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the israel defense forces issued a statement in the early morning of october 1, local time, saying that the israeli army had begun "limited ground operations" against hezbollah targets in the southern border area of ​​lebanon. how to understand the "limited ground operation" started by the israeli army in southern lebanon? how is it different from previous strikes? what impact will it have on the lebanese-israeli conflict situation? let’s take a look at the interpretation provided by niu xinchun, a professor at the china institute of arab studies at ningxia university.

israel begins construction of separation zone on lebanese-israeli border

niu xinchun, a professor at the china institute of arab states at ningxia university: on the 1st, israel announced a limited, partial, and fixed-point ground operation in the lebanese-israeli border area in southern lebanon. so far, the ground operation has taken the form of israel deploying engineering equipment such as armored vehicles and bulldozers under the cover of ground troops.to destroy hezbollah’s military fortifications in the lebanese-israeli border area. so far, there have been no reports of a head-on conflict between israeli ground forces and lebanese hezbollah ground forces, so the current task of israeli soldiers is mainly to destroy lebanese hezbollah facilities, but the actions and goals of the israeli war are likely to expand , the purpose is to attack the lebanese-israeli border areaestablish an isolation zone several kilometers wide, or a buffer zone. in the past year,this is what israel does in gaza, israel established a one-kilometer-wide isolation zone on the border with gaza, and there is a high possibility that israel will do the same on the lebanese-israeli border in the future.

the scale of the war depends on hezbollah's strength and determination to fight back

niu xinchun, a professor at the china institute of arab studies at ningxia university: israel’s current goal is to allow the lebanese hezbollah to retreat 29 kilometers north of the lebanese-israeli border, which is north of the litani river. israel's most ideal goal is to allow hezbollah to compromise and make concessions at the negotiating table after the recent period of military strikes, and to allow hezbollah to retreat through negotiations. butthe dispatch of ground troops now indicates that israel believes that it may be difficult to achieve through negotiation, so israel must use military means. it is impossible for israel to build a 29-kilometer-wide isolation zone, but it is possible to build a two- to three-kilometer-wide isolation zone and completely turn this area into a "no man's land." the purpose is to resolve the threat posed by lebanese hezbollah to israel's northern border in the longer term. whether the war will expand in the future depends on how strong and determined hezbollah still is? if lebanese hezbollah launches a large-scale attack on israeli ground forces in the next few days, then the possibility of the war expanding is very high; if lebanese hezbollah continues to have no major counterattacks as it has in the past ten days, then the israeli isolation zone may it remains.