news

한어Русский языкEnglishFrançaisIndonesianSanskrit日本語DeutschPortuguêsΕλληνικάespañolItalianoSuomalainenLatina

what will be the key to entering the era of superintelligence?

early this morning, openai ceo sam altman also rarely published a long blog post interpreting the era of intelligence.

altman believes that technological advances will enable future generations to accomplish things that previous generations thought impossible. ai will become a tool to solve difficult problems and help us build new support structures. it will be possible for everyone to have an ai team that can provide personalized guidance and creation.

technology brought humanity from the stone age to the agricultural age and then to the industrial age. from here, the road to the intelligent age is paved with computing, energy, and human will.

in his opinion, deep learning will be the key to entering the era of super intelligence. in this process, reducing computing costs and building infrastructure are crucial to popularizing ai.

regarding sam altman’s long blog post, netizens caught the key point at a glance: the deep learning route worked.

some netizens also lamented that the people who used to light up street lamps no longer exist with the development of electricity and automation technology. people should start looking forward and stop lingering on old things that are no longer suitable for modern society.

a little-known fact is that chatgpt has been released for nearly 663 days. "imagine getting a ph.d. before you are even two years old."

according to the information, openai's biggest competitor anthropic is negotiating a new round of financing with an estimated valuation of $30-40 billion.

facing the advent of the era of super intelligence, altman, the helmsman, is confident that openai will be the leader in the field of ai.

altman appeared at the recent t-mobile capital markets day event. in addition to the necessary business praise, he also talked about the development path of o1 and ai, and why openai is always so far ahead.

he said we are at the gpt-2 stage of this new type of reasoning model. in the next few years, we will see it gradually develop to the level of gpt-4.

i think the interesting thing about the new paradigm is that the progress curve is very steep. what the current model can't solve, you'll find it can solve in a few months, and in a few months after that, it will solve more problems.

if you want to succeed in the shadow of giants like openai, altman also gave his advice:

either you quickly follow or copy openai's approach and execute it well, or you maintain faith and focus to achieve breakthrough progress in a certain field.

attached is the original text of altman’s blog compiled by appso:

in the next few decades, we will be able to do things that would have seemed like magic to our grandparents. this phenomenon is not new, but it will accelerate.

human capabilities have increased dramatically over time; we are now able to accomplish things that our predecessors thought were impossible.

our increased abilities are not due to genetic changes, but because we benefit from a society whose infrastructure is smarter and more capable than any of us individually.

to a certain extent, society itself is a kind of advanced intelligence.

our grandparents and the generations before them built and achieved great things. they contributed to the supporting structure of human progress from which we all benefit.

ai will give people the tools to solve difficult problems, helping us add new support structures that we couldn’t imagine on our own. the story of progress will continue, and our children will be able to do things that we couldn’t do ourselves.

it won’t happen overnight, but we will soon be able to work with ai to do more things we couldn’t before; eventually, each of us will have a personal ai team with virtual experts in different fields working together to create almost anything we can imagine.

our children will have virtual tutors who can provide personalized instruction, in any subject, in any language, and at any pace they need. we can imagine similar ideas to improve healthcare, be able to create any software anyone can imagine, and so on.

with these new capabilities, we can achieve a level of shared prosperity that seems unimaginable today; a future in which everyone can live better than anyone lives today.

prosperity alone does not necessarily make people happy—there are many miserable wealthy people—but it does significantly improve the lives of people around the world.

to look at human history from a narrow perspective: over thousands of years of scientific and technological progress, we have found ways to melt sand, add some impurities, arrange them on extremely small scales with amazing precision, run electricity through them, and end up with systems that can create increasingly powerful artificial intelligence.

this may be the most important fact in all of history to date.it’s possible that we could achieve superintelligence in a few thousand days; it might take longer, but i’m confident we’ll get there.

how do we achieve the next leap in prosperity?

to sum it up in three words: deep learning worked.

to sum it up in fifteen words: deep learning works, and as the scale has increased, the predictive capabilities have gradually improved, and we have invested more and more resources.

that’s how humans discovered an algorithm that can actually learn the underlying rules of any distribution of data. as computing power and data increase, this algorithm becomes more and more accurate at helping people solve difficult problems. i find that no matter how much time i spend thinking about this, i still can’t fully understand its importance.

we still have a lot of details to work out, but it would be a mistake to get distracted by any particular challenge.

deep learning works, and we’ll figure out the rest. we can say a lot about what might happen next, but the main point is that ai will get better as it scales, which will bring important improvements to people’s lives around the world.

ai models will soon become autonomous personal assistants to better serve our lives, such as coordinating medical care. at some point in the future, ai systems will become so good that they will help us create better next-generation systems and drive scientific advancements in a variety of fields.

technology brought us from the stone age to the agricultural age and then to the industrial age. from here, the road to the coming intelligent age is paved with computing power, energy, and human will.。

if we want to put ai in the hands of as many people as possible, we need to make computing cheaper and more plentiful (which requires a lot of energy and chips). if we don’t build enough infrastructure, ai will become a very limited resource, potentially sparking wars, and become primarily a tool for the wealthy.

we need to act cautiously but firmly. the dawn of the intelligent era is a major development, with complex and high-stakes challenges.

it won’t be an entirely positive story, but the potential gains are so great that we owe it to ourselves and the future to find ways to deal with the risks ahead.

i believe the future will be so bright that no one can do it justice now; a defining feature of the intelligent age will be unprecedented prosperity.

even though it will be gradual, amazing victories—fixing the climate, establishing space colonies, and discovering all the laws of physics—will eventually become commonplace. with nearly unlimited intelligence and abundant energy—the ability to come up with great ideas, and the power to make them come true—we can do a lot.

as we’ve seen with other technologies, ai will also have some negative consequences, and we need to start working now to maximize the benefits and minimize the negatives.

for example, we expect this technology to cause major changes to the labor market in the coming years (both good and bad), but most jobs will change more slowly than people think, and i’m not worried that we’ll run out of things to do (even if they don’t seem like “real jobs” today).

people have a natural desire to create and help each other, and ai will allow us to augment our capabilities like never before. as a society, we will return to an ever-expanding world and refocus on participating in active play.

many of the jobs we do today would have seemed like a trivial waste of time hundreds of years ago, but no one looks back and wishes they had been a lamplighter.

if a lamplighter could see the world today, he would find the prosperity around him incredible. if we could fast forward a hundred years from today, the prosperity around us would also be incredible.