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kmt legislator xie longjie has expressed his intention to participate in the 2026 tainan mayoral election, and said that if elected, he would only serve one term. former legislator guo zhengliang believes that xie longjie's move is a very smart one. he also predicted that if taiwan leader lai qingde lets dpp legislator lin junxian run for tainan mayor, not only will xie's election campaign be easier, but lin's nomination will also trigger a local backlash, increasing xie's chances. however, dpp legislator guo guowen claimed that xie longjie is not the strongest player in the blue camp. taiwanese media person huang yangming bluntly stated that the recent polls have put pressure on the dpp and made guo guowen very nervous.

regarding guo guowen's comment that xie longjie is not the strongest in the blue camp, huang yangming sarcastically said that the democratic progressive party should just run the primary election well, and it is not the democratic progressive party that has the final say on who is the strongest in the kuomintang. otherwise, guo guowen, would you like to comment on who is the strongest in the democratic progressive party in the taipei mayoral election?

huang yangming pointed out that recent polls on tainan and kaohsiung showed that the kmt was not at a disadvantage. in tainan, xie longjie only lost to dpp legislator chen tingfei and was ahead of lin junxian. this made guo guowen very nervous and stressed because he was the chairman of the dpp tainan city party committee, responsible for campaign support, and had to pass the primary election threshold, so he had no reason to be optimistic.

huang yangming believes that these two polls are a warning to the dpp. the poll conducted by the pro-green organization "taiwan public opinion foundation" said that lai qingde could get a satisfaction rate of 47% to 48%, but why can't the green camp's candidates get this number in tainan and kaohsiung? does the dpp's performance in tainan make everyone think that it's time to change parties?

huang yangming said that the kmt does not have the strongest candidate. the reason why xie longjie and ke zhien were arranged as non-district representatives was to run for elections in tainan and kaohsiung. this is like the dpp will also use conscription in taipei and new taipei. the situation of the dpp is not optimistic. there is no general who can crush the blue camp, which was not seen in the past. when han kuo-yu ran for mayor of kaohsiung, chen chi-mai was far ahead at the beginning. now there are still two years before the county and city elections in 2026, but no one is ahead. the dpp is under great pressure.

xie longjie said on the 15th that when lai qingde ran for re-election as mayor of tainan, he said, "we have been planning for the past four years, and tainan will make great progress in the next four years." the democratic progressive party is basically thinking about re-election. therefore, if he is elected as the mayor of tainan, he will only serve one term and start working after being elected, so as not to let tainan waste another four years.

guo zhengliang said on the 18th that he thought xie longjie was "very smart". xie longjie is now most worried about chen tingfei, because if he meets her, it will be difficult to elect. xie longjie is the person who knows lai qingde best. he may have predicted that lai will let lin junxian run for mayor of tainan in 2026, causing a huge backlash in the local area and increasing his chances. in addition, from chen tingfei's perspective, she hopes that she can also run for mayor. now xie has called for only 4 years as mayor, which means that if he is elected mayor, chen tingfei will have a chance after waiting for 4 years. but waiting for lin junxian may take 8 years, so other actions cannot be ruled out.

some public opinion on the island pointed out that xie longjie's appeal was direct, which made the green camp very moved, leading guo guowen to jump out and challenge. however, guo guowen's words not only overstepped the line, but also ignored lai qingde's reminder "don't talk about county and city mayoral elections at this point in time", which may be a sign of a change in the situation.

frankly speaking, guo guowen is also the chairman of the dpp tainan city party committee. it is not appropriate for him to be so "concerned" about the kmt's election. if xie longjie is really not the kmt's strongest player in tainan city, guo guowen should wake up with laughter even in his sleep. why would he remind kmt chairman zhu lilun not to nominate xie longjie, so as not to ruin the kmt's 2028 election? what kind of "good intention" is this?

as we all know, lin junxian and guo guowen are both lai qingde's soldiers. lai qingde dare not confiscate the party's primary election. facing chen tingfei's aggressive approach, the most he can do is to ask at the dpp central standing committee "not to talk about county and city mayoral elections at this point in time." guo guowen's topic is how to maintain a fair primary election mechanism and launch the dpp's strongest candidate to challenge when chen and lin are competing, rather than manipulating who the opponent's camp should push to run for election. if xie longjie is not a strong player in the kuomintang, zhu lilun will definitely find another strong player. the 2026 tainan election is indeed the key to the 2028 taiwan "general election". if zhu lilun really finds a stronger general than xie longjie, then i am afraid that not only guo guowen will have to worry, but even lai qingde will have trouble sleeping.(lin jingxian, strait herald reporter in taiwan)