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the people's party chairman ko wen-je was sentenced to return without bail by the court in the early hours of this morning (2nd) for his involvement in the taipei jinghuacheng case. the morale of the "little grass" (young supporters of the people's party) who had been waiting at the taipei district prosecutors' office was boosted after learning about this. li yongping, a well-known current affairs commentator and former deputy mayor of taipei city, said in an interview that the taipei district prosecutors' office was indeed greedy and impetuous, but it would be too early to say that the people's party had won a great victory.

the prosecution failed early, so the chances of a successful appeal are low?

li yongping mentioned that the taipei district prosecutors office has always been aggressive and likes to handle high-profile cases, thinking that they can rise to prominence and be loved by the top leaders. in the past, when the taipei district prosecutors office handled the "three central cases" of former taiwan leader ma ying-jeou, it also made a "thunderous" scene, as if ma ying-jeou was "unforgivable", but in the end the court still found ma ying-jeou not guilty. li yongping said that the leader of the democratic progressive party caucus in taiwan's public opinion institution, ko chien-ming, had openly clamored in the past that "the taipei district prosecutors office is ours" and that the taipei district prosecutors office was controlled by the democratic progressive party. since the outside world already has such an impression, the prosecutors should be more cautious when handling the ke wenzhe case. now it seems that they are too aggressive, so that ke wenzhe was ruled by the court to be released without bail, and the outside world believes that the prosecutors have failed in advance.

in response to the taipei district prosecutors office stating that prosecutors are currently preparing grounds for appeal against the court ruling and will file an appeal as soon as possible, li yongping believes that although there is no way to speculate on the outcome now, she believes that the prosecutors’ chances of success in the appeal are not high. because the judge must feel that the evidence presented by the prosecutors is weak. in such a short period of time, can the prosecutors really present new evidence to convince the judge? “even if the judge is replaced, there will be a set of logic within the court, and the obstacles and thresholds that prosecutors want to overcome are higher.” she believes that the success rate of getting the judge to change from “return without bail” to “immediate detention and no access to visitors” in a short period of time is not high.

li yongping said that checking the flow of money is actually very slow, involving bank transactions and other links, and it is not something that the prosecutors can simply search the house to find. she also sarcastically said, "not everyone is like (former chairman of the straits exchange foundation of taiwan) zheng wencan, who keeps a lot of cash at home." she believes that the taiwan prosecutors were indeed too hasty in dealing with the ko wen-je incident, especially the key figure in this case, shao xiupei, the former executive secretary of the taipei city urban planning commission and the former chief engineer of the urban development bureau, who was said to have fled for fear of crime. but shao now emphasizes that he only asked for leave, and said that he had never been interviewed by the prosecutors, and was willing to take the initiative to explain the situation. li yongping said that the various actions of the taipei district prosecutors' office really make people shake their heads.

did ke wenzhe win? it’s too early to tell

li yongping emphasized that ko wen-je's return without bail does not mean that the people's party can rest easy. for the jinghuacheng case alone, if it is similar to zheng wencan's situation, it will take several days for the prosecutor to appeal and the court to hold a detention hearing. ko wen-je is involved in many cases. if they all enter the judicial process, not only will he have many battles to fight, but the people's party will also need some time to think about contingency plans if it does not want to be "destroyed." in addition, there is the issue of huang shanshan, a legislator. she was suspended as the general secretary of ko wen-je's campaign due to the false accounting scandal. political donations flowed between the people's party and muko company. whether muko company violated the "political party shall not operate or invest in profit-making businesses" has yet to be dealt with.

li yongping further pointed out that ko wen-je has been on leave for three months, and the people's party cannot be leaderless, and someone must come out to act as party chairman to take charge of the situation. now it seems that huang kuo-chang, the leader of the people's party caucus, a public opinion institution in taiwan, "should have emerged on his own to take control of the situation." the launch of the "little grass" sit-in was also centered on huang kuo-chang, and the leadership naturally formed.

li yongping said that many crises of the people's party were actually "self-destructed" and were triggered by the party's own style problems. for example, there were a lot of messy accounts of political donations, such as internal discord and fighting all day long. however, because the prosecutors were too aggressive this time and took action against ko wen-je without consolidating the evidence, it increased the doubts of the outside world's political manipulation and objectively suppressed the internal disputes and image scandals of the people's party before. "the higher the level of the politician, the greater the political risk." li yongping said that the taipei district prosecutor's office may think that if ko wen-je is quickly pulled down and the people's party is destroyed, it will be able to please the authorities. because for the current leader of taiwan, lai ching-te, what he wants is to move from a "minority regime" to a majority. the prosecutors want to be promoted, but because of this mentality, they are caught by the people's party. she believes that the protests of the "little grass" will more or less put pressure on the judge's psychological evidence, and the court will believe that the evidence presented by the prosecutor should be more principled.(lin jingxian, strait herald reporter in taiwan)