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"Chinese diplomacy has been a little unusual recently"

2024-07-23

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American comics, a little politically incorrect, but still quite interesting to read.

Trump’s assassination, Biden’s withdrawal from the election, the Paris Olympics, these recent world events, one after another, are really dazzling and a witness to history.

butIf we observe carefully, we will find that China's diplomacy has been a little unusual recently.

At least three things.

The first thing is the visit of Ukrainian Foreign Minister to China.

According to a notice from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, at the invitation of Wang Yi, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba will visit China from July 23 to 26.

A foreign minister's visit to China is not a big deal.

But considering the broader context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, this is the first visit to China by the Ukrainian Foreign Minister since the outbreak of the war.

Why come now, why not earlier or later?

I have no idea.

But my understanding is that this at least highlights Ukraine's special attention to China, especially considering the changing situation on the battlefield and the major changes in the US election.

What makes Ukraine particularly anxious is that the possibility of Trump coming to power is increasing. Trump is a good friend of Putin and he has said more than once that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can be ended within 24 hours.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs claimed that the main topics of Kuleba's visit to China include seeking to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the role China may play in achieving a stable and just peace.

At a critical moment, Ukraine has become more aware of the importance of China.

The second thing is the meeting between the two major Palestinian factions in Beijing.

According to foreign media reports, senior officials from the two major Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, held reconciliation consultations in Beijing from July 20 to 21.

On July 22, at the Chinese Foreign Ministry press conference, Al Jazeera reporter also asked:The second round of reconciliation consultations among Palestinian factions is being held in Beijing today. Could the spokesperson give us more information on the situation?

Spokesperson Mao Ning responded:China has always firmly supported the just cause of the Palestinian people to restore their legitimate national rights, supported the Palestinian factions to achieve reconciliation through dialogue and consultation, and supported Palestine to achieve unity and independence as soon as possible. China has made and will continue to make unremitting efforts to this end. Regarding the specific situation, China will release information in due course.

The Chinese side has not denied it, so it is most likely true.

In fact, the two major factions held the first round of consultations in Beijing in April.

Considering the broader context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the reconciliation between the two major Palestinian factions has undoubtedly attracted worldwide attention.

I saw some foreign media analyzing:Discussions on the future of Gaza are becoming urgent. Whether Hamas and Fatah, which have been divided for 17 years, are willing to cooperate is crucial to Gaza's post-war reconstruction.

Who can be the peacemaker?

Frankly speaking, among the five major powers of the Security Council, the United States is recognized to favor Israel, the United Kingdom and France are not trusted by all Palestinian parties, and Russia is caught up in its own battlefield conflicts. China, and only China, is more suitable to play the role of peacemaker.

A year ago, it was with China's mediation that Iran and Saudi Arabia achieved a historic reconciliation, making the world take notice of China. Considering China's respect for all Palestinian factions, it is not ruled out that with China's efforts, the relationship between Hamas and Fatah will also achieve a historic breakthrough.

This is difficult because the issues in the Middle East are a mess, the conflicts are deep-rooted, and some countries will definitely make trouble.

But someone has to try hard.

China is actively working on this, and we cannot rule out the possibility of far-reaching consequences.

The third thing is that the focus issue of the South China Sea has begun to cool down.

The biggest focus in the South China Sea is, without a doubt, the dilapidated Philippine ship stranded on our Ren'ai Reef.

China and the Philippines once had a fierce maritime friction over this broken ship.

Good news came. According to the Philippines, China and the Philippines have reached a temporary agreement on the management and control of the situation in Ren'ai Reef.

China also recognized this temporary arrangement and reiterated its three-point principled position.

First, the Philippines sent a "warship" to "run aground" on Ren'ai Reef for a long time, infringing on China's sovereignty and violating the "Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea", especially Article 5 of the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, which stipulates that no settlement activities should be carried out on uninhabited islands and reefs. China still requires the Philippines to tow away the warship and restore Ren'ai Reef to its original state of being uninhabited and without facilities.

Second, before the Philippines tows away the stranded warship, if the Philippines needs to provide daily necessities to the ship's residents, China is willing to, out of humanitarian considerations, allow the Philippines to carry out the supply transportation after notifying China in advance and conducting on-site verification, and China will monitor the entire process.

Third, if the Philippines transports a large amount of construction materials on board and attempts to build fixed facilities and permanent outposts, China will never accept it and will resolutely block it in accordance with laws and regulations to safeguard China's sovereignty and the seriousness of the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea.

Based on the above three principled positions, China has recently continued to negotiate with the Philippines on the management and control of the situation on the Ren'ai Reef, and recently reached a temporary arrangement on the transportation of humanitarian supplies.

Previously, China and the Philippines had reached a "new model" agreement on transportation subsidies that was roughly the same, but the Philippines quickly tore up the agreement.

But after so much trouble, the Philippines has actually returned to its original "new model" in accordance with the three principles announced by China.

All three things concern war and peace.

Behind the first two events are two major hot spots in the world today: the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Palestine conflict.

Anyway, we have seen that in the past two years, there are always some countries that add fuel to the fire, hoping that the world will not be in chaos; but China is indeed working hard to mediate and promote talks.

It is no exaggeration to say that China is truly on the side of peace.

So, Orban came, and now Kuleba comes, Fatah comes, and Hamas comes too...

I personally feel that the world is not peaceful, but a peaceful China is truly a positive energy for the world.

China’s recent diplomacy has indeed been impressive.

The last thing involves the Philippines, China, and the situation in the South China Sea.

But being able to reach a new agreement at least shows one thing.If there were no interference and instigation from the United States, and if the Philippines really wanted to stabilize the situation, a peaceful solution to the South China Sea issue could always be found.

After all, China is not the United States.

Let's assume that a ship from the Philippines, Mexico or Cuba also ran aground on an American island. How would the United States handle it? Would the Americans exercise such restraint?

Philippines, be thankful for China’s goodwill and patience.

Of course, the most critical thing now is whether the Philippines can keep its promise.

There is no lack of agreements between China and the Philippines, what is lacking is the credibility of the Philippines. The temporary arrangement is good news, but if the Philippines always goes back on its word, it is possible that after a short period of calm, there will be new storms and even huge waves.

China's diplomacy always values ​​peace, but China's goodwill and patience should also have limits.