. he predicted that in the next week, china's a-shares may show an unprecedented scene: all stocks will rise to the limit immediately after opening and remain throughout the day, forming a special situation of "opening and closing".
this conclusion implies the wisdom of holding shares to celebrate the holidays, and it also means that investors may be able to enjoy their leisure in advance.
ren zeping analyzed that behind this rare market phenomenon, it may be the result of the combined efforts of many factors. these include the effective easing of china’s real estate bubble, the significant reduction in financial market leverage, and the positive effect of the federal reserve’s interest rate cut cycle on the global economy. against this background, he believes that now is an excellent opportunity for the government to implement strong economic incentive policies and enhance market confidence.
the remarks sparked heated debate on the internet. some netizens jokingly questioned whether ren zeping's prediction was too optimistic, and even ridiculed whether he was too "confident." other voices believe that this is an "afterthought" and worry that the market should not be the subject of random speculation, emphasizing that stock market forecasts need to be cautious to avoid misleading investors.
as for the legal boundaries of ren zeping's bold predictions, although our country's laws do not prohibit individuals from expressing their opinions on the stock market, the securities law strictly prohibits the spread of false or misleading information and disrupts the order of the securities market. if his remarks are proven to be based on misinformation or intentionally misleading, relevant legal provisions may theoretically be violated. at the same time, if it is predicted to cause substantial economic losses, civil compensation may also be involved. however, in practice, it is difficult to prove liability for prediction. unless there is obvious malice or fraud, generally inaccurate predictions do not directly constitute legal liability.
as an economist, ren zeping should abide by professional ethics when expressing his views in public and ensure that his analysis is well-founded. although the financial market is full of variables and expert predictions are not completely accurate, public figures still need to be cautious in their speeches to reduce unnecessary market fluctuations.
