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in recent days, the conflict between lebanon and israel has continued to intensify. israel has stepped up ground military operations in lebanon. will the military conflict between lebanon and israel further escalate? in addition, iran has launched retaliatory actions against israel, causing frequent changes in the middle east. what will be the future direction? let’s look at expert analysis.

the lebanese-israeli conflict is heading towards a large-scale escalation

qin tian, ​​deputy director of the middle east institute of the china institutes of contemporary international relations:the lebanese-israeli conflict is developing towards a large-scale escalation. i thinkthere are three main trends in the future:. first,this conflict is developing into a comprehensive war on the ground and in the air.nowisraela large number of ground troops, as well as tanks and other heavy weapons, have been mobilized to the israel-lebanon border, apparently to prepare for the next larger-scale ground operation.

qin tian, ​​deputy director of the middle east institute of the china institutes of contemporary international relations:lebanese hezbollah also said it was ready to fight. between 2012 and 2020,syrian civil war, hezbollah troops entered syria to fight and exercised certain land combat capabilities. future ground operations in southern lebanon willpresented as a relatively tough battle or guerrilla warfare between hezbollah and israela state of.

israel's ground action in lebanon may become long-term

qin tian, ​​deputy director of the middle east institute of the china institute of contemporary international relations: second, the lebanese-israeli conflict may last for a long time.according to the operational goals set by israel, such as attacking some specific targets of hezbollah, clearing some of hezbollah's infrastructure defenses. thesewhat seems like a clear goal is actually very vague.as in the gaza conflict, israel once set a goal of completely destroying hamas, a goal that has not yet been achieved because the goal itself is very vague. likewise for hezbollah, how far will israel go to attack hezbollah targets and how far will it go to clear hezbollah's fortifications? these are difficult to clearly define. from this perspective, the lebanese-israeli conflict will last for a long time.

the conflict between lebanon and israel and the confrontation between iran and israel make the situation in the middle east more difficult and dangerous

qin tian, ​​deputy director of the middle east institute of the china institutes of contemporary international relations:third,this lebanese-israeli conflict will be closely linked to the regional situation, especially the iranian factor.hezbollah has always been regarded by iran as its trump card for regional influence. when hezbollah faces tremendous pressure, especially life-and-death threats, iran will inevitably find ways to protect hezbollah. on the evening of the 1st, iran launched about 200 ballistic missiles towards israel. one of its purposes was that iran hoped to relieve pressure on hezbollah and avenge hezbollah. when iran attacks israel, israel will inevitably increase its hatred of iran and hezbollah. israel will obviously launch attacks on hezbollah with greater intensity to retaliate against iran and force iran to take action and counterattack again, forming an iranian the cycle of retaliation against israel will make the situation in the middle east even more dangerous.

lebanese hezbollah says exchange of fire with israeli ground forces >>

headquarters reporter’s observation丨iran said launching missile attacks on israel will make the situation in the region more complicated >>