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[text/observer network chen sijia] according to the canadian broadcasting corporation (cbc) on september 4, the new democratic party of canada announced on the same day the termination of the "supply and confidence agreement" signed with the liberal party led by prime minister trudeau. this agreement promised to support the liberal party in the parliamentary vote of confidence and ensure that the liberal minority government led by trudeau can continue to govern.

the move will weaken the control of the trudeau government and may lead to an early election in canada. the liberal government led by trudeau will not fall immediately, but they need to continue negotiations with the new democratic party or win the support of the opposition quebec group mps in parliament. if the liberal government fails to pass the confidence vote in parliament, they may be forced to resign.

new democratic party leader jagmeet singh issued a statement on the 4th saying: "trudeau has proved time and again that he will always succumb to corporate greed. the liberal party has let people down and does not deserve another chance from the canadian people... they can't bring change, restore hope, or stop the conservatives, but we can."

he accused the liberals of "not standing up to corporate interests" and failing to "fight for the middle class," which could lead to the passage of the conservatives' proposal to cut spending. "there is a bigger battle ahead, and that is the cuts pierre poliev and his conservatives are threatening to make. they will cut spending on workers, retirees, young people, the sick and families in order to fund big corporations and wealthy ceos."

singh declared that the next canadian election is "a battle for the middle class," that the ndp is ready for the election, and that he will run in the election to "stop the conservatives from cutting spending."

a spokesperson for the new democratic party told cbc that the plan to terminate the agreement had been brewing for two weeks, but the party did not inform the liberal government of the decision until an hour before the announcement. a canadian government source revealed that the prime minister's office was notified at 12:47 local time on the 4th, and singh issued a statement at 12:55.

the liberal party and the new democratic party signed a "supply and confidence agreement" in march 2022, in which the new democratic party promised to support the liberal party in a confidence vote in the canadian parliament in exchange for the liberal party's support for the new democratic party's legislative priorities. the agreement was originally scheduled to expire in june 2025, ensuring that the liberal minority government led by trudeau could continue to govern.

according to the cbc, the liberal party made concessions in dental care benefits and one-time rent subsidies for low-income tenants, but some of the liberal government's promises have not been fully fulfilled before the agreement ends. for example, the drug insurance plan has not been passed in the senate, and the long-term safe care bill has not been submitted.

regarding the decision made by the new democratic party, trudeau delivered a speech in newfoundland and labrador, canada, saying that the liberal government will focus on solving the affordability crisis and climate change. "these are the things we are concerned about, and i will let others focus on politics. i sincerely hope that the new democratic party will continue to focus on providing services to canadians, just as we have done in the past few years, rather than focusing on politics."

trudeau said he hopes the next election will not be called before next fall, giving the liberal government more time to advance drug coverage, dental care and school food programs.

the leader of the conservative party, the largest opposition party in the canadian parliament, poliev, called singh's statement "hype" and accused him of not indicating whether he would vote no confidence. he called on singh to support early elections, saying, "after singh made this statement, he will have to vote whether to let trudeau's costly government continue to govern."

cbc pointed out that the liberal party led by trudeau controls 154 of the 338 seats in the canadian house of commons. if they want to ensure the majority support of 169 seats, the liberal party needs to cooperate with the new democratic party with 24 seats or the quebec group with 32 seats. therefore, the decision of the new democratic party will make the liberal government "precarious."

the report said that the "supply and confidence agreement" allows the liberal government with only a minority of seats to govern like a majority government, but after the agreement ends, the liberal government may be overthrown by a vote of no confidence at any time. although the liberal government will not collapse immediately, if trudeau wants to continue to govern, he must win the support of at least one major opposition party.

under canada's parliamentary system, the prime minister and his government must have the confidence of a majority of mps to govern. the government can designate any vote as a vote of confidence. any bill related to the government budget is generally considered a vote of confidence. mps can also propose a motion of no confidence at any time.

in march this year, conservative party leader poliev proposed a motion of no confidence in an attempt to overthrow the trudeau government. the canadian parliament rejected the motion with 116 votes in favor and 204 votes against.

the new democratic party's statement has sparked speculation in canadian political circles about early elections. canada was originally scheduled to hold an election in october 2025, but cbc said that if a majority of mps oppose the liberal party or trudeau makes a request to the governor general of canada, then canada can hold an early election.

in recent years, canadian voters have been increasingly dissatisfied with high inflation and the housing affordability crisis, and the trudeau government has faced increasing doubts. the financial times pointed out that as soaring house prices and inflation have triggered a cost of living crisis, the liberal party's support rate has been declining for several consecutive months, and its support rate across canada has fallen behind the conservative party by 17 percentage points.

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