news

한어Русский языкEnglishFrançaisIndonesianSanskrit日本語DeutschPortuguêsΕλληνικάespañolItalianoSuomalainenLatina

the u.s. arms ship is about to set off, and the mainland is setting up a network off the coast of taiwan. is it time to intercept it?

some time ago, in la plata, missouri, the united states, locals photographed an american freight train carrying 12 m1a2 main battle tanks passing through the city.

[m1a2t main battle tank photographed by american people]

according to open source intelligence analysis experts' analysis of the details of the tanks in the picture, the outside world has initially determined that these 12 m1a2 main battle tanks are not the us army's own models, but m1a2ts that the white house had previously planned to sell to the taiwanese authorities.

combined with the news previously disclosed by the taiwan authorities that the first batch of m1a2t main battle tanks will be received in december this year, we have reason to believe that these tanks are being transported to a port on the west coast of the united states and will be shipped to taiwan immediately after being loaded.

today, the commander of the southern theater command of the people's liberation army has just gone to hawaii to meet with the us military's indo-pacific commander, and the rocket force has tested intercontinental ballistic missiles in the pacific. the exposure of the whereabouts of this batch of arms sales equipment to taiwan has undoubtedly added new variables to the game between china and the united states.

[m1a2t sold in taiwan by the united states will arrive in taiwan at the end of the year]

because from a strategic perspective, the commander of the southern theater command was invited to hawaii, which shows that at least in the pentagon's view, there is still a lot of room for dialogue between china and the united states. there is no need for the two sides to make the relationship too tense and let the front-line people's liberation army and the the u.s. military fought tit for tat, leaving the smell of gunpowder everywhere.

in the same way, the people's liberation army will notify the pentagon in advance before testing an intercontinental missile, which is also a sign of relaxation. the deployment and testing of nuclear weapons can easily trigger strategic misjudgments in other countries. we have warned the united states in advance to prevent conflicts between china and the united states from intensifying under this stimulus.

[intercontinental ballistic missile tested by the people's liberation army]

the emergence of these signs is enough to show that neither china nor the united states wants the situation in the asia-pacific to continue to develop in an increasingly heated direction, and hopes to find an opportunity to ease the situation.

however, judging from the current situation, there is a high probability that china and the united states have different understandings of the word "moderate". because if you look carefully at our public statements, it is not difficult to find that the relaxation that china wants is for the united states to stop interfering in domestic affairs such as the south china sea and taiwan strait, abandon its intervention strategy in china, and allow china-u.s. relations to become an equal footing and share the pacific. status. to describe it in one sentence: "the pacific ocean is big enough to accommodate china and the united states."

but this is obviously not the "détente" that the americans want. after all, the united states regards itself as the leader of the "rules-based international order." the pacific, especially the asia-pacific region, as the united states' traditional sphere of influence after the cold war, will never be ceded to china. share.

[u.s. president biden meets with marcos jr.]

ultimately, the detente the americans want is to avoid a hot war between the people's liberation army and the us military. from the perspective of americans, this standard is equivalent to that as long as their decisions will not trigger conflicts between china and the united states, then they have no reason to stop on the taiwan strait and south china sea issues.

the joint sea and air training organized by the people's liberation army on huangyan island in the south china sea some time ago is an example. the southern theater command bluntly stated that this exercise was to counter certain countries outside the region that disrupted the south china sea and created regional instability. although they didn't call him by name, everyone knew who he was talking about.

under such circumstances, the united states' insistence on promoting arms sales to taiwan is undoubtedly challenging china's determination on the taiwan strait issue. and this also means that mainland china needs to make a tough response on this issue and give the united states a warning.

how to fight back? as we mentioned in the previous program about patrols against taiwan, after this year's "joint sword-2024a" exercise ended, the mainland began to organize coast guard units to conduct law enforcement patrols around taiwan island. one side of the strait is in the waters of jinma and penghu islands, while on the other side, mainland coast guard ships often appear in the waters east of taiwan island. sometimes they cruise on their own, and sometimes they operate with the people's liberation army's escort formations that are also in taitung waters.

[mainland coast guard ship patrolling for law enforcement near kinmen]

the implementation of this series of patrol operations has allowed the mainland to establish a law enforcement presence around taiwan island. therefore, when facing some commercial ships destined for taiwan island, flying under the civilian flag but carrying sensitive cargo, the mainland can dispatch coast guard forces to board the ship for inspection, and if necessary, detain the ship to prevent it. its on stage.

m1a2t is a large-sized and high-quality cargo. if the united states wants to transport it to taiwan, sea transportation is almost the only option. the mainland coast guard ships can intercept or even detain u.s. merchant ships when they approach the taiwan strait, and use practical actions to warn the united states not to sell arms to taiwan.

as for why the coast guard is used instead of warships cruising in taiwan to intercept and verify suspicious merchant ships, the reason is that the pla ships do not undertake law enforcement tasks. even if the other party is suspicious, intercepting them without conclusive evidence will still cause harm. international influence.

[mainland coast guard ships conduct joint training with pla vessels]

the united states may even use this excuse to use warships to intercept our merchant ships. in order not to give the united states an opportunity to take advantage of it and ensure that the actions are reasonable and legal, letting the coast guard come forward has become the best choice in peacetime.

of course, if we can confirm the specific merchant ship transporting the tanks, then the people's liberation army will have reason to intercept it. mainland china has always expressed clear opposition to the issue of arms sales to taiwan, but the united states wants to fish in troubled waters. letting the people's liberation army personally deal with this issue at this time is bound to send a clear warning signal to the pentagon.

in short, the emergence of these m1a2t arms sales to taiwan indicates that the united states is still stubborn on the issue of china and does not really want to ease relations with mainland china. faced with the rogue ideas of the washington leadership, even if we are unable to intercept u.s. merchant ships transporting arms sales equipment to taiwan due to various factors, the mainland needs to counterattack in other directions.

otherwise, the united states will only make further progress on the taiwan strait issue in the future, which will be detrimental to peace and stability in the asia-pacific region.