2024-09-27
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[global times comprehensive report] the israel defense forces stated on the 25th that based on the situation assessment, the israeli army is convening two reserve brigades to carry out "military operations in the north." this is considered a precursor to the israeli army launching a ground attack on lebanon, but international public opinion and experts are not optimistic about this.
the british broadcasting corporation (bbc) stated on the 26th that air strikes alone cannot eliminate the threat from hezbollah rockets to northern israel, and many of these rockets are still hidden in underground tunnels and caves. the israeli military realized this during its 2006 war with hezbollah, sending in tanks and infantry after airstrikes ultimately failed to defeat the group. that war ended 34 days later with a united nations resolution. “if israel now sends ground troops to lebanon, how long will they stay there?” the article stated that the israeli army had been stationed there for 18 years, from 1982 to 2000, when the number of israeli casualties became intolerable in domestic politics. at that time, they retreated. so now the risk of a possible israeli invasion of lebanon still exists, asgazathat way.
al jazeera said israel’s current offensive against lebanon is “highly enthusiastic”. many in israel consider the country's military operations in lebanon, including last week's pager bombings and recent airstrikes, to be "successful." however, israelis still have lingering memories of the bloody wars of 1982 and 2006, leading to greater hesitancy about ground operations. "if israel really launches ground operations, the situation will change. this is why israel is still hesitant." the report quoted analysis as saying that the israeli government is "talking about and threatening" ground operations, but it will actually start another time thing.
cnn military analyst layton said that if the israeli army launches a ground offensive against hezbollah, it is likely to focus the offensive in southern lebanon, and a large area currently controlled by hezbollah forces will fall into israeli hands. the lebanese government forces are not expected to have much impact, because the lebanese government forces are far weaker than hezbollah. however, once israel implements the above actions, the war may easily spill over outside lebanon.
reuters stated on the 26th that three sources familiar with the situation said that hezbollah’s flexible command system, extensive tunnel network, and growing missile and weapons arsenal over the past year are helping it withstand unprecedented israeli strikes. according to the bbc, hezbollah leader nasrallah said he welcomed israel's ground offensive, which was an opportunity for hezbollah and a hell for israel. "but both sides know that continuing on the current path will bring huge pain and risks." (yu wen)