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will the israeli military's "limited ground action" against lebanon be frustrated, or will it follow up with a large-scale fire attack? expert analysis

2024-10-03

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this article is reproduced from [cctv news client];
on october 1, local time, the israeli army announced a "limited ground operation" against hezbollah targets in lebanon. on the 2nd, the lebanese hezbollah armed forces confirmed for the first time that there was a ground exchange of fire with the israeli army. the israeli army reported that many israeli military personnel were killed in southern lebanon that day. at the beginning of the lebanese-israeli ground conflict, israel encountered a "bad start", resulting in casualties. how do you view the current situation? let’s look at the analysis of special commentator song xiaojun.
the israeli army's "unfavorable start" shows that the early combat preparations were not effective
special commentator song xiaojun: on the 2nd, israel's "limited ground operation" against lebanon encountered a major setback. eight israeli soldiers were killed in two battles. the 2006 lebanese-israeli war lasted for nearly 34 days. at that time, israel discovered that hezbollah’s command and communication system was a core part of hezbollah’s ability to fight at that time. so this time, before conducting a ground war, the israeli army first adopted communication equipment. bombings and assassinations of hezbollah’s elite unit commanders in an attempt to weaken hezbollah’s command and control system.
special commentator song xiaojun: this time the israeli army conducted a small-scale border probing attack and used special forces, resulting in the death of 8 israeli soldiers. this shows that the previous destruction of hezbollah's communication facilities, or the assassination of some senior officials of hezbollah's elite troops, did not have much impact on the entire command and control system, communication system, and tactical methods of hezbollah fighting in the south. influence.
the israeli military may follow up with heavy firepower to destroy infrastructure in southern lebanon.
special commentator song xiaojun: israel may launch a large-scale fire attack next. after the death of eight israeli military personnel, the israeli army issued an announcement requiring residents of 24 villages in southern lebanon to evacuate as soon as possible, otherwise they may be hit.
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