focus next week丨the federal reserve will announce its interest rate decision, these investment opportunities are the most reliable
2024-09-15
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【breaking news】
the federal reserve will announce its interest rate decision
in the early morning of september 19th, beijing time, the federal reserve will hold an interest rate meeting and announce its interest rate decision.
the market widely expected the first rate cut, but speculation was that the fed would reveal limited information. aditya bhave, a u.s. economist at bank of america, believes that given the uncertainty in the outlook, it is likely that no further content will be obtained on the policy path. however, regardless of the content of the summary of economic projections (sep) and the remarks of fed chairman powell, the data will ultimately guide the policy direction.
according to the latest changes in cme's "fed watch", against the backdrop of a 25 basis point rate cut in september, the market is still wavering between a further 25 basis point or 50 basis point rate cut in november, with probabilities ranging from 40% to 50%.
september lpr will be announced
the central bank will announce the latest lpr on september 20. in august, the one-year lpr was 3.35%, and the lpr for more than five years was 3.85%, both remaining unchanged after being lowered in july.
wen bin, chief economist of china minsheng bank, believes that as the space for monetary policy easing increases, the overall downward shift of the interest rate center, and the need to increase effective market demand, the loan interest rates set by financial institutions are expected to remain in a downward channel, especially the asset repricing effect driven by the lpr reduction has a greater impact; and after the centralized release of the control effect on the liability side, the momentum and progress of the continued downward trend of deposit interest rates may be weakened, which will cause the bank's interest margin to continue to operate under pressure. affected by this, the space for lpr quotation to continue to decline in the short term is limited.
two conferences will be held in shanghai
huawei connect will be held in shanghai from september 19 to 21, with the theme of "win-win industry intelligence". it is reported that the conference will host more than 300 keynote speeches, summits, and forums, with an exhibition area of more than 20,000 square meters, located in the shanghai world expo exhibition and convention center and the shanghai world expo center.
the 2024 world intelligent safety conference will be held in shanghai from september 20 to 21. the conference will focus on topics such as expected functional safety, testing and evaluation, connected collaborative driving, information security, artificial intelligence, etc., and will invite global technology leaders, senior experts and scholars, corporate executives and a large number of scientific and technological workers who are concerned about the safety of autonomous driving to participate.
next week, the restricted shares with a market value of over 26.2 billion yuan will be released
wind data statistics show that next week (september 16th to september 20th), a total of 45 companies' restricted shares will be released one after another. based on the closing price on september 13th, the total market value of the released shares is 26.257 billion yuan.
in terms of the market value of unblocked shares, calculated based on the closing price on september 13, the top three unblocked shares are: centec communications-u (5.152 billion yuan), waifu holdings (3.719 billion yuan), and newway cnc (3.089 billion yuan). in terms of the unblocked shares of individual stocks, the top three unblocked shares are: waifu holdings (894 million shares), chuanfa longmang (386 million shares), and newway cnc (245 million shares).
【new stock opportunities】
there will be 2 new stocks issued next week
wind data shows that there will be two new stocks issued next week, one on the chinext and one on the beijing stock exchange. specifically, tongguan mining construction will be issued on september 18, and changlian technology will be issued on september 19.
(this article comes from china business network)
