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Worried about Israel's "breakout" into Tehran again, Iran begins to strengthen its air defenses, and Russia is ready to supply

2024-08-07

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Shoigu came to Tehran amid the tense situation in the Middle East. According to sources, Iran asked Russia for more advanced air defense equipment, and Russia agreed to Iran's request. It is said that Russia will supply Iran with the equipment immediately. However, judging from Iran's request for air defense equipment, perhaps Haniyeh was killed in an Israeli airstrike, rather than by an explosive device planted in advance.

After Haniyeh's death, Iran seeks more advanced air defense equipment from Russia

According to the Global Times, at a time when the situation in the Middle East is sensitive, Russia has made new moves. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu suddenly visited Tehran. Although Shoigu is no longer the Minister of Defense, the position of Secretary of the Security Council he holds is a very critical position in the Russian security system architecture, and its importance is not less than that of the Minister of Defense. It can even be said that only people in Putin's core circle can hold this position. Shoigu's predecessor Patrushev has been Putin's close friend for decades. If we also consider Shoigu's close personal relationship with Putin, Shoigu's visit to Tehran has attracted much attention from the outside world. So what is the purpose of Shoigu's visit to Tehran this time?

If we ignore the current situation in the Middle East, the outside world generally believes that Shoigu's visit to Tehran may be related to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and Russia may seek artillery shells, drones and other military equipment from Iran. But the situation this time may be different. According to the information disclosed so far: this time it is not Russia seeking equipment from Iran, but Iran seeking military support from Russia.

According to a report by the New York Times, two anonymous Iranian officials, including a member of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, revealed that Iran has asked Russia for more advanced air defense equipment support, and Russia has agreed to this and has begun to transport advanced air defense systems and radars to Iran. This was decided after Shoigu's visit to Iran. If we look at it from this point of view, is Shoigu's trip to Tehran this time to finalize a military agreement to provide Iran with air defense systems?

Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran a few days ago, which exposed Iran's weak national security. There are different accounts of how Haniyeh was killed by Israel. Iran insists that it was caused by an Israeli air strike, while others believe that Israel had placed an explosive device in advance. If Haniyeh was really killed by an Israeli air strike, then there would be a big loophole in Iran's air defense system, and Iran would definitely need to strengthen its air defense capabilities. Judging from Iran's request to Russia for more advanced air defense equipment, this may also indirectly prove that Haniyeh was very likely to have died in an Israeli air strike.

Haniyeh's death has made Iran realize that it is urgent to strengthen its air defense system

However, Iran did not provide more details on what advanced air defense equipment Russia will provide to Iran this time. It is estimated that air defense radar is essential, but one focus is whether Russia will provide Iran with the Triumph air defense system (S-400).

Iran previously purchased the S-300 from Russia. If it is to provide a more advanced air defense system, it can only be its upgraded version "Triumph". Although this air defense system performed mediocrely on the battlefield in Ukraine, Iran has no more choices. After all, the "threat shadow" of Israel has reached Tehran, and Iran urgently needs to improve its air defense system.

Moreover, in Iran's view, it has given great support to Russia in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On the basis of providing more advanced air defense equipment, Russia has no more choice but to meet Iran's requirements.

This time Russia will provide S-400 to IranAnti-aircraft missilesSystem?

However, the French newspaper Le Monde said in its analysis of the matter: Russia and Israel have a very special relationship. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, many Russian Jews immigrated to Israel, and they have a certain vote advantage in Israel. In addition, Israel needs Russia on the Syrian issue. So since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Israel has resisted the pressure from Washington and Kiev and has not made a decision to provide weapons to Ukraine. But this time Moscow decided to quickly provide Iran with more advanced air defense equipment. It is worth observing whether Israel's attitude on the Ukrainian issue will change. After all, Ukraine has always been keeping an eye on Israel's "Iron Dome”。