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Whether Lu Shiu-yen can make a wiser choice next will be the focus of continued attention from the outside world.

Whether Taichung Mayor Lu Shiuyan intends to run for the 2028 election and whether she should strive for the party leader next year has recently caused heated discussions on the island. In particular, her frequent trips to other counties and cities during holidays have been interpreted as a duck paddling. Hong Kong media commented that looking at the overall election situation of the blue camp, if Lu Shiuyan really wants to run for the presidency, she must think about how to avoid falling into the dilemma of Hou Youyi in 2024.

Hou Youyi faced high support in the polls during his term as mayor in the 2024 general election, but his ratings started high and ended low after he entered the campaign. The general analysis in the political circles was that this was because Hou wanted to copy the city government's non-stick attitude at the beginning and move the "hao zuo dai zhi (doing things well)" approach used in the mayoral campaign to the "general election", but when he got into the deep water, it proved to be ineffective.

Comparing Lu Shiuyan's current situation with that of Hou Youyi who had not yet participated in the "general election", what we should think about more is how to avoid repeating Hou's mistakes.

The first issue facing Lu is whether she should compete with the current chairman, Eric Chu, for the party leader election next year. Many people are currently analyzing that Lu should be cautious and avoid taking on the highest political position in the party. In addition to not having to worry about the huge annual expenses of the entire party, she can also avoid the political responsibility for the success or failure of the 2026 county and city mayoral elections. Most importantly, if she takes on the position of party leader, Lu cannot just talk about municipal affairs, which may affect her current high support.

But another way of thinking is that if Lu Shiuyan maintains the above-mentioned way of thinking, she may really fall into the situation of Hou Youyi back then. However, if she regards the competition for the party leader as a training exercise for the fight for the top spot and accepts the comprehensive test and challenge of the Green Camp one step earlier, 2028 may usher in an upgraded Lu Shiuyan.

The biggest difference between Lu Hsiu-yen and Hou You-yi is that Lu has been elected all the way from councillor to legislator to mayor, and she has never lost an election, which shows that she is good at election campaigning. In addition, she has always focused on building relationships with people within the KMT and likes to help people in need, which are all advantages. Therefore, whether she can make a wiser choice in her next step will be the focus of continuous attention from the outside world.