2024-10-05
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at the current stage, there are positive factors in terms of policy, macro environment, market, etc. which gold stocks are potential that brokerages are optimistic about?
major stock indexes 'surge'
institutions are generally optimistic about the market situation in october
in recent times, a series of favorable policies have been introduced intensively, and transactions in the a-share market have continued to be hot. on the last trading day of september, a-share transactions reached a record high of 2.61 trillion yuan.
the major stock indexes have started a "surge" mode. according to statistics from securities times·databao, since september 18, the shanghai composite index and the shanghai and shenzhen 300 index have risen by 23.39% and 27.18% respectively. the gem index, science and technology innovation 50 index, and beijing securities 50 the indexes have risen by 41.68%, 33.18%, and 45.16% respectively. these indexes have all entered a technical bull market.
at the current stage, there are positive factors in terms of policy, macro environment, market, etc. so, how will the market perform in october? judging from the latest strategies of many institutions, market optimism is expected to continue.
donghai securities said that both the intensity of the policy and the speed of its implementation exceeded market expectations, and the strengthening of the countercyclical tone established the sustainability of the policy. the follow-up focus is on the increase in fiscal policy. in terms of industry, it is recommended to pay attention to securities companies that directly benefit from the increase in market activity, as well as the demand recovery brought about by the expected increase, such as consumer, pharmaceutical and other sectors.
huaan securities believes that looking forward to the allocation pattern in october, considering that the market beta opportunities are still there, but they may show large fluctuations, the rising characteristics will also change from the current madness to calmness, and the impact on allocation is expected to show a general rise first and then differentiation. the first main line is other consumption that is supported by the boom or policies and is expected to benefit from the spread and make up for the stagflation, including home appliances, automobiles, medicine, agriculture and animal husbandry. the second main line is growth sectors with improved macro and micro liquidity, frequent catalysts, and third-quarter results that are expected to exceed expectations, including electronics, electronics, communications, and military industries.
gold stocks were released in october, with the majority of finalists in the five major industries
monthly gold stocks are generally considered to be targets with greater upside potential or investment value in the upcoming month. according to statistics from databao, as of now, a total of 146 stocks have been shortlisted for brokerage firms’ october gold stock list. by industry, the number of shortlisted stocks in the electronics, non-bank finance, machinery and equipment, food and beverage, and computer industries is more than 10. the number of finalists in the electronics industry is 12, ranking first. leading stocks in the electronics industry such as luxshare precision, haiguang information, northern huachuang, and cambrian-u are on the list.
industrial securities pointed out that around the needs of training and reasoning, ai has been vigorously deployed in the cloud for more than a year. due to its advantages such as privacy, security, low latency, low cost and personalization, on-device ai has great potential, and consumer electronics are expected to a wave of mobile phone replacement has set off. apple has huge advantages in hardware foundation and software ecology, and is expected to become the leader in device-side ai. the link in the fruit chain that is in the process of increasing value is expected to achieve both volume and price increases.
monthly gold stocks have been shortlisted many times, which better reflects the consensus expectations of institutions. according to statistics from databao, among gold stocks in october, 27 stocks were shortlisted more than twice. among them, ningde times, the leader in the new energy field, and midea group, the home appliance leader, have both been shortlisted 6 times and tied for first place. on september 30, catl surged 11.06%, with its latest closing price hitting a new high in nearly a year, and the a-share market value returned to 1.1 trillion yuan. midea group's share price rose 4.19%. the latest closing price hit a three-year high, and the a-share market value rose to 532.1 billion yuan.
other companies that have been shortlisted more often include oriental fortune, wuliangye, zijin mining, hengxuan technology, sany heavy industry, etc.
institutional funds buy many industry leaders at the bottom
from a financial perspective, many october gold stocks have recently received large amounts of institutional funds to increase their positions. according to statistics from databao, since september, a total of 32 gold stocks have received net purchases of more than 100 million yuan from institutional funds, of which 6 stocks have received net purchases of more than 1 billion yuan from institutions, namely oriental fortune, citic securities, huatai securities, and vanke a , ningde era, luzhou laojiao.
among the above-mentioned 32 gold stocks that institutions have invested heavily in, 5 stocks have retraced more than 20% based on the closing price on september 30 compared with the high point of the year, namely zhuoshengwei, gujing gongjiu, jinshan office, dongfangyu hong kong and luzhou laojiao are the five leading stocks. zhuosheng micro has the largest retracement. the stock hit the daily limit of 20cm on september 30. the a-share market value is approaching 50 billion yuan. the latest closing price has a retracement of 34.18% from the high point during the year.
from the perspective of valuation level, as of the close of trading on september 30, 11 stocks had a rolling price-to-earnings ratio below 20 times, such as china pacific insurance, huatai securities, xinhua insurance, luzhou laojiao, and yili. china pacific insurance's rolling price-to-earnings ratio is 11.04 times, ranking at the lowest position. the stock rose 9.31% on september 30, and its latest closing price hit a three-year high. sdic securities stated that china pacific insurance will accelerate the second phase of the "changhai" transformation project in 2024. the new management will adhere to the value orientation, and both the liability side and the asset side are expected to continue to improve.