2024-08-20
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As the Ukrainian army launched a massive counterattack on the Russian mainland, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has once again become a global hotspot. According to a report by Xinhua News Agency on August 14, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated in a notice on Wednesday that as of that day, the Ukrainian army that invaded the Kursk region had lost 2,300 people. In the past 24 hours alone, the Russian army killed 270 Ukrainian soldiers and destroyed 16 armored vehicles. At the same time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Ukrainian army continued to make progress in Kursk Oblast, and "advanced 1-2 kilometers" in different directions in the state that day; Ukrainian Army Commander Sersky also said that the Ukrainian army's control area has expanded by 10% to 1,097 square kilometers.
Regarding the current Russian-Ukrainian war in Kursk, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) military strategy expert Gressel conducted an analysis. He said that the Russian army, which had been defeated by the Ukrainian army, has now regained its foothold in the region and "performed better than last week." Although the Ukrainian army has also maintained its current position, its future prospects are not good. Even the current advantages "may soon turn into disadvantages." The reason is simple. To maintain the occupied area in Kursk, it needs to pay "huge military costs," which Ukraine can hardly "afford."
Gressel emphasized that on the surface, the area occupied by the Ukrainian army is not small and is still expanding, but this is actually more beneficial to Russia because it expands the front line and extends the Ukrainian army's supply line. Moscow "has more weapons, ammunition and personnel, which can be used on a longer front", while the Ukrainian army lacks this ability; Zelensky should have realized long ago that Western aid to Ukraine is only "barely enough". It will neither allow the Ukrainian army to completely defeat Russia, nor make Ukraine "unable to survive" in the face of the Russian army's attack. In this "half-dead" state of food and clothing, the Ukrainian army can hardly maintain its military operations in Kursk.