international observation | the united states and ukraine discuss the "victory plan", but russia does not take it seriously
2024-09-28
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xinhua news agency, washington/moscow, september 26title: the united states and ukraine discuss the "victory plan" but russia does not take it seriously
xinhua news agency reporter deng xianlai jiang youlin
u.s. president biden and visiting ukrainian president zelensky met at the white house on the 26th. the two sides discussed ukraine's "victory plan" for the russia-ukraine conflict. on the same day, the biden administration announced that it would provide more military assistance to ukraine. media and analysts believe that ukraine hopes to obtain more military aid from western countries through the "victory plan" and strengthen their determination to continue aiding ukraine, but this plan lacks novelty and has limited practical significance.
uzbek sales plan
the minutes of the meeting released by the white house on the 26th showed that the "victory plan" discussed by biden and zelensky involved many aspects such as diplomacy, economy and military. the two sides instructed their respective teams to consult closely on next steps.
zelensky has not announced the specific details of the "victory plan" to the outside world. some media reported that this plan involves a series of specific weapons lists for which ukraine requests western assistance, as well as the west's proposal to provide security guarantees to ukraine after the russia-ukraine conflict ends.
this is a photo of a building damaged by a drone explosion in cherkasy oblast, ukraine, on september 10. xinhua news agency
the washington post stated that the "victory plan" includes requesting western countries to improve the strike capabilities of weapons aiding ukraine, and allowing the ukrainian army to use western weapons to strike deep targets in russia. zelensky believes that if the above goals can be achieved before the end of this year, it will be "enough to bring russia to its knees."
yaroslava barbieri, a researcher on russian and eastern european issues at the university of birmingham in the uk, believes that zelensky hopes to strengthen the confidence and determination of western partners to continue to assist ukraine through a "road map" with clear steps, so that ukraine can obtain more to bring in more military aid to break the current stalemate on the battlefield. "zelensky's goal is to make it possible for ukraine to hold diplomatic negotiations (to end the conflict) in 2025 from a position of strength."
however, there are reports that zelensky’s plan did not “dazzle” us officials. the wall street journal reported that senior officials from the united states and european countries who were familiar with the general content of the plan said that the plan was "nothing new" and "did not provide a clear path for ukraine to win."
us increases military aid
before the meeting between the heads of state of the united states and ukraine, the biden administration announced a series of new military assistance plans for ukraine. according to a statement released by the white house on the 26th, biden directed the u.s. department of defense to disburse all remaining aid funds to ukraine before the expiration of his presidential term. he also announced that the united states will use the presidential appropriation power to approve us$5.5 billion in military aid to ukraine, and the us department of defense will provide us$2.4 billion in military aid to ukraine through the "ukrainian security assistance initiative."
statements from the pentagon and the white house show that the list of weapons announced by the united states to aid ukraine includes air-to-ground bombs, "haimas" multiple rocket launcher system adapted ammunition, advanced medium-range air-to-air missiles, "patriot" air defense systems and their ammunition, "joint standoff weapons" glide bombs, etc.
this is a picture of a building damaged in a drone attack in ramenskoye, moscow region, russia, on september 10. published by xinhua news agency (photo by alexander)
the american broadcasting corporation quoted a us official as saying on the 25th that this was the first time that the us had provided "joint standoff weapons" glide bombs to ukraine. according to reports, this bomb can hit targets 70 miles (about 110 kilometers) away and can be launched by f-16 fighter jets from western countries aiding ukraine.
some us media analysts believe that although the us continues to increase military aid, it has not fully achieved the expected goals of zelensky's visit. the washington post said that zelensky hoped to persuade biden to allow ukraine to use us-made weapons to strike deep targets in russia, but biden did not "relent".
analysts believe that the biden administration's cautious attitude is mainly due to concerns that russia may react violently. multiple u.s. media reported that u.s. intelligence agencies assessed that russia would consider the u.s. move to "loosen" restrictions on the use of weapons by ukraine as an important signal of escalation of the conflict, and may use this as a reason to take a series of retaliatory measures, including directly targeting uzbekistan. iran and the houthi armed forces in yemen provide weapons and equipment. other analysts believe that "loosening" restrictions on the use of weapons by ukraine will significantly increase the risk of direct conflict between nato and russia.
russia doesn't care
in russia's view, zelensky's visit to the united states and discussions with the united states on a "victory plan" have no practical significance for resolving the ukraine crisis.
russian presidential press secretary peskov said on the 23rd when talking about ukraine's "victory plan": "there is currently a lot of different information, some of which is contradictory and untrustworthy. we are cautious." he also said that if there is a russia will carefully study the reliable information about the "victory plan".
russian ambassador to the united states antonov pointed out that u.s. government officials have declared time and time again that "ukraine must win" while "taking billions of dollars from the pockets of u.s. taxpayers" to provide ukraine with "a record number of weapons" and ammunition”. he said, "the main result of the united states showing leadership is to further prolong the crisis."
some russian analysts believe that ukraine's "victory plan" is not for russia, but for the united states, in order to obtain more military aid. danyuk, deputy director of the institute of strategic studies and forecasting at the people's friendship university of russia, said that the "victory plan" does not contain any specific proposals that will really help resolve the conflict, which is one of the reasons why the outside world is currently skeptical of the plan.
russian political scientist starikov believes that ukraine proposed the "victory plan" in order to obtain more funds and weapons from western countries for the battlefield and to obtain security guarantees from nato. this is "neither a plan nor a victory. ".
