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Psychological warfare or just a lot of concerns? Why has Iran not taken action yet after vowing to retaliate against Israel?

2024-08-11

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The world is watching closely to see when and how Iran will retaliate against Israel.

According to CCTV News, CCTV reporters learned on August 10 local time that Shamkhani, the political adviser to Iran's supreme leader, said that Israel's only purpose in killing Haniyeh was to seek war and undermine the ceasefire agreement in Gaza. He said that Iran has been prepared to severely punish Israel through legal, diplomatic and media procedures.

Earlier, according to a report by Cankaoxiaoxi.com on August 9, citing CNN, Iran is considering canceling its plan to retaliate against Israel in exchange for a ceasefire in Gaza.

The report analyzed that Iran threatened Israel immediately after the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. If it wants to retract its threats, Iran needs to save diplomatic face: a ceasefire in Gaza will enable Tehran to claim that it cares more about the lives of Palestinians in the Gaza Strip than revenge, which meets the needs. But for Iran, the reward must be large enough because it is related to its honor and deterrence.

Regarding the delay in taking action, a spokesman for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran said on August 6 that Iran has not yet taken military action, but is instead waging psychological warfare against Israel. At the same time, military institutions in many parts of Iran have recently launched military exercises.

Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said the postponement of announced retaliatory strikes against Israel was also "part of the punishment."