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after the sharp rise in a-shares, will investors upgrade their consumption? prices of flights and alcohol on popular long-term outbound travel routes have increased significantly

2024-10-01

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on september 30, a shares continued to surge.

less than half an hour after the market opened in the morning, mr. s suddenly jumped out of the office: "all my selected stocks have reached their limit!"

since september 18, the shanghai composite index has soared 22.79%. a solid technical bull market.

some netizens joked: if your boyfriend is slow to reply to messages today, it may be because he is watching stocks. if no one takes your order, the rider may have gone to open an account. even the piano teacher must always pay attention to the k-line chart when practicing.

data from wind information and great wisdom vip showed that as of the close of the day, the shanghai composite index stood at 3,300 points, up 8.06%, the shenzhen component index rose 10.67%, and the gem index rose 15.36%. the transaction volume in shanghai and shenzhen stock markets exceeded 2.59 trillion yuan, setting a new historical record. both the science and technology innovation 50 and the beijing securities 50 index closed up more than 15%, simultaneously setting a record high, and nearly 40 industry etfs reached their daily limit.

from the perspective of individual stocks, only 8 stocks in the a-list fell, and more than half of the stocks rose by more than 9%; 700 stocks in the shanghai and shenzhen stock markets exceeded the daily limit, and more than 2,700 stocks rose by more than 10%; brokerage stocks broke out collectively, and more than 40 stocks rose by the daily limit. .

changlian technology (301618.sz), which was listed on this day, not only became the stock with the highest gain on the day with a rise of 1703.98%, but also set a record for the largest single-day gain on the first day of listing of a new stock this year. the issue price of changlian technology was 21.12 yuan/share. it opened at 99 yuan/share that day, rose to a maximum of 408 yuan/share during the session, and closed at 381 yuan/share. if one lottery is calculated as 500 shares, the investor who won the lottery will make a profit of about 179,900 yuan by holding the stock until the closing.

"the rise of the stock market is more useful than consumer coupons"

on september 30, topics about a-shares dominated the hot searches on various social platforms and short video platforms.

the news that "a stock investor made 520,000 yuan early in the morning" spread throughout the streets and stayed on weibo's hot search for 9 hours, which is twice as long as the stock market trading time.

it seems that after the market closed, there were still a group of investors gathering at the "stock market corner" in shanghai's people's square, savoring the grandeur of the big a-shares.

an "old stock investor" at the "stock market corner" was in disbelief: "i have been trading stocks since i bought subscription tickets, and i have never seen a situation like this."

in fact, this round of a-shares has risen for 9 consecutive trading days since september 18th. since the close of trading on september 18, the shanghai composite index has risen by approximately 22.79%. many investors have become "confident in spending" because of the continuous rise in the stock market.

ms. g, who made an appointment at the shanghai limited-time experience store of jellycat cafe, a top-notch brand in the toy industry, complained about the price list of a limited-edition product by netizen reuters for a few days. she said, "it's still okay" because of the rise in a-shares for several days. buy some”.

in the end, ms. g spent a total of 3,251 yuan to “win” 9 products. "in addition to bringing some for friends, i originally planned to sell some of them, but now i keep them all for myself," said ms. g.

ms. f, who had not yet decided on her national day itinerary, also "quickly" booked air tickets and hotels for her trip on september 26, after the stock market rose. "i had never found a suitable place nearby, but then my colleague recommended dongshan, and i made a reservation early the next morning." ms. f said, "the stock market has gone up, and when i saw the price increase in hotels, i thought it was okay."

the paper (www.thepaper.cn) reported on september 28 that as a-shares continued to rise last week (september 23 to september 27), many investors who were planning to "sit at home" during the national day holiday after looking at air tickets and hotels, many people who originally planned to travel on a budget have increased their travel budgets. some netizens posted a screenshot of the upgrade and said: "a-shares are so impressive these days, i upgraded my ticket for the day after tomorrow at my own expense..."

some netizens bluntly said that they had planned a family trip to tokyo. they originally planned to give up the "obscenely" expensive hotel and book a b&b instead. after the a-share surge, they "booked an accommodation directly where you can see tokyo tower from the room."

