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Why has the Russian army not been able to drive the Ukrainian army out of its territory for more than half a month?

2024-08-24

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According to Observer.com, as the Ukrainian crisis lasted for two and a half years, the Ukrainian army took sudden action and invaded the Kursk Oblast in Russia.

Now, more than half a month has passed, why has the Russian army still not organized a large-scale effective counterattack to repel the Ukrainian army? How will Russia respond next? What role did NATO, led by the United States, play in this? How will the situation develop?

What is Ukraine’s purpose in risking a surprise attack on Kursk, Russia?

Over the past two years of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, although Ukraine has not been defeated thanks to Western aid and weapons, it is generally at a disadvantage and faces difficulties in funding, weapons, manpower, morale, and other aspects.

Ukraine, which has repeatedly carried out long-range strikes on Russian border targets, chose to cross the border and raid the Russian mainland this time, which is rare and unexpected.

"This was an organized and long-planned action by Ukraine." Liu Jun, vice president of the China Society of International Relations and executive director of the Center for Russian Studies at East China Normal University, told Observer.com that Ukraine has scored both in practical and symbolic terms, and it is a significant victory.

He believes that Ukraine wants to achieve several goals through this counterattack:

First, boost the morale and confidence of the Ukrainian army.

Second, to prove to the United States and Western countries that Ukraine can move forward with assistance, can achieve certain victories and results in some key areas, and can even reach the Russian mainland. Ukraine is worried that if Trump comes to power, he may stop aid to Ukraine, and then European countries and NATO countries will most likely follow the United States, and Ukraine will be unable to continue to fight to a large extent.