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according to reports from reuters, china times and other media on august 31, on friday local time, taiwan’s defense department submitted an "annual threat assessment report" to taiwan’s "legislative department", in which it "sharply commented" on the current situation in the taiwan strait.

(lai ching-te inspects taiwan’s military forces)

in the report, taiwan’s defense department confidently declared that “the pla does not yet have the full capability to attack taiwan island.” in the words of the “transport captain” familiar to military fans, “the advantage lies with me.”

taiwan’s defense department analysts claimed that the pla’s current strategic and tactical use of military operations against taiwan is still limited by factors such as the natural geographical environment of the taiwan strait, insufficient landing and delivery equipment, and logistical support capabilities. therefore, it does not have the ability to "fully attack taiwan" for the time being.

however, the report also acknowledged that the pla has made considerable progress in joint command operations and the development of new weapons and equipment. in particular, a series of training and exercises in the sea and air space around taiwan have enhanced the pla's ability to coordinate operations in the direction of the taiwan strait.

(the people's liberation army often conducts military exercises and training activities in the direction of the taiwan strait)

there is no doubt that this is a useless "assumption pill" prepared by the taiwan authorities for themselves at a time when the situation in the taiwan strait is tense, and it can only comfort the panicked hearts of taiwan independence politicians on the island. this report, on the contrary, exposes lai ching-te's sinister intention to continue to seek to resist reunification by force and rely on the united states to seek independence.

just a few days ago, lai qingde met with the so-called "chairman of the japan-taiwan exchange association" in a high-profile manner, and also declared that he would establish a so-called "democratic umbrella", strengthen "bilateral relations" and promote regional stability. he even openly boarded the kinmen island, which has special significance, for inspection, and encouraged and supported the "garrison" on the island to continue to confront the pla with force.

(there should be no doubt that the people's liberation army has the ability to retake taiwan)

however, all this is undoubtedly futile and even ridiculous, because for the pla, recovering taiwan has never been a question of "whether or not they have the ability".

compared with the arrogance of the lai qingde administration, the japanese government's judgment is much more rigorous. the japanese ministry of defense conducted a study on a series of military activities carried out by the pla around the taiwan strait in 2023 and came to a conclusion: the pla is currently capable of sending a large number of ground forces to land on taiwan island within one week after implementing a comprehensive maritime blockade on taiwan island. although the pla currently lacks professional large landing warships, the pla's strong air delivery and support capabilities and the potential transportation capacity of a large number of civilian ships can greatly make up for the pla's shortcomings in the number of large landing warships.

(pla amphibious landing exercise)

in addition, the former commander of the u.s. navy's seventh fleet also warned that the united states is very worried that the pla will use force to retake taiwan in 2027. in any case, it is not difficult to see that the outside world basically does not doubt that the pla has the ability to blockade and retake taiwan. on the contrary, taiwan’s "defense department" itself is very confident that it can rely on the natural barrier of the strait to resist the pla. this is undoubtedly ridiculous.

in fact, the pla has not taken any action against taiwan at present, mainly based on my country's general line of peaceful development, and taking into account many factors such as diplomacy, international political economy, etc. in other words, whether the pla wants to recover taiwan is just a matter of "whether" or not, not a matter of "whether" or not as the taiwan "defense department" believes.

(lai ching-te is still ruthless)

the pla has not taken action because there is still the possibility of peaceful reunification between the two sides of the taiwan strait, and there are still a large number of taiwanese compatriots who hope for peace between the two sides of the taiwan strait and are working hard for this. however, the lai ching-te administration has repeatedly blatantly disregarded the mainland's position and attitude, openly clamoring to produce more weapons and ammunition and to join forces with other countries to "deter" the pla. in this case, the defense ministry spokesman, colonel wu qian, has made a clear response: the more they (taiwan independence elements) provoke, the faster they will perish.