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The Ukrainian army controls 82 settlements in Kursk. Will the Russian army withdraw its main force from Ukraine to deal with it?

2024-08-18

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As the Ukrainian army advanced in Kursk, the Russian army withdrew some of its troops from Ukraine, but the main force of the Russian army continued to attack eastern Ukraine. Now it is the Russian-Ukrainian war version of "you fight yours, I fight mine."

According to the Ukrainian side, the Ukrainian army has controlled 82 settlements in Kursk, covering an area of ​​1,150 square kilometers, which has exceeded the area occupied by Russia in Ukraine this year.

Particularly troublesome for Russia is that Ukraine has occupied the important border city of Sudja. Sudja is the first town in Russia to be occupied by a foreign country after World War II, with a population of about 7,000. Sudja is a natural gas transportation hub that transports Russian natural gas to European countries. Currently, this gas channel is the last major natural gas supply pipeline from Russia to the European Union.

Now that Suja has been occupied by the Ukrainian army, Russia's last gas pipeline to Europe is estimated to have been cut off, and Russia will once again lose an important source of foreign exchange income.

Seeing that the Ukrainian army is still advancing on Russian territory, the Russian top brass is getting a little impatient. On the one hand, they dispatched various border defense forces and reserve forces from all over the country to Kursk to participate in the war. At the same time, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing US officials, Russia is withdrawing some troops from Ukraine to deal with the Ukrainian army's attack on Russian territory.

Analysts at the U.S. think tank "War Studies Institute" pointed out that the Russian army has mobilized 11 battalions to rush to Kursk, but did not indicate where these troops came from.

Although the Ukrainian army's attack on the Russian mainland has caused great trouble to the Russian leadership and is a direct humiliation to Putin himself, Russia has not mobilized its main forces from eastern Ukraine to deal with it. On the contrary, Russia is stepping up its offensive in eastern Ukraine, trying to take advantage of the plight of the Ukrainian garrison and occupy more Ukrainian territory.

Now, the Russian army is attacking Pokrovsk in the eastern part of Ukraine. The city has a population of 60,000 and is one of the railway hubs of Donetsk Oblast. If the Russian army can successfully capture this city, it will be one step closer to completely controlling the eastern part of Ukraine.

From this perspective, both the Russian and Ukrainian armies are implementing Chairman Mao’s instructions: “You fight yours, and I fight mine.”

When Chairman Mao gave this instruction, he was asking our army not to be led by the enemy, not to waste manpower on a head-on confrontation with the enemy's main force, but to fight if we can win and retreat if we can't win, attack the enemy's weak points and actively strive for the initiative.

Now, it seems that neither Russia nor Ukraine wants to follow the other's pace, and both hope to gain the initiative on the battlefield. The two armies are fighting each other on each other's territory, and it is expected to continue for some time. We will wait and see when the situation will change.