another three senior hezbollah officials were killed by the israeli army! is it going to be a "total war"? the three parties will determine the direction of the situation in the middle east
2024-09-29
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▲on august 6, 2024, in beirut, the capital of lebanon, hezbollah leader nasrallah delivered a televised speech at an event commemorating hezbollah’s senior military commander fuad shukur. according to xinhua news agency
according to reports, a u.s. official familiar with the matter and another senior government official recently revealed that the united states believes that the israeli army may be about to launch a ground attack on lebanon, given that the israeli army is mobilizing troops to the northern border. however, the two officials also emphasized that israel did not appear to have made a final decision on this matter. just before the news of the death of hezbollah leader nasrallah came out, an israeli official also stated that israel did not want to launch a ground offensive against lebanon. according to xinhua news agency, after israel launched an air strike on the headquarters of hezbollah on september 27, public opinion generally believed that israel and hezbollah were in a state of "all-out war". after nasrallah's death, the situation is likely to escalate further.
except nasrallah
three senior hezbollah officials were also killed in the attack
it is reported that in addition to nasrallah, hezbollah southern front commander ali karaki was also killed in the attack.
after nasrallah’s death, the israel defense forces said on september 29 that nabil kaok, a senior member of the lebanese hezbollah central committee, deputy chairman of the hezbollah executive committee and commander of the preventive security forces, died on september 28. killed in air raid.
in addition, the israeli army also announced on september 28 that it had killed hassan khalil yassin, a senior member of the lebanese hezbollah intelligence department, during the attack. the israeli army said that yassin worked closely with hezbollah’s rocket, missile and drone forces. since the outbreak of a new round of palestinian-israeli conflict last year, he directly participated in and planned attacks against israel and planned attacks in the coming days. more attacks to be carried out.
according to the israeli army, yassin leads an intelligence task force whose main task is to identify and locate military and civilian locations in israel as targets for attacks. lebanese hezbollah has yet to respond.
▲thick smoke produced after the israeli army bombed the southern suburbs of beirut, the capital of lebanon, taken in the early morning of september 28, 2024. according to xinhua news agency
is it going to be a "total war"?
the three parties will roughly determine the direction of the situation
according to xinhua news agency citing israeli media, israel and hezbollah have now turned into a full-scale war, and no one knows how the war will end. the media warned that nasrallah's death may plunge the region into a wider and more destructive conflict, which may drag iran and the united states into it.
according to the report, how the situation in the middle east develops next depends on the actions of hezbollah, iran and israel.
▲nasrallah’s death will not only have a huge impact on hezbollah, but will also have an impact on iran and even the entire “resistance axis” members
mohamed basha, a middle east security analyst in the united states, believes that nasrallah’s death will definitely have a huge impact on hezbollah and “may destabilize the organization and change its political and military strategies in the short term.” however, , this by no means means that hezbollah will give up and compromise immediately. some reports pointed out that israel itself should know when looking back at history that killing the leader of an organization cannot destroy the organization - in 2008, israel bombed the then hezbollah military leader imad mughniyeh in damascus. . in 2004, israel "targeted the killing" of yassin, the spiritual leader of hamas. but nearly 20 years later, hamas and hezbollah are still able to fight.
it is reported that hezbollah has vowed to continue fighting after nasrallah's death. there are already calls within hezbollah to use the missiles in its weapons stockpile as soon as possible to prevent the weapons stockpile from being hit. according to reports, hezbollah’s missiles can hit important israeli cities including tel aviv, and once the organization does so, it may suffer devastating retaliation from israel. by then, lebanon's infrastructure will be severely damaged, and iran, which is behind hezbollah, may also be affected.
for its part, the killing of nasrallah is a clear sign that israel has no intention of suspending its military operations. the israeli military believes that hezbollah is already at a disadvantage, so they should now "pursue the victory" until hezbollah's missile threat is eliminated. media analysts believe that under such circumstances, it will be difficult for the israeli army to achieve this goal (that is, eliminate the threat of hezbollah) without launching a ground offensive in lebanon. but it should be noted that it may be easy for the israeli army to enter lebanon, but it may take several months to withdraw.
red star news reporter li jinrui combined xinhua news agency (cheng shuapeng, li jun and wang zhuolun), cctv news (sun jian)
editor pan li editor-in-chief deng zhaoguang
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