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last night's market was like a grand celebration party. the news of europe's interest rate cut seemed to give gold and crude oil a shot in the arm for the extended game. gold prices approached a new high, while crude oil rebounded tenaciously. european and american stock markets were also booming, and the atmosphere on friday was full of expectations and excitement.

in this scene of red, i often fall into thinking - as an investor, how should i view all this? traders keep a close eye on market fluctuations every day, fearing to miss any opportunity to make money, but i prefer to wait and see. it's like walking on a small road, some people are desperately trying to fill the puddle in front, i prefer to take a detour.

it is a well-known fact that the a-share market is not satisfactory. the market seems to be firmly locked by an invisible force. everyone is still anxious about stock selection, technology and operation, as if these can change the status quo. it is better to focus on hong kong stocks and commodities like xiaofan. at this time, it will take several months for the a-share market to bottom out. i would rather be a spectator and wait for the opportunity.

gold, crude oil, and u.s. stocks all rose. is this the trick of the market? interest rate cuts and interest rate hikes alternate, but both can lead to increases. this may reflect a certain underestimation of a-shares. however, the truth keeps emerging: a-shares are generally overvalued, whether blue-chip stocks or theme stocks. many high-quality companies have not seen a significant decline in stock prices in the past two years, and the performance of giants such as banks and power is even more stable. at the same time, those theme stocks that have fallen significantly still hold the illusion of high valuations, and even major shareholders are secretly reducing their holdings.

in this context, i chose a relatively safe investment strategy: moderately allocate a shares, mainly hold broad-based etfs, and try not to directly participate in specific stocks. this is not laziness, but a deep understanding of cognition and experience. many people think that they can dig gold by hard work, but they don’t know that the key to making money lies in understanding the truth of the market.

the arrival of friday may usher in a market of considerable magnitude. the atmosphere of the mid-autumn festival is spreading, and the general rise of the market seems to be quietly brewing. after experiencing a round of sharp decline, the liquor sector is likely to rebound. as an important part of a-shares, the performance of liquor is almost synchronized with the shanghai composite index, especially the operation of the shanghai composite 50 index.

the recovery of liquor can drive the recovery of the overall market. although its cost-effectiveness seems to be no longer high, as long as the overall consumer market is sluggish, how can liquor remain immune? we often worry about the continuation of business activities. business operations seem to be stable, but the economic environment behind them is a big concern.

taking a step back, liquor, as a link of consumption, is the core of all commercial activities. when everyone can make money, or has to support high-end consumption for a living, the market will naturally show some signs.

with liquor and banks falling at the same time, the good days of a-shares may be coming soon. it can be said that retail investors are often not optimistic about liquor, but in reality they can always be saved by its rebound. if you are worried about the market trend, you might as well pray for it to stop falling, because this is a fact. whether you participate or not, as long as you are interested in the changes of the shanghai composite index, the trend of liquor is an important part that cannot be ignored.

at this moment, i am sitting in front of the screen, watching the constantly changing market data, with mixed feelings in my heart. we cannot predict the future market, but i know that staying sober and rational is the best weapon to deal with market fluctuations. it is better to calm down, observe patiently, and wait for the real investment opportunity to come.

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