Is the US' announcement of increasing military deployment in the Middle East a wrong choice amid tense situation? Expert analysis
2024-08-11
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The leader of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) Political Bureau, Haniyeh, was killed in an attack in Tehran, the capital of Iran, causing continued tension in the region. At this point, the US Department of Defense announced the dispatch of more fighter jets and warships, and the commander of the US Central Command visited the Middle East.Is the United States adding fuel to the fire in the name of deterrence?Where will the situation in the Middle East go? Let's take a look at the interpretation of special commentator Su Xiaohui.
The US is aware that the risk of conflict expansion has increased significantly
Special commentator Su Xiaohui:From some recent actions of the United States, we can see its deep anxiety.The United States also realizes that the current development of events is different from the past, and the risk of the conflict expanding has clearly increased.In April this year, the situation in the Middle East changed when Israel attacked Iranian diplomatic institutions in Syria, killing an Iranian military adviser. Iran pointed the finger at the United States, believing that the United States was a supporter of Israel and therefore the United States was responsible.
Special commentator Su Xiaohui:After Haniyeh was killed in the attack, Iran's reaction was even more intense. Although the United States has repeatedly denied its involvement in the incident, Iran's investigation results have determined that the United States was aware of and agreed to the attack launched by Israel. The further bond between the United States and Israel is that the United States poses a greater threat and harm to Iran. Based on the judgment of Iran,The United States believes that Iran's retaliatory actions may be expanded and escalated,at the same timeIt may target the US military presence in the Middle East, so the United States feels pressure from the military aspect. On the other hand, the United States believes that if Iran's retaliatory actions escalate and a large-scale attack is launched against targets in Israel, the targets of the attack will not only involve military targets, but also other important targets.If Israel retaliates fiercely at this time, the situation in the Middle East may get out of control, and the United States will eventually be dragged into it., involved in the war.
The US tried to respond through various means, but it backfired
Special commentator Su Xiaohui:Therefore, based on the above judgment and the current anxiety in the United States,The United States has tried to respond in a variety of ways, but apparently the United StatesChoosing the wrong pathOn the one hand, the United States relies more on its own military strength, believing that exerting military pressure and deploying troops in the Middle East to deter Iran may force Iran to compromise; on the other hand, the United States hopes that regional countries, such as Jordan, can cooperate with the United States and Israel in intercepting Iranian attacks. But now the United States is doingIt did not solve the problems and contradictions fundamentally, but instead added fuel to the fire.
Contradictions continue to accumulate and the risk of conflict expansion may increase
Special commentator Su Xiaohui:Even though we seeAll parties do not want a full-scale regional war or conflict.Jordan has also taken some actions, including the visit of Jordan's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Affairs to Iran to communicate with Iran, emphasize the risks of the development of the situation, and hope that Iran can adjust its response measures and retaliatory actions. But it is clear that in the Middle East, with the Palestinian-Israeli conflict still continuing, conflicts are still accumulating.If the US does not adjust its Middle East policy, still relying on this absolute military advantage and cooperation with regional allies to achieve the goal of regional dominance. This strategic layoutThis will inevitably lead to further accumulation of contradictions.It is difficult to fundamentally eliminate the risk of conflict escalation.
(Source: CCTV News Client)
