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Against the backdrop of the increasingly severe war situation in Ukraine, the Ukrainian army's offensive against Russia's Kursk Oblast has raised many questions and controversies.

Even foreign experts can't understand it and can only try to guess Ukraine's intentions.

However, judging from the current results, the Ukrainian army has not made any breakthrough progress. As long as no progress can be made, no matter how much they say, it will be of no use.

One analysis believes that this is a life-and-death tactic chosen by Ukrainian Army Chief of Staff Serski for his own future. Whether he will be fired depends on the final effect of this action.

Ukrainian Army Commander-in-Chief Serski

Selsky is panicking.

According to The Economist, the future of Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Serskii may depend on the outcome of the Ukrainian army's attempt to attack Kursk Oblast, and the two are closely linked. Currently, Serskii is often criticized in Ukraine.

However, the media pointed out that the Ukrainian army is facing an extremely difficult situation on the front line. Against this background, the rationality of attacking Kursk Oblast is questionable.

CNN also revealed that cracks had appeared within Serski's headquarters, and his subordinates doubted whether Serski was ready to bear huge losses in a war of attrition.

Based on this background, Serski's attempt this time is a gamble on his own career. If he can achieve some results, his position may be kept, but if he suffers a miserable failure, he will most likely be replaced immediately.

There have been calls in the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada (Parliament) for a replacement, which put a lot of pressure on Serski and forced him to achieve some results.

However, given the capabilities of the Ukrainian army, it was unrealistic to make progress on the front line, so it ultimately chose to take a radical approach and directly attack the Russian mainland.

Russo-Ukrainian War

What is Ukraine’s goal?

One analysis holds that the Ukrainian army's intention is to force Russia to withdraw troops from the front line to defend its homeland, thereby reducing the pressure on the Ukrainian army on the front line.

This seemed to be the only plausible explanation for this mindless action.

Another theory is that they are waging psychological warfare to put pressure on the Russians, and then let the frightened Russians put pressure on the Russian government, and then force Russia to make some concessions on the negotiation issues.

However, to achieve this goal, there is no need to send Ukrainian troops directly to attack the Russian mainland. Ukraine has previously used long-range weapons to attack the Russian mainland, and can completely use this method to achieve the second goal.

After all, Ukraine is already short of personnel, and sending thousands of people to die will only weaken its own combat effectiveness.

Judging from the current situation, considering the limited scale of this offensive, it is unlikely to prompt the Russian army to make large-scale strategic adjustments, and the impact on the overall war situation will also be very limited.

Zaluzhny, former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Army

Selsky is definitely not good enough.

Judging from Serski's performance after taking over from Zaluzhny, his level is indeed not good enough and he is more suitable to be a deputy rather than a commander in charge of the overall situation.

Zaluzhny was known for his steadiness and his skill in defensive warfare and wars of attrition. He performed outstandingly in the Battle of Kiev and led the Ukrainian army to recapture Kharkiv and other places. It can be said that Ukraine did not collapse quickly in the war and regained some land in subsequent battles, all thanks to Zaluzhny.

On the other hand, Serski has been unable to maintain his position since taking office, and has even suffered defeats in some places. And up to now, he has not won any decent victories.

It now seems that replacing Zaluzhny is not a good thing for the Ukrainian army. Although Zaluzhny is unlikely to lead the Ukrainian army to defeat the Russian army, his lower limit is much higher than that of Serski. At least it will not fall to the point where the Ukrainian army will go to Russia to die.