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military | the us secretary of defense’s words are interesting. should ukraine attack or retreat?

2024-09-09

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text | xiaoyin


there are some words that i understand but also seem not to understand!

u.s. secretary of defense austin9moon6that's what was said at the u.s. air force base in the western german town of ramstein on the 14th.

8moon30on the 2nd, us secretary of defense austin (right) met with ukrainian defense minister umerov at the pentagon

he said that ukraine's use of us-made weapons to attack russia would not turn the tide of the war, but called on nato countries to continue to supply ukraine with the united states.


01




9moon6on the 2nd, the ukrainian defense liaison group meeting was held in ramstein.

unsurprisingly, ukrainian president volodymyr zelensky once again urged western allies to allow the ukrainian army to use the long-range weapons they provide to strike deep into russian territory.

anyway, whenever he has a meeting with the west, zelensky asks for weapons, weapons, and more weapons.

but the west’s attitude is not the same every time.

at the beginning of the russia-ukraine conflict, the position of the united states and nato was to provide ukraine with weapons suitable for ukraine's defense.

in fact, the united states has also drawn a red line for ukraine, requiring ukraine not to use weapons provided by the west to attack the russian mainland.

what the west was wary of at the time was that once the war spread to the russian mainland, russia could use nuclear weapons to retaliate according to some domestic laws.

russian deputy foreign minister sergei·ryabkov says russia ready to revise nuclear policy

in other words, the west is afraid that russia will blame the west and launch a nuclear strike against those who instigated the conflict in ukraine.

however, as the russia-ukraine conflict went on, even though the russian army was still expanding its victory in one village after another in eastern ukraine, the ukrainian army fought back and invaded the territory of kursk oblast in russia.

anyway, the result of crossing the red line seems to be just that.

anyway, russia is claiming to revise its nuclear policy again.

at this time, will the united states and the west follow suit and make a big bet?


02




obviously, austin will not urge ukraine to launch a deep attack against russia at the ukrainian defense liaison group meeting.

listen to what austin has to say.

at the press conference after the meeting, in response to questions, austin said:

even if ukraine uses weapons provided by the united states to launch long-range strikes against russia, it will not turn the tide of the war.

what this means is actually the basic attitude of the united states.

some media analysts believe that austin is at least superficiallydeclineukraine's request.

however, in xiaoyin's opinion, this is not the case.

8moon14on the 2nd, in kursk, russia, residents from the russian-ukrainian border area received supplies

since the united states continues to provide arms to ukraine, it actually acquiesces to the fact that ukraine has attacked russian territory.

as for the us claiming that ukraine cannot reverse the situation even if this is the case, it is nothing more than an attempt to clear itself of all charges.

in other words, they want to add fuel to the fire but don't want to take responsibility.

the united states, of course, continues to supply weapons to ukraine.

on the day of the meeting, austin announced that the united states would provide ukraine with2.5$1 billion in military support.

big brother america has made a new bet, so of course the younger brothers have to follow suit.

germany immediately pledged to provide ukraine with additional12self-propelled howitzer.

canada said it plans to send80840small unloaded air-to-ground rockets and1300warheads.

however, these supplies are actually very subtle.12although the howitzers are somewhat useful, the number is not large after all. and the warheads that canada promised to deliver are also consumables to maintain the state of conflict.

in general, everyone is waiting and watching.11who will win the white house in the us presidential election this month?

kamala·it's fine if harris is elected, and she may just complete the promised supply first. but if trump is elected, there may be major changes.

doesn't austin understand that his term as secretary of defense is almost up. if trump is elected, there is a 99% chance that he will not be able to continue to serve as secretary of defense. if harris is elected, it depends on whether he is in her eyes.

what's more, austin was troubled by prostate cancer, and his physical condition seemed unable to support him to continue to shoulder the military and national responsibilities.
from this perspective, what austin said in germany was nothing more than reciting a script.


03




zelensky also has new concerns.

ukraine's cabinet has just undergone major changes, such as kuleba's resignation as foreign minister.

ukraine's new foreign minister andriy·after sibega took office, the first thing he did was to call us secretary of state blinken to discuss military aid.

later, another media outlet revealed that sibega posted on social media again:ukraine's diplomatic priorities——from ambassador to embassy attaché——it is to ensure ukraine's defense capabilities. weapons, weapons, weapons.

ukraine's new foreign minister sibiga

xiaoyin couldn't help but ask, then what about the ukrainian ambassador to japan going to the yasukuni shrine to worship ghosts? does sibega not care?

i wonder what south korea, which previously provided a lot of military aid, especially artillery shells, to ukraine, would think?

of course, the fighting on the front line was intense, and arms were what ukraine needed urgently. naturally, someone rushed to send him artillery shells. but the foreign minister was not the defense minister.

ukrainian ambassador to japan kosensky9moon3visit yasukuni shrine to worship the ghosts

what sibega should be thinking about more is how to achieve peace and territorial integrity in ukraine.

if you only think about shells, shells, and shells, do you expect to capture moscow as soon as possible?

xiaoyin believes that the russia-ukraine conflict itself is a tragedy.

apart from the tragedy, we should also realize that since the conflict has lasted for more than two years, we should also think about the situation after the conflict.

ukraine and russia are both slavs. after all, at least they are neighbors with adjacent territories and will always run and walk together.

neighbors living together for a long time are bound to have disputes. it is not impossible to make peace after a fight.

what i fear most is being exploited by outsiders.

austin openly stated that he was not optimistic about ukraine's counterattack deep into russia's territory, but continued to provide arms. this does not seem to be a friendly attitude towards the people of russia, ukraine and even eastern europe.

who will continue to benefit if the regional situation remains tense? in short, it is not russia or ukraine!