2024-10-01
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the us wall street journal website stated on september 27 that hezbollah leader nasrallah was killed in an israeli air strike. according to the latest news, on october 1, local time, the israeli army entered southern lebanon and the ground battle officially began. the lebanese-israeli conflict continues to develop out of control and expand.
01
taking action based on the prime minister's order in the united states
according to reuters, due to security concerns, nasrallah has rarely appeared in public since the second lebanese-israeli war in 2006, and his schedule is strictly confidential.
however, the serial explosions of hezbollah's communication equipment on september 17 and 18 this year, and the subsequent killing of many senior commanders, indicate that the organization's internal security system has been penetrated by israel, and the danger is approaching nasrallah step by step.
the new york times revealed that israeli intelligence agencies spent several months tracking nasrallah, and his intelligence work against hezbollah lasted 20 years.
the israeli military said that shortly before the air strike was launched, they had real-time intelligence and accurate location of nasrallah attending a secret meeting.
nasrallah portrait poster on the streets of tehran. picture/screenshot of time magazine website
since the former frequently changed his hiding place, israeli prime minister netanyahu, who was attending the united nations general assembly in new york, ordered the operation to prevent him from having long sleepless nights.
the israeli army dispatched at least eight f-16i american-made fighter jets, carrying aerial bombs weighing about 900 kilograms to 2,300 kilograms, to raid the building where nasrallah was located.
in just a few minutes, at least 80 bombs hit their targets. associated press video showed that brown smoke billowing from the bombed area covered the sky, making the scene shocking and horrifying.
reuters pointed out that more than 20 important military and political officials of hezbollah were killed this year, including nasrallah, and almost all the command and decision-making staff were lost. the serial explosions of communication equipment killed and injured about 1,500 key members of the organization, and many people were disabled for life.
according to a report by the german press agency, the israeli army's violent air strikes in recent days also caused the death of nearly 800 lebanese civilians and caused 500,000 people to flee their homes. according to lebanese official data, the number of displaced people may reach one million.
02
israel begins ground war
according to a report on the saudi "middle east news" website, after nasrallah's death was confirmed, netanyahu called it a "historical turning point" that changed the balance of power in the middle east.
netanyahu believes that this move has reshaped the "arc of resistance" of the anti-israel alliance, including hezbollah, and israel has gained greater advantages and more initiative.
on september 28, abc learned that israeli chief of staff halevi approved the action plan to invade southern lebanon.
according to a report on the us "capitol hill" website, halevi recently inspected the israeli 7th brigade and told the troops, "you will enter there (southern lebanon), eliminate the enemy, and completely destroy their infrastructure."
british sky news reported on september 29 that the israeli army has recruited two reserve brigades and transferred an elite force fighting in gaza to the front line. a total of about five brigades are ready.
israeli armored forces massed on the lebanese-israeli border. picture/screenshot of british sky news network
foreign media saw on the lebanese-israeli border that a large number of israeli tanks and armored vehicles were assembled on standby, and a large-scale ground battle was about to begin. on september 30, israel launched its first air strike on downtown beirut.
according to the "times of israel" report, in the early morning of october 1, local time, the israeli army launched a "limited, partial and targeted ground operation" in southern lebanon.
according to various sources, the israeli army may dispatch tens of thousands of troops, with special forces as the forerunner, aiming directly at hezbollah's active forces, focusing on searching for and destroying the war preparation fortifications that the organization has worked hard for many years, especially the tunnel system as dense as a spider web.
in addition, local roads, water and electricity, hospitals, schools and other civilian facilities may be targeted by israel, and southern lebanon may become the "second gaza".
however, some analysts say that the israeli army's strength is too small to rely on two brigades to deal with hezbollah. in contrast, israel has invested more military power in gaza, while gaza's area is only 3.5% of lebanon's, and hamas's armed strength is far less than that of hezbollah.
03
the risk of conflict escalation increases
despite the heavy losses, lebanese scholar bitar believes that hezbollah still has a tactical advantage in lebanon and "a large number of armed personnel are on standby at any time."
reuters also pointed out that hezbollah "has demonstrated the ability to quickly change commanders" and said that the organization still retains at least 75% of its long-range weapons such as rockets, missiles, and drones.
on september 25, an air defense siren went off in the important israeli town of tel aviv. it was later learned that it was a "kadr-1" missile that was attacking.
although the interception was successful, israel was deeply shocked, saying this was the first time hezbollah had launched a ballistic missile into its territory.
according to reports, the "kader-1" is equipped with a 500 kilogram warhead and has a maximum range of 190 kilometers, which can cover most of the country.
saudi media revealed that the missile was aimed directly at the location of the israeli intelligence unit 8200. there was also news that the target was the mossad headquarters of the israeli intelligence agency.
but in any case, this shows that hezbollah not only has the ability to fight back, but also has many secrets of its opponents.
according to reuters, external assistance is also coming, such as the "fatah-110" missile with a range of 300 kilometers and higher accuracy.
the us "time" magazine pointed out that although "iran does not want a large-scale war to break out," the situation may not develop as it wishes.
israeli fighter jets take off. picture/screenshot of fox news network
currently, in addition to fighting hamas in gaza and bombing hezbollah in lebanon, israel is also targeting the houthi armed forces in yemen, 1,800 kilometers away. on september 29, dozens of israeli fighter planes flew long distances and bombed the armed forces. controlled power plant and seaport.
the risk of conflict escalation has increased, but the united states continues to add fuel to the fire. according to foreign media reports, on september 26, the biden administration announced that it would provide $8.7 billion in military assistance to israel, really hoping that the world would not be in chaos.
editor: yan jiaxin
editor: zhang xi