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as the us, uk and germany increase aid to ukraine, russia continues to break through the western blockade

2024-09-08

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interface news reporter | chen shenglong

interface news editor | liu haichuan

as the us presidential election approaches in november, the relationship between ukraine and the united states is becoming increasingly uncertain, and the ukrainian army's ammunition depot is running out, ukrainian president zelensky has been taking frequent actions.

according to cctv news, on september 6, 2024 local time, the 24th ukrainian defense liaison groupthe meeting was held in germany. zelensky and us and european defense officials attended. western countries expressed their commitment to implement their commitment to support ukraine's air defense. the united states will provide $250 million worth of arms, including armed vehicles, anti-tank weapons, anti-aircraft weapons, and ammunition for rocket systems and artillery; the united kingdom will deliver 650 light multi-purpose missiles by the end of the year; and germany will provide an additional 12 self-propelled howitzers.

after a new round of russia-ukraine conflict broke out in february 2022, the united states and 50 other countries established a long-term mechanism to provide military assistance to ukraine, the "ukrainian defense contact group meeting", and regularly provided the country with financial and weapons system support. as of june this year, a total of nearly us$100 billion in aid had been provided.

on the same day, he met with the u.s. secretary of defenseaustin met withzelenskyhe once again called on western countries to allow them to use long-range weapons to strike russian military targets. austin did not explicitly support this, but said that this approach would not reverse the situation of the war. russia has already carried out targeted deployments, such as moving potential targets out of the range of the u.s. army tactical missile system (atacms).

zelensky will also attend the annual un headquarters meeting before september 10 and meet with us president biden. he has repeatedly called forunited states, united kingdom, france and germanyforlong-range missiles, etc.authorization for the use of offensive weapons to target targets deep inside russian territory,and defend ukraine and protect ukrainians.butwestern countries have consistently refused on the grounds of avoiding civilian casualties and fearing misjudgment and accidents.russian foreign minister lavrov also recently warned the united states not to joke with russia's red lines.

canadadavid marples, a ukrainian studies expert at the university of alberta, told jiemian news that ifif harris, a democrat, is elected president, she will more or less continue the biden administration’s policy of limited aid to ukraine and will not providelong-range missiles, thenthe stalemate will continue for years, but russia will continue to occupy ukrainian territory bit by bit. if trump wins, ukraine may be forced to negotiate and accept conditions that seriously undermine its national sovereignty. neither prospect is very ideal for zelensky, so he hopes to get more commitments at least before biden leaves office in january next year.

earlier this week, the ukrainian government also launched the largest "blood transfusion" since the beginning of 2022, involving half of the cabinet officials, including two deputy prime ministers, the minister of industry in charge of weapons production, and the deputy prime minister.general staffchief of staff, head of the national assets fund, senior officials in agriculture, environment, veterans affairs, etc. among them, foreign minister kuleba, who has a high "presence" in the western media, will be replaced by 49-year-old sibiha, who is also experienced in diplomacy but not very noticeable in public.

analysts believe that ukraine, which is in a wartime state, cannot hold elections, so the authorities hope to stimulate vitality by replacing officials.malpas told jiemian news that under the new situation,zelensky's style is to like changes, and now he wants his officials to be completely loyal so that they can do what he wants, especially in obtaining western weapons support.

andas western countries aid ukraine and strengthen sanctions against russia, russia is activelythe united states is turning to the "east" and the "global south", for example, using the far eastern frontier as a platform to open up direct channels to cater to the major trends in the development of world commerce and trade. on september 5, putin proposed a series of development measures and plans in his speech at the far eastern economic forum, including establishing the first "international advanced development zone" in the primorsky krai and accelerating the relevant bills.

russia will alsothe brics summit will be held in kazan from october 22 to 24. developing countries such as turkey and malaysia have applied to join the brics cooperation mechanism. as a member of nato, turkey's joining will be a great help to the west.it is a geopolitical event that deserves vigilance.

according to public data, under the background of the international criminal court's "arrest warrant", putin has questioned eight countries this year, including belarus, uzbekistan, north korea, vietnam, kazakhstan, azerbaijan and mongolia, exceeding the total number of last year. some analysts said that putin hopes to send a signal on the international stage: the western policy of blocking russia has failed.

earlier this year, countries in the "global south" such as indonesia, india, saudi arabia and the united arab emirates, where russian central bank assets are operated in their countries, declared that they would not follow the western actions and called on other countries to resist western pressure.

ukraine (blue) and russia (pink) claim to control the land. source: cnn screenshot

since the beginning of 2024, the war between russia and ukraine in eastern ukraine has been at a stalemate. on august 6, the ukrainian army unexpectedly invaded kursk oblast in southern russia, and controlled more than 1,300 square kilometers of land as of september 6. the two sides are still engaged in a tug-of-war in the area. this has exposed the weaknesses of russia's military deployment to a certain extent.it was characterized as a "terrorist attack".

on the other hand, the russian army is slowly advancing in eastern ukraine and has stepped up attacks on energy and other infrastructure in major cities. on september 3, the russian army launched two ballistic missiles at a military academy in poltava oblast, killing and injuring at least 322 people, the deadliest attack launched by russia this year. ukraine has also deployed drones to frequently attack multiple energy facilities in russia, threateningthe russian army's supply lines, command system and logistics hub. due to the fierce fighting, the security issues of the zaporizhia nuclear power plant and the kursk nuclear power plant have once again attracted international attention.