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national bureau of statistics: national economy maintained steady growth in august

2024-09-15

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yangcheng evening news all-media reporter chen zeyun wang li
on september 14, the state council information office held a press conference to introduce the national economic operation in august: in august, the national industrial added value above designated size increased by 4.5% year-on-year and 0.32% month-on-month; the national service industry production index increased by 4.6% year-on-year; the total retail sales of consumer goods was 3,872.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%; the total import and export of goods increased by 4.8% year-on-year, and the monthly scale reached a historical high for the same period.
"from the four major indicators we commonly use to judge the macro economy, namely growth, employment, prices, and balance of payments, the overall economic operation is stable. at the same time, transformation and upgrading are steadily advancing, high-quality development continues to achieve new results, and economic operation continues to maintain a stable and progressive development trend." liu aihua, spokesperson, chief economist, and director of the department of comprehensive statistics of the national economy of the national bureau of statistics, pointed out.
industry is expected to continue to maintain a stable development trend
in august, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 4.5% year-on-year and 0.32% month-on-month.
"in august, affected by the higher base of the same period last year, the year-on-year growth rate of industrial added value above designated size fell compared with the previous month. after excluding seasonal factors, the added value of industrial added value above designated size increased by 0.32% month-on-month, continuing to maintain the growth trend." liu aihua pointed out that in terms of growth, in august, among the 31 regions in the country, 25 regions achieved growth in added value, and the growth rate reached 80.6%. among the 41 major industrial sectors, the added value of 32 sectors increased year-on-year, and the growth rate was close to 80%. it is worth noting that the "ballast stone" role of the equipment manufacturing industry continues to be prominent.
"in the next stage, as the effects of macroeconomic policies become apparent, new fields and tracks such as artificial intelligence continue to expand, and the domestic large-scale market and rich scenario application technologies gradually mature, overall, the industry is expected to continue to maintain a stable development trend." liu aihua said.
the potential of the ultra-large-scale market continues to emerge
as production grows, demand continues to expand.
from january to august, the total retail sales of consumer goods and the scale of fixed asset investment were 31.2 trillion yuan and 32.9 trillion yuan respectively, and the potential of the super-large-scale market continued to emerge. in terms of growth rate, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size, the service industry production index, the total retail sales of consumer goods, and the fixed asset investment increased by 5.8%, 4.9%, 3.4%, and 3.4% year-on-year respectively, which was generally stable compared with january-july. all these show that my country's current macroeconomic situation remains basically stable, and the "stable" trend of economic operation has not changed. among them, in august, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 387.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%.
according to liu aihua, at present, driven by the policy of increasing support for the replacement of old consumer goods with new ones, the consumption of some bulk commodities has continued to pick up. data from the ministry of commerce showed that as of august 31, more than 800,000 applications for subsidies for scrapping and replacing automobiles had been received; in august, the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment in units above the designated size turned from decline to growth.
from the perspective of the global market, my country's total import and export of goods increased by 4.8% year-on-year in august, setting a record high for the same period in history. among them, exports increased by 8.4%, 1.9 percentage points faster than the previous month. at the end of august, the balance of foreign exchange reserves increased by us$31.8 billion from the end of the previous month, and has remained above us$3.2 trillion since the beginning of this year. the rmb exchange rate has also shown a stable upward trend.
the urban survey unemployment rate rose slightly
from january to august, the national urban survey unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, down 0.1 percentage point from the same period last year. in august, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.3%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. the survey unemployment rate of local registered labor force was 5.4%; the survey unemployment rate of migrant registered labor force was 4.9%, of which the survey unemployment rate of migrant agricultural registered labor force was 4.6%. the urban survey unemployment rate of 31 major cities was 5.4%. the average weekly working hours of employees in enterprises nationwide was 48.7 hours.
in august, the urban survey unemployment rate of 31 major cities was 5.4%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. the urban survey unemployment rate of the whole country and 31 major cities rose slightly from the previous month. in this regard, liu aihua explained that this was mainly affected by the concentrated departure of college graduates during the graduation season and entering the labor market. liu aihua said that in the next stage, it is necessary to improve the employment support system for key groups such as college graduates, migrant workers, and retired soldiers to consolidate the current stable employment situation.
cpi is expected to rise moderately in the next stage
"judging from the data in august, affected by factors such as high temperature and rainy weather, the national consumer price index (cpi) showed a seasonal increase on a month-on-month basis, and the year-on-year increase expanded compared with the previous month." liu aihua introduced that the cpi in august rose by 0.4% month-on-month, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the previous month; it rose by 0.6% year-on-year, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the previous month.
regarding the trend of cpi in the next stage, liu aihua believes that, in general, food prices will remain stable. in terms of industrial consumer goods, energy prices are affected by international input factors, and downward pressure has increased; other industrial consumer goods are in sufficient supply and prices are expected to remain stable. in terms of service prices, affected by the mid-autumn festival and national day holiday effects, service prices are expected to rise steadily overall. "based on the above factors, the cpi is expected to rise moderately in the next stage." liu aihua said.
the real estate market still has a lot of room for growth
"golden september and silver october" is the traditional peak sales season for the real estate market. how is the current performance of the real estate industry? how effective are the real estate support measures in various regions? what will be the trend in the next stage?
liu aihua said that judging from the main indicators of the real estate market released, some indicators have shown marginal narrowing under the influence of a series of policy measures. from january to august, real estate development investment fell by 10.2%, the same decline as from january to july; commercial housing sales area fell by 18%, the decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points; commercial housing sales fell by 23.6%, the decline narrowed by 0.7 percentage points; the area of ​​new housing construction fell by 22.5%, the decline narrowed by 0.7 percentage points.
"judging from these changes, the current real estate market continues to be in the process of adjustment." liu aihua said that from the perspective of future development, china's urbanization process is continuing to advance, and the new model of real estate development is being accelerated. the real estate market still has great potential and space. we must continue to adhere to the policy of taking measures based on the city, accelerate the implementation of various policies, and promote the real estate market to gradually achieve stable and healthy development, so as to play a role in better meeting the housing needs of the people.
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