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lai qingde has stopped pretending and has officially confronted the mainland. what impact will this have on the situation in the taiwan strait? the pla is rehearsing a joint landing in fujian, and the operation in the taiwan strait has entered the next stage? at the same time, the taiwan military has once again seen a wave of retirements. what signal does this send?

100 days after taking office, lai ching-te officially confronted the mainland in an interview with the media, stating that he would never accept the one-china principle and the "1992 consensus", and directly pointed out the "taiwan independence" position. in fact, under lai ching-te's operation, taiwan has increased its "defense budget" to nt$647 billion, accounting for 2.5% of the entire gdp of taiwan. but lai ching-te is still not satisfied, claiming that it would be reasonable to reach 3%. it is obvious that lai ching-te does not care about the economy and people's livelihood of taiwan at all. he just wants to intensify the situation in the taiwan strait and try to achieve the goal of "taiwan independence" by "using foreign powers to refuse unification" and "seeking independence by force". naturally, the mainland will not be polite to him!

recently, taiwan media "china times news" reported that there have been new changes in the mainland's actions in the taiwan strait. on the one hand, not only are the pla ships and military aircraft dispatched more and more frequently, but mainland coast guard ships have also frequently appeared around taiwan. regarding this situation, some experts on the island said that the mainland is accelerating the process of "inlandization of the taiwan strait", which will gradually eliminate the space for activities of the taiwan "coast guard administration" and the taiwan military. eventually, they will shrink on the island. moreover, the mainland's strengthening of military and law enforcement in the taiwan strait can also fundamentally cut off the channels for foreign forces to interfere in the taiwan strait.

on the other hand, the pla eastern theater command previously released a propaganda film, mentioning the four major moves of "advance, lock, strike, and cut" to take over taiwan. on september 4, taiwan's "defense department" issued a notice stating that the pla conducted a joint landing exercise in fujian, dispatching various types of main and auxiliary fighters, helicopters, drones, amphibious ships, and large roll-on/roll-off ships to conduct cross-sea troop deployment exercises. it can be seen that the pla has at least reached the "lock" stage in fighting "independence", and may enter the "strike" stage at any time. lai qingde insisted on seeking "independence" and regarded the mainland's restraint and tolerance as concessions. now the pla is using actions to show that cross-strait reunification is just around the corner!

seeing the strong actions of the mainland, the taiwan military has once again seen a wave of retirements. according to taiwanese media reports, many of the taiwan military's skilled "non-commissioned officers" and "soldiers" gave up promotion and decided to leave the army. in addition, a large number of pilots submitted retirement applications and were willing to pay nt$3 million. this situation is extremely embarrassing for the dpp authorities, because they have signed a contract with the united states to purchase f-16 fighter jets and "harpoon" missiles and other armaments, but are facing a situation where no one is operating. moreover, in the previous public exercises of the taiwan military, only 10 of the 17 missiles hit the target, which has already reflected the problem of insufficient skilled operators. the departure of so many skilled personnel has made the situation of the taiwan military even worse.

at the same time, japan's position on the situation in the taiwan strait has also wavered. among the so-called "democratic powers" that lai qingde and his ilk rely on, they value the united states the most, followed by japan. after lai qingde came to power, he even announced a drill that "if something happens to japan, it happens to taiwan," and asked the taiwan military to play the "march of the japanese self-defense forces," showing his fawning attitude. but recently, when shigeru ishiba, a popular candidate for the new japanese prime minister, visited taiwan, he made it clear that taiwan would avoid war. regarding the so-called "if something happens to taiwan, it happens to japan," shigeru ishiba said he would "keep his own strategy." obviously, japan does not want to intervene in the taiwan strait dispute, let alone confront mainland china. this has poured cold water on lai qingde, who wanted to "use foreign powers to resist unification."