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will russia and ukraine negotiate next spring? russian senior official releases latest assessment

2024-09-21

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according to a report by cailianshe on september 21, alexi chepa, first deputy chairman of the international affairs committee of the russian state duma, recently stated that negotiations between russia and ukraine may begin in 2025.

"it is unlikely (to start the negotiation process) before the end of the year. there is a chance in the spring. the problem is that everything has been done to prevent the negotiations from taking place. i am referring to the kursk incident and other similar events," chepa noted, adding that vladimir zelensky himself does not believe in his so-called "victory plan."

ukrainian president zelensky (photo source: xinhua news agency)

it is reported that ukrainian president zelensky said in august that the ukrainian army's actions in the kursk region are one of the key points of ukraine's "victory plan". on september 20, zelensky said that ukraine has currently determined three points in the "victory plan" in order to conduct any form of dialogue with russia. the full content of the plan will be ready in early november. the plan will be the beginning and basis for any form of dialogue with any representative of russia. he emphasized that the "victory plan" will promote the achievement of results in diplomatic communication with russia.

zelensky also said that ukraine hopes to learn about us presidential candidate harris's views on ukraine's "victory plan." he also revealed that he might meet with us presidential candidate trump on the 26th or 27th of this month.

according to previous reports, igor zhovkova, deputy director of the ukrainian presidential office, once said that ukraine intends to submit a plan for peacefully resolving the russia-ukraine conflict to russia through countries that have "dialogue relations" with russia at the second "peace summit" on the ukrainian issue that is being planned. if russia is ready to discuss this plan, ukraine is willing to meet with russian representatives at the meeting.

russian president vladimir putin (source: reference news)

regarding the peace talks, russian president vladimir putin recently stated at the eastern economic forum that russia has never refused to negotiate on the ukrainian issue, but it was not based on "unreal demands."

russian security council secretary sergei shoigu said that there would be no negotiations with ukraine until the ukrainian troops were driven out of the territory of kursk oblast, russia.

in june this year, russia gave the preconditions for starting peace talks, namely, the ukrainian army completely withdraws from the four regions of donetsk, luhansk, kherson and zaporizhia, and announces that it will not join nato.

however, ukrainian president zelensky rejected the condition. the latest news shows that ukrainian president zelensky will visit the united states later this month. zelensky called on the united states not to delay providing military aid to ukraine in a video speech.

ukrainian military action footage (source: cctv news)

some analysts believe that the current prospects for russia and ukraine to achieve dialogue through indirect or direct means are not optimistic.

first, there is still a lack of basis and conditions for negotiations. for example, the two sides are now negotiating with very different plans. putin mentioned the agreement reached when the conflict first broke out, while ukraine insisted on the plan mentioned at the "peace summit".

second, even if they want to talk, it is difficult for the two sides to reach a consensus on their positions now. no one wants to compromise. both sides hope to gain a more favorable situation on the battlefield and increase bargaining chips for negotiations.

third, the negotiations are also affected by some other factors, especially the west's continued addition of fuel to the flames, which has a direct impact on whether the negotiations can be held and whether they can achieve results.

jimu news integrates cailianshe, cctv news, and international online

(source: jimu news)

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