hardcore predictions! how technology will change us in the next 10 years
2024-10-06
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we are living in an era of rapid change, with rapidly developing emerging technologies sneaking into our daily lives and affecting everyone's life.
looking at the new technological terms: will brain-computer interface technology benefit mankind, or is it pandora's box? what is ntf? is it another shocking bubble scam? what will technology do to the world in the next 10 years? the paper invites popular science writer wang ji to talk about how ai affects human life.
click on the picture to ask a question
imagine the next ten years
@pharmacistfu: what is the emerging technology that is most likely to have a profound impact on the next 10 years?
wang jie:in the next ten years, i think it will most likely be ai. after the emergence of large language models, humans opened the most important human-computer interface. nowadays, ai is responsible for prediction and humans are responsible for decision-making. the general trend has begun to emerge. this has a profound impact on all industries. if it is extended to 20 to 30 years, i think it is gene editing, especially embryo editing.
@paperbagrose: will genetic modification technology be realized?
wang jie:nowadays, human beings can edit genes accurately to any base. we can even use "printing" to completely artificially construct a dna molecule and activate it in cells. the real problem now is that we still know very little about what genes do. it's like you know how to modify the drawings. now that you have the j20 drawings, do you know how to change them to make the aircraft perform better?
@阿 shrimp大英雄: will there be any disruptive changes in mobile phones in the next ten years? will all the ai functions be rolled out?
wang jie:mobile phones will definitely continue to make efforts in ai vertical applications. this is because mobile phones, as portable devices, are inherently inconvenient to operate. such equipment is in line with the general principles of human decision-making and ai work, so a large number of ai applications will come to fruition on mobile phones. for example, applications such as beautiful pictures, beautification, and voice recognition have all become mature on mobile phones.
ai assistants will soon take a leap forward. now many mobile phone manufacturers are working hard to build their own ai assistants. this application is actually available on most mobile phones, but most of it is useless. the reason is that before the large model matures, the natural language interface is not easy to use. if the natural language human-machine interface is opened up, then the ai assistant that will benefit the most will be implemented.
in the future, mobile phone ai assistants will be highly personalized, have private memories unique to the owner, and be able to perform many complex cross-application tasks. the improvement of the assistant application level that comes with mobile phones is likely to change the way we use mobile devices again, and will also change the market structure.
popular technology terms at the moment
@just not necessarily: what do you think of the ethical controversies that may arise from human cloning and brain-computer interfaces?
wang jie:human cloning is strictly prohibited. this technology will cause serious ethical disasters and has little practical significance. perhaps the only valuable thing is to cultivate human organs for treatment for the living, but we have many other ways to cultivate human organs.
the application of brain-computer interface is actually very wide. the most typical one is cochlear implant. deaf people wearing cochlear implant receive completely modulated electronic signals. implantable chips for treating epilepsy and chronic pain are also mature brain-computer interface applications.
the so-called ethical issues of brain-computer interface are not a problem when it comes to the real needs of patients. health is more important.
@lindaaa: what exactly is nft? why is the value high? what does it mean to ordinary people?
wang jie:nft is essentially a technical term that can provide proof of ownership, scarcity, liquidity and traceability for digital assets. nft does not necessarily have a high price, and it is of little significance to ordinary people at this stage. i strongly object to investing in nfts, but the sky-high prices for nfts are not a scam. in essence, nft at this stage still belongs to a collection. the essence of collection is to collect "witnesses of a legendary story." just like a piece of broken porcelain, archaeologists regard it as a treasure, but collectors will dismiss it. on the contrary, the priceless blue and white porcelain may not be interesting to archaeologists. nft gives digital assets the opportunity to be given meaning.
@澎湃 netizen fbeinj: what impact will the emergence of artificial meat have on human beings? will it really become a dietary staple in the future?
wang jie:for all mankind, reducing livestock breeding can reduce carbon emissions and release environmental pressure.
we have mastered the technology of industrial production of starch. if we go to the moon for development in the future, the technology for industrialized production of proteins and fats will be indispensable. we cannot hope to launch a cargo spacecraft to transport food to the moon. in addition, it is also important for a country to solve the production and supply problems of sugar, protein and fat on an industrial basis.
whether people eat it or not is one thing, but we need to master this kind of technology.
as for whether it will become a staple food, what people really care about is not artificial meat, but the taste and price of the meat. many foreign artificial meat companies cannot continue to operate because they are obsessed with the technology used to produce meat, which is a bit off track. the correct route is how to provide delicious and nutritious food to the people at a lower cost. to put it bluntly, this is the industrialization of food production. it is not necessary to cultivate meat in a factory. producing safe and tasty prepared dishes is also a good move on the road to food industrialization.
the elderly and technology
@chalk: what do you think about the phenomenon that the elderly are being abandoned by high technology? if the new world is only friendly to young people, the highly educated, and those with good economic conditions, will it cause greater divisions in society?
wang jie:technology products are also products, and if they are products, they must respect business laws. a new technology can become popular only if enough people accept it. this has nothing to do with whether the elderly are abandoned. just like you will find out, why do most clothing stores only buy women's clothing? will it be unfriendly to men? obviously there is no need to worry about this, because it is created by market demand.
as our lifespan increases and fertility rates decrease, aging is inevitable. this is also a market. if there is a market, people will not be forgotten, just like businesses selling health care products always keep an eye on the elderly. in the future, home robots, health monitoring equipment and some new products that can improve the quality of life of the elderly will target the elderly market. by then, it may be the elderly who are most familiar with home robots. society will not be divided because of this.
how to let people in the future have money to spend when they get old, so that the market will always remember the elderly, this is a big question.
"future science and technology explosion", written by wang jie, hebei people's publishing house, hebei science and technology press, populus euphratica culture, august 2024 edition
wang jie x the paper ask
(this article is from the paper. for more original information, please download the “the paper” app)
