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Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko revealed that Belarus has deployed nearly one-third of its troops to the southern border because Ukraine has stationed 120,000 troops there. What is Ukraine doing? The northern border is peaceful, but the battlefield in eastern Ukraine is tense. Why is Ukraine deploying so many active forces on the northern border? Is a major war about to happen?

Lukashenko suddenly said: Ukrainian troops deployed heavy troops on the border, Belarus also sent heavy troops to respond

According to Reuters, Belarus, as a Russian ally, expressed its position against the backdrop of the Ukrainian army's surprise attack on Kursk. On August 18, Lukashenko said: Seeing their action policy of attacking the Russian mainland, "we introduced our troops along the entire border and deployed our troops in certain locations in case of war."

At the same time, Lukashenko also said: Kiev has now deployed 120,000 troops on the border near Belarus, which makes Ukraine very uneasy, so Minsk has deployed nearly one-third of its troops in the southern border area near Ukraine.

However, Lukashenko did not specify how many troops they deployed on the southern border. According to the 2022 Military Balance Report released by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Belarus' professional army is mainly composed of 48,000 soldiers and about 12,000 national border guards. A total of 60,000, if calculated as one-third, that is 20,000.

If it is true as Lukashenko said that Ukraine has deployed 120,000 troops on the northern border, 120,000 versus 20,000, which is a completely disproportionate comparison. The troops deployed by Belarus are only a fraction of those deployed by Ukraine. It can even be said that the troops deployed by Ukraine are twice the total professional army of Belarus.

However, the key to the problem is not the comparison of numbers, but the number of troops deployed by the Ukrainian army on the northern border. If it is true that Lukashenko said that Kiev has deployed 120,000 people, this is incredible.

The situation on the battlefield in eastern Ukraine is currently very tense. The Ukrainian troops on the front line are very tired after months of continuous fighting. They have been waiting for the reserve troops in the rear to take over their defense line, but the Ukrainian army's surprise attack on Kursk disappointed them. In their view, the Ukrainian army is sending the troops that were supposed to replace them to a new battlefield.

The situation in the eastern battlefield of the Ukrainian army is tense, but Kiev still deployed 120,000 troops in the north, which is very strange

The situation on the Donbas battlefield is now very unfavorable to the Ukrainian army. The troops and artillery shells are very tight. The Russian offensive has not been suspended. Instead, it has taken advantage of the current fatigue of the Ukrainian army to accelerate its westward advance and is currently approaching the Red Army City. The situation on the front line is so tense, and the Ukrainian army has deployed 120,000 troops on the northern border. This is really incredible.

The northern border area close to Belarus actually mainly refers to the area around Kiev. Ukraine has indeed deployed a certain number of troops here for a long time, but it is not clear whether it is 120,000 troops.

It is not difficult to understand why the Ukrainian army deployed heavy troops around Kiev, especially in the northern border area, because they have suffered losses. When the Russian-Ukrainian conflict just broke out, the Russian army used Belarus to attack Kiev directly from the south, which made Ukraine feel very nervous. They did not expect Russia to use Belarus, and Kiev is very close to the Belarusian border. Soon, the Russian army that used Belarus to pass through the city was at the gates of Kiev. Later, the Ukrainian army won the Battle of Kiev. When the Russian army withdrew from the vicinity of Kiev, Ukraine immediately built a solid line of defense in this area, including the deployment of dense minefields and anti-tank trenches. At the same time, a certain number of troops were indeed deployed here to prevent the Russian army from suddenly using Belarus to attack Kiev again. In Ukraine's view, after such a battle, he and Belarus have also formed a feud. If the Russian army wants to use Belarus again in the future, Belarus may not be as convenient as before.

Ukraine suffered a loss once. When the conflict broke out, the Russian army attacked Kiev through Belarus.

However, if Ukraine really deploys 120,000 troops here, it would be an unusual signal given the tense situation on the battlefield in eastern Ukraine. 120,000 troops, this number has exceeded the scale of defense, and it is the scale of attack and raid. No wonder Belarus is worried. Lukashenko said: They have laid "unprecedented" mines along the southern border, and if the Ukrainian army tries to cross the border, it will suffer huge losses. But the key question is, does Ukraine really have such a crazy idea?