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The volume has shrunk again. Is this a critical moment? A-share market forecast on Tuesday

2024-08-19

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Today's A-shares, after the closing, I don't want to review them. The four major banks rose and hit new highs, and stocks fell across the board. Liquor and securities both rose and fell, and funds went to dividend stocks for defense, and technology stocks fell across the board...

At this position, the key is that the market's risk appetite is very cautious, and everyone is waiting and watching. Funds go to dividend stocks not to make profits. No matter how much they rise, it is difficult to have the conditions for shipment, just for defense.

The volume has shrunk again, a critical moment?

At present, it is not a problem of the stock market. Don't think it is a problem of the stock market. It is a problem of reality. The performance of enterprises has declined seriously. In addition to dividend stocks, new energy, medical care, and technology are all involution. Consumer stocks such as food and beverages have also encountered performance pressure.

The stock market is the barometer of the economy, so there is no need to have too high expectations. This year is a bottoming out period. When it will reverse depends on the favorable factors in the future, mainly liquidity. The interest rate cut has not yet been implemented, and even if it is implemented, what can we do?

The trading volume will only continue to shrink. Today, the trading volume is only over 500 billion. If the subsequent market continues to push up dividend stocks, the volume will continue to shrink until the trading volume reaches over 400 billion again.