israel is going to take ruthless action against hezbollah by wielding its “three axes”?
2024-09-26
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this article is reproduced from [china news network];
the associated press reported on september 24 that israel's recent airstrikes on lebanon have caused more than 2,300 casualties. through foreign media reports, israel's combat thinking and tactics have gradually become clear, and the regional situation has become precarious as the war spreads.
01
use electronic warfare to disrupt the opponent first
unlike previous military operations against lebanon, the "first shot" fired by israel this time was neither a missile dropped from the sky nor a ground armored cluster, but seemingly harmless civilian communication equipment.
according to the abc website, explosions occurred in many places in lebanon and syria from september 17 to 18.
first, hundreds of imported pagers used by hezbollah for internal confidential communications exploded, and the next day, a batch of walkie-talkies were detonated.
according to the new york times, the israeli intelligence agency mossad planned for five months and infiltrated hezbollah's supply chain, transforming counterfeit communication equipment into time bombs containing explosives, and ultimately succeeded.
the associated press said that as of september 20, the explosion had caused more than 3,500 casualties, including hundreds of hezbollah members.
the israeli military's "iron dome" air defense system intercepted the incoming rocket. photo/screenshot from cnn
hezbollah claims to have 100,000 fighters, but only a few of its core members are equipped with pagers. because of this, the explosion severely damaged its vitality, and it has not been able to organize a strong counterattack until now.
according to al jazeera, in the early morning of september 23, from villages in southern lebanon to the capital beirut, many local residents received text messages or recorded calls from a mysterious number.
the content of the messages was similar, all claiming that the building where the recipient was located was identified as a "hezbollah stronghold" and warning them to leave as soon as possible. at the same time, lebanese radio stations were also hacked and began to transmit similar information.
some analysts pointed out that israel hopes to disrupt and weaken its opponents through this special electronic warfare in a multi-pronged manner and create favorable conditions for subsequent operations.
02
send out fighter planes to bomb fiercely
as expected, taking advantage of hezbollah's chaos, the intensity of israeli air strikes increased sharply starting from september 19.
the associated press said that in order to support hamas, hezbollah launched about 9,000 rockets, missiles and drones into northern israel, forcing nearly 70,000 people to evacuate. the netanyahu government has been widely criticized by the domestic people for this.
israel believes that the quickest way to eliminate the threat is to "shoot the horse first when shooting a person, and capture the leader first when capturing a thief."
in addition to creating a series of explosions in communication equipment, the israeli army also took advantage of its air superiority to focus on attacking three types of targets: senior hezbollah commanders, long-range weapons (ammunition depots) and launch devices.
villages in southern lebanon were hit by airstrikes. photo/screenshot from the associated press website
according to the new york times, since september 20, the israeli army has "targeted and eliminated" more than 10 important hezbollah commanders, including aqil, commander of the elite "radwan force", and kobeisi, commander of the missile force, further weakening the organization's command and decision-making system.
according to afp, on september 21 alone, the israeli army bombed about 400 hezbollah launchers.
after these devices were destroyed, although hezbollah had about 200,000 rockets and missiles, it no longer had guns to launch the missiles, and its combat effectiveness was bound to be compromised.
on september 23, the israeli army launched air strikes on about 1,600 hezbollah targets, destroying a large number of cruise missiles, rockets, drones and many civilian homes believed to be hiding munitions.
the associated press analysis found that the israeli air strikes covered a wide area, focusing on the southern part of lebanon controlled by hezbollah and covering a wide area from lebanon to syria. on september 24, the syrian port city of tartus, where the russian naval base is located, was also attacked by missiles.
03
whether to fight a ground war remains to be seen
the conflict between israel and lebanon is intensifying, and the outside world is speculating whether the israeli army will launch a large-scale ground offensive. combined with the israeli side's statement, it should be said that this possibility is relatively high.
according to a report by cnn on september 24, israel's permanent representative to the united nations, danon, said that the only way to end the conflict is for "hezbollah to leave the lebanese-israeli border."
the times of israel revealed that both defense minister galant and finance minister smotrich had declared that they would push the northern defense line to the south bank of the litani river to control this mother river of lebanon, which has strategic significance and huge resource value.
according to israel today, major general golding, commander of the israeli northern command, has been lobbying senior officials in recent days to send troops deep into southern lebanon to establish a "buffer zone."
golding believes that under the fierce israeli air strikes, hezbollah forces along the border have either been severely damaged or retreated, and 80% of the local civilians have also fled their homes. this is a good opportunity to launch a ground offensive.
despite the "hawks" repeatedly instigating an escalation of the war, the netanyahu government still has doubts.
israel's channel 13 news network stated that in the last century, the israeli army occupied southern lebanon for 22 years and established a so-called "safe zone", but failed to bring peace to the country and was forced to withdraw in 2000.
04
ending conflict: the person who tied the bell must be the one to untie it
the international community sees clearly the root cause of this round of conflict between lebanon and israel, and between palestine and israel. the abuse of force will only harm lives and intensify bloody conflicts.
due to concerns that the lebanon-israel conflict would slide into a full-scale war, on september 24, british prime minister starmer, russian president's press secretary peskov, pakistan's ministry of foreign affairs, and uae's ministry of foreign affairs all stated that the middle east was at risk of being dragged into a larger conflict and called on the international community to take urgent measures to ease regional tensions.
and what is the united states, which has a great influence on israel, doing?
the israeli ministry of defense said in late august that since the outbreak of a new round of israeli-palestinian conflict, the united states has shipped more than 50,000 tons of weapons and equipment to israel.
on september 23, the pentagon announced that it would send additional troops to the middle east and planned to deploy a dual aircraft carrier battle group.
it is clear at a glance whether the us move is aimed at stopping the war and promoting peace, or at supporting israel and adding fuel to the fire in the regional situation.
the new york times pointed out that israel succeeded tactically but failed strategically. not only did it fail to completely defeat hezbollah and hamas, but it also aroused the indignation and vigilance of many countries in the middle east, and may once again put itself in a security dilemma of being "attacked from all sides."
