with shigeru ishiba defeating the china hawks, will china-japan relations improve?
2024-09-28
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shigeru ishiba was elected as the new president of the liberal democratic party expert: the importance of sino-japanese relations will not change due to the change of japanese leaders
on the 27th, shigeru ishiba, former secretary-general of the liberal democratic party of japan, was elected as the 28th president of the liberal democratic party. the new president's term will be three years until september 30, 2027. according to japanese media reports, newly elected liberal democratic party president shigeru ishiba is expected to formally serve as the 102nd prime minister of japan at the extraordinary parliament on october 1 and form a new cabinet.
on september 27, shigeru ishiba, who was elected president of the liberal democratic party, stood up and waved. picture from japanese media
experts on japan issues said in an interview with a reporter from the global times on the 27th that ishiba shigeru's election reflects the desire for change and stability within the liberal democratic party, hoping that under his leadership, the impact of the "black gold" scandal will be eliminated, and the next house of representatives election will be maintained. the ruling position of the liberal democratic party. in terms of china policy, the importance of sino-japanese relations will not change due to the change of japanese leaders. stable sino-japanese relations are in the common interests of both countries.
a total of nine candidates ran for election this time, setting a record for the highest number of candidates in history. the candidates are the current economic security minister sanae takaichi, the former economic security minister kobayashi takayuki, the current chief cabinet secretary hayashi masaru, the former environment minister koizumi shinjiro, the current foreign minister kamikawa yoko, and the former chief cabinet secretary kato. katsunobu, current digital minister taro kono, former secretary-general of the liberal democratic party shigeru ishiba, and current secretary-general of the liberal democratic party toshimitsu motegi.
according to the liberal democratic party presidential election rules, in the first round of voting, each of the 368 liberal democratic party members of parliament had one vote, and the votes of local councilors, ordinary party members and "party friends" (i.e. registered supporters) were equivalent to 368 votes, totaling 736 votes, with a majority of the votes. was elected president. if no one gets more than half of the votes in the first round, the top two will advance to the second round, which is the deciding round. in the second round of voting, the weight of mp votes increased, with each of the 368 mps receiving one vote, and each of the 47 prefectural ldp branch federations receiving one vote. the one with the most votes wins.
xiang haoyu, a distinguished researcher at the asia-pacific institute of the china institute of international studies, told a reporter from the global times on the 27th that shigeru ishiba has rich political experience, is well-known in japanese society, and is eloquent. he is one of the few "policy leaders" in the liberal democratic party. "pass", being elected this time reflects the party's demands for change and stability. it is hoped that he will lead the liberal democratic party to eliminate the impact of the "black gold" scandal, and use his rich experience and policy capabilities to gain an advantage against the opposition parties and lead the liberal democratic party. fight against the next house of representatives election and maintain its position in power.
xiang haoyu further stated that as one of shigeru ishiba's competitors, sanae takaichi's political philosophy is "hawkish" in her external stance and she has a tough stance on china. she adheres to a wrong view of history and said she would visit the yasukuni shrine after taking office, which gives japan relations with asian neighbors have created major hidden dangers. takaichi sanae's related remarks also attracted criticism in japan. this time, they failed to win in the second round, which shows that the desire for a relatively balanced and stable leader within the liberal democratic party has prevailed, and they are also worried about takaichi sanae's too right-leaning and extreme policies. may incur unnecessary risks and friction.
"it can be seen from the leading pattern of the 'top three' in the election that the three of them have varying degrees of conservative overtones, which in itself represents the return of conservative forces in japanese society." da zhigang, a researcher at the institute of northeast asia, heilongjiang academy of social sciences in an interview with a reporter from the global times on the 27th, ishiba advocated creating an "asian version of nato" by integrating alliances such as the united states, japan, and the united states and south korea, and china should remain vigilant about this. he also said that the current internal affairs situation in japan is relatively complicated. no matter who is in power, the top priority is to deal with the social issues facing japan such as boosting the economy and improving people's livelihood.
when talking about china policy, xiang haoyu told the global times reporter that on the premise of maintaining the overall stability of sino-japanese relations, it is expected that japan’s policy orientation of seeking to “join the united states to contain china” and “use taiwan to contain china” will not there are major adjustments. he said that although shigeru ishiba is a conservative within the liberal democratic party, his policy propositions are relatively stable and balanced. although he advocates checks and balances to contain china's military development, he also hopes to communicate with china through defense dialogue to increase trust and resolve doubts.
at the regular press conference of the ministry of foreign affairs of china held on the 27th, when asked about shigeru ishiba being elected as the president of the liberal democratic party and becoming the new prime minister of japan, foreign ministry spokesperson lin jian said that we have noticed the relevant election results. this is japan's internal affairs and china will not comment. the long-term, healthy and stable development of china-japan relations is in the fundamental interests of the two peoples and is the only correct choice. it is hoped that japan will learn from history, adhere to the path of peaceful development, abide by the principles and consensus established in the four political documents between china and japan, establish an objective and correct understanding of china, pursue a positive and rational policy towards china, and comprehensively promote the strategic and mutually beneficial relationship. we must implement our positioning and work with china in the same direction to promote the sustained, healthy and stable development of china-japan relations along the right track.
in the interview, xiang haoyu said that the importance of sino-japanese relations will not change due to the change of japanese leaders. "stable sino-japanese relations are in the common interests of both countries." da zhigang said that he hopes ishiba shigeru will seriously consider the development direction of japan as a country, consider the well-being of the japanese people, consider the interests of the business community in cooperation with china, and properly handle the situation. the united states, relations with china and neighboring countries. enhance policy flexibility, actively create opportunities for communication and dialogue, and make more positive efforts to maintain healthy and stable sino-japanese relations.
global times-global network reporter xing xiaojing
