what is zelensky's "victory plan"? what is the key to success? 丨 hotspot analysis
2024-08-28
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on august 27, zelensky said at a press conference that he would present a "victory plan" for ukraine to biden next month.
judging from media reports, zelensky’s “victory plan” mainly consists of four aspects.
1. actions on the battlefield.
zelensky said that ukraine's surprise attack on kursk oblast was part of this plan. in fact, the ukrainian army wanted to gain some initiative on the battlefield.
second, explain ukraine’s strategic position in the global security system.
this is what zelensky has always emphasized: ukraine's resistance to russia is not only for ukraine, but also for the security of europe and the west. therefore, the west should fully support ukraine.
3. diplomatic offensive.
zelensky said ukraine will launch a powerful diplomatic offensive around the world to force russia to the negotiating table.
in this regard, ukraine and the west organized a peace summit in switzerland in june, but russia was not invited to the meeting. then, it may be necessary to organize another peace summit and invite russia to participate.
the kyiv independent reported on the 28th that when modi visited ukraine two days ago, zelensky had communicated with him, hoping that india could host the second peace summit.
fourth, economic measures.
zelensky did not elaborate on this point, but it should be referring to the hope that the west will continue to provide economic assistance to ukraine while strengthening economic sanctions against russia.
zelensky said at the press conference that it was inconvenient to talk about the details of the plan. but through his brief explanation, people can also have a general understanding of this so-called "victory plan."
there are two points to note here.
first, zelensky’s “victory plan” is heavily dependent on the united states.
zelensky said that he will go to the united nations headquarters in new york to attend the united nations general assembly next month, and will meet with biden and inform biden of the plan in detail. at the same time, he will also tell harris and trump about the plan, that is, to let the next us president know ukraine's ideas.
zelensky particularly emphasized that whether this "victory plan" can be realized depends mainly on the united states. in other words, whether the united states can provide sufficient economic support and military assistance, and whether the united states can relax restrictions on ukraine's use of western-aid weapons is very important to this plan.
or in other words, among the four aspects of the "victory plan", being able to take the initiative on the battlefield is the most important.
second, it should be noted that the four aspects mentioned by zelensky are actually nothing new when viewed separately. in the past two years or so, zelensky has mentioned or emphasized these contents on various occasions.
this time, zelensky combined these elements and explained them in a more systematic way so that the outside world could have a better understanding.
zelensky said that in the eyes of many people, this "victory plan" may be "ambitious", that is, difficult to achieve, but it is very important for ukraine.
in fact, it can be seen that zelensky proposed this plan at this time. although it is comprehensive, it is more of a call for the west, especially the united states, to fully support ukraine in military, economic and diplomatic terms.
but it seems very difficult to realize this plan at the moment.
text丨qian kejin, international commentator of yangcheng evening news