ms. l plans to leave her children to watch table tennis for a few days in november. her husband said that if she goes, he will buy a set of drums. ms. l took a look at her stock account and replied via wechat: whatever you want.

netizens bluntly said: the rising stock market is much more useful than consumer coupons.

judging from the booking data on the qunar platform, on september 27, the number of hotel room nights booked during the national day jumped 19% from the previous day, far exceeding the single-day increase during the national day booking window. industry insiders on online travel platforms said that although hotel bookings will increase rapidly as we enter the last week of the national day countdown, historical data shows that the average single-day increase will generally not exceed 10%. bookings for the three days before national day in 2023 the highest single-day increase was 12%.

coincidentally, tongcheng travel data also shows that in the past week, the popularity of long-term outbound travel bookings during the national day holiday has increased rapidly, and air tickets and hotel prices on popular routes have increased significantly. as of september 30, the prices of air tickets from major domestic cities on the tongcheng travel platform to long-term destinations such as europe, africa, the middle east, and north america have generally increased. the popularity of air ticket bookings for popular destinations has increased by more than 100%. the popularity of bookings has also increased by more than 90%, showing an overall trend of "increasing volume and price". the popularity of hotel bookings in relevant destinations has increased by more than 60% year-on-year, the proportion of consumption in mid-to-high-end hotels has increased, and the average cost has increased by nearly 10% year-on-year.

prior to this, the national day booking data released by many online travel platforms showed that "volume increased and price decreased."

is the "cow" really here?

what's more, the author of the online novel directly "stopped updating": "i have made more than three million in the past few days. it is expected that after the bull market, i will achieve financial freedom. so i will not write this book, and don't worry about it, brothers." ”

although this chapter can no longer be seen after it became a hot search, netizens continue to come here because of its reputation and leave messages on the discussion page. more than 150 of the total 212 discussion posts were people who came to "check in" within two days. netizen.

however, human beings' joys and sorrows are not the same. not everyone has "picked up" money in the "crazy rise" of a-shares.

for example, the aforementioned s man. dubbed a "contrarian indicator" by colleagues, he sold stocks before the big rally. he didn't know it at the time, but the stocks he sold would rise nearly 40% the following week.

"the rise in the past two days has made me panic." many investors said.

ms. a also said, "i don't know whether to leave. i'm afraid of being 'cut off' again, and i'm even more afraid of missing out on the real bull market."

after much deliberation, ms. a finally sold some funds. "the fund has been held for too long. when i come back, i will sell some first. the money in the stocks is not as much as the fund, so i will keep it for now."

"the securities account got its principal back today, but the fund account did not." mr. b even said bluntly in the classmate group: "i have learned a bloody lesson: never buy closed funds, they will always be issued at a high level and then trapped!"

many "timid" investors hurriedly "get out of the car" and cried when they saw that they missed the "100-stock daily limit" on september 30.

more investors have yet to get their money back.

i dare not leave, let alone cover my position.

so, can a shares rise again?

recently, uncle shanghai, who has attracted much attention at the "stock market corner" in shanghai because he was "sure" that the stock market will rise in september, previously asserted that the target for the year is 4165 points.

many old investors in the "stock market corner" have also expressed their belief that this wave of a-shares is really "coming of a bull".

"small points like 4,000 can definitely be reached." old investors have no doubt about this. "nowadays, people who are short are more miserable than those who are stuck."

old investors also said: if you make money now, you will definitely invest it back in the stock market.

jin bailin consulting qin hong pointed out that short-term shocks are inevitable, but they will be regarded as a rare opportunity to get on board by the steady stream of subsequent incremental funds. "so, shocks are inevitable, but they may only be intraday shocks, which will not have a substantial impact on the daily k-line and the current strong retaliatory rebound." qin hong believes that there is still a large amount of incremental buying that can be expected in the future. , on the premise that incremental funds increase positions again, a-shares will also see new volume and energy records, and there will also be new etf growth or transaction records, and there is still room for higher a-share market prices.

let’s wait and see what the market outlook will be like after the national day.