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taichung was affected, conspiracy theories arose! is there still hope for a "blue-white alliance" in 2028?

2024-08-29

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"if ko wen-je really decides to give up power, then the eight seats of the people's party will become the key."

the storm over the political donation accounts of taiwan people's party chairman ko wen-je has expanded. tsai bi-ru, a founding member of the party and an adviser to the taichung city government, was also recently questioned about falsifying campaign funds. the controversy over the political donations of the white camp has spread to taichung city, and conspiracy theories have arisen in the local political arena. some speculate that it is a fight within the people's party, while others believe that it is aimed at the blue and white camps in taichung, in order to undermine the blue and white unity in taichung.

the people's party has been in turmoil recently. following ko wen-je, tsai bi-ru was also reported for allegedly falsifying political donations in the 2024 people's representatives election, with more than 300 transportation expenses reported, totaling more than nt$1 million. tsai emphasized that everything was reported in accordance with regulations and was legal and compliant.

tsai bi-ru is involved in a political donation account scandal, which also implicates the taichung city government. because tsai is a paid consultant, she lost the 2024 people's representatives election and was recruited by taichung mayor lu shiu-yen, a member of the kuomintang, to join the government. she is currently the only paid consultant in the taichung city government, with a monthly salary of nt$120,000. whether tsai bi-ru's negative controversy will affect lu shiu-yen is worth observing.

the people's party's storm has spread to taichung city, causing speculation in the local political arena. according to tsai bi-ru, as early as three weeks before the incident broke out, she discovered on the internet that someone had maliciously spread the news that her campaign funds were fake, and then it jumped into the pages of weekly media.it feels like there are traces of deliberate manipulation

▲is it still possible for the lu-ke pair to succeed in 2028? photo: lu hsiu-yen (left) and ke wen-je (right)

party and government officials in taichung believe that if this was a deliberate operation, there are three possible purposes.

01

they are targeting tsai bi-ru personally, that is, fighting within the people's party

because tsai has recently actively commented on ko wen-je's political donation controversy and criticized the core circle of the party central committee, triggering a teapot storm, it is not ruled out that she has been targeted by opposing forces within the party and wants to bring tsai bi-ru down.

02

"multi-point strike" against the people's party

as a founding member of the people's party, tsai bi-ru is a benchmark figure in the party. currently, the controversy at the party headquarters continues, and ko wen-je is in trouble. there are voices within the party that are forcing him to step down. tsai bi-ru has been named as one of the successors to lead the party affairs. according to rumors in the political arena, the means to target ko wen-je is to take advantage of the situation to eliminate the people's party. therefore, they are targeting tsai bi-ru at the same time, hitting her in multiple places, and making the people's party "completely wiped out."

03

in order to destroy the "blue and white alliance" in taichung

after cai bi-ru lost the 2024 people's representatives election, she was recruited by lu shiu-yen to serve as an advisor to the government. this was interpreted as leaving room for future cooperation between the kuomintang and the people's party. lu shiu-yen is a popular candidate for the 2028 taiwan regional leader election. keeping someone who can communicate with the white camp around her is beneficial to her political development.as long as tsai bi-ru is caught up in a negative storm, lu shiu-yen will have to consider the pros and cons, and the relevant arrangements of the blue and white alliance may also change as a result.

whether the "blue-white alliance" can be re-established in 2028, especially whether the "lu-ke pairing" can be established, has also been hotly debated by all sectors of the island in recent days. former dpp legislator guo zhengliang analyzed in a local political talk show,if lu shiu-yen is interested in joining forces with the people's party to form a "blue and white alliance", she does not have to choose ko wen-je. she can wait until after the 2026 "nine-in-one" election to see who performs best before making a decision. "talented people will emerge in every country."

guo zhengliang said that the people's party needs to make sacrifices from top to bottom so that followers can have a sense of expectation.if ko wen-je really decides to give up power, then the 8 seats of the people's party will become the key.if they are willing to spend time and effort to help handle party affairs and develop candidates for the 2026 local elections on the island, the people's party will have a chance to survive the difficulties and have a chance to produce talents who can form a "blue and white alliance" in 2028.