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It is better to strike first than to wait passively. Hezbollah is preparing to attack, and 100 Israeli fighter jets are taking action in advance.

2024-08-26

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Hezbollah's revenge has begun in Lebanon, but what's interesting is that this time Hezbollah did not initiate the attack. Instead, Israel discovered signs that Hezbollah was going to retaliate and launched a preemptive attack. Warplanes directly attacked southern Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah rocket launchers that were preparing to attack Israel. Hezbollah then launched a large-scale rocket and drone attack on Israel, claiming that it was a revenge action for the assassination of Hezbollah's top military commander. It seems that Hezbollah was still a step too late.

In the early morning of August 25, flames shot up on the border between Israel and Lebanon

According to the Global Times, Israel launched a preemptive attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon in the early morning of August 25. In the past, Israel directly attacked Hezbollah, so why did it add the word "preemptive" this time? It's simple. This was a retaliatory action by Hezbollah, but Israel discovered this sign in advance and took action in advance.

In July, Israel launched a targeted killing operation against a Hezbollah commander, after which Hezbollah threatened to retaliate. At the end of July, Hamas leader Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran, and Iran, humiliated, threatened to retaliate against Israel. However, as for how to retaliate, Iran has been weighing two models in the past: retaliate simultaneously with Hezbollah, or retaliate separately.

Judging from the current situation, it is obvious that they chose to retaliate separately. However, since they want to retaliate, the retaliatory party must launch the attack first, and then the attacked party will defend. But this time the scene was surprising, and Israel took action in advance. According to the Israeli Times, Israel has detected that Hezbollah is preparing to launch missiles and rockets at Israel. This will be the largest attack since October last year. These rocket launchers are expected to open fire on Tel Aviv at 5 a.m. local time on August 25. Therefore, the Israeli army decided to take the initiative and attack targets and launch sites in Lebanon. According to the Israeli military afterwards, in the process of preemptive strike, Israel dispatched about 100 fighter jets to destroy thousands of Hezbollah rocket launchers in southern Lebanon. Israel also released a 1-minute video of fighter jets attacking Hezbollah weapons. From the video, you can see thick smoke at the scene.

Israel takes the initiative to not give Hezbollah a chance

After the Israeli attack, Hezbollah hit back with a large number of rockets and drones. According to Hezbollah, they launched a total of 320 rockets and multiple drones at Israel, hitting 11 Israeli military positions, completing the first phase of the retaliation operation, which was mainly in retaliation for Israel's targeted elimination of Hezbollah military commanders last month.

It has to be said that Israel is very powerful. It does not give the other side any chance to retaliate and directly takes the initiative, which is very consistent with Israel's character.

Hezbollah later announced that the military operation on that day had ended, and denied that it was affected by the Israeli army's preemptive attack. Israel interpreted this as Hezbollah's retaliatory military operation not completely over, and it is expected that Hezbollah will continue to have retaliatory actions in the future, and perhaps rocket attacks will continue tomorrow. It is estimated that Israel will continue to keep a close eye on Hezbollah's military movements in various ways, and once it finds something wrong, it is very likely to continue to take preemptive action.

In Israel's view, passive defense is much more costly than preemptive attack. If it is passive defense, if Hezbollah imitates Hamas last year and launches thousands of rockets for saturation attack, the situation will be bad. Israel's air defense system cannot cope with such intensive saturation attack. Preemptive attack is different. It will enable Israel to destroy the opponent's attack weapons. Even if it cannot completely destroy them, it can reduce the opponent's rocket launches to some extent.

Israel believes Hezbollah's revenge attacks are not over yet

Israeli intelligence agencies also assessed that Hezbollah had planned to launch a long-range attack on the Glilot base near the city of Herzliya in central Israel, which houses several IDF intelligence units and is also the headquarters of the Mossad. If we look at this from this point of view, Hezbollah's next attack is worth paying attention to.