2024-08-11
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The situation between Russia and Ukraine is in turmoil again. According to CCTV News, on August 9 local time, the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations announced that Kursk Oblast has entered a federal state of emergency and a federal response mechanism has been established in Kursk Oblast.
Three days ago, Ukraine unexpectedly used armored forces to attack the weakly defended Kursk region. It is reported that this is the first time that Ukrainian ground forces have launched a preemptive attack on the Russian mainland since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict two years ago. So far, Ukraine has not responded to the situation in Kursk.
Russia said it had blocked the Ukrainian army's advance on the front line of Kursk Oblast and shot down 75 Ukrainian drones. At the same time, Russia also said that the Ukrainian army used American weapons when attacking Kursk Oblast. In addition, CCTV News said that Russia had spotted Ukrainian F-16 fighter jets over Kakhovka in the Kherson region for the first time. In response, a Pentagon spokesman did not respond directly, but only said that the United States supports Ukraine's efforts to defend itself from attacks.
Regarding the purpose of the Ukrainian army's raid, Zhang Hong, a researcher at the Institute of Russian, East European and Central Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Daily Economic News that the Ukrainian army's unexpected action was aimed at relieving the pressure on the front battlefield. Xin Hua, director of the China European Society and deputy secretary-general of the Shanghai European Society, believes that the United States and Europe are currently in the process of leadership change, and Ukraine may intend to show its willingness and strength to the new leadership of the United States and Europe who have not yet come on stage, and strive for more support and assistance.
The raid has brought uncertainty to the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Both experts said that the possibility of peace talks is low. Xin Hua even said that the time for peace talks may have to wait until after autumn this year.
"The Ukrainian armed forces' attack on Kursk Oblast was another 'massive provocation'," Russian President Vladimir Putin described Ukraine's sudden attack on Russia.
According to the Kremlin website, Russian Chief of General Staff Gerasimov reported to Putin via video that at 5:30 a.m. on the 6th, about 1,000 Ukrainian armed forces launched an attack on Kursk Oblast, aiming to seize the Sudja District of the state. 315 Ukrainian soldiers who attempted to enter Kursk Oblast were killed or injured, including at least 100 killed, and the Russian army destroyed 54 Ukrainian armored vehicles, including 7 tanks.
It is reported that,This is the first time that Ukrainian ground forces have launched a preemptive attack on Russian soil since the Russia-Ukraine conflict two years ago.
The Russian Ministry of Defense said it had blocked the Ukrainian army's advance on the front line of Kursk Oblast. From the evening of the 8th to the early morning of the 9th local time, the Russian air defense system intercepted and shot down 75 Ukrainian drones in many places.
Image source: Meijing Mapping
Regarding the Ukrainian army's attack on Russia's Kursk region, Russian Ambassador to the United States Antonov said that the Ukrainian army used American weapons when attacking Kursk region. According to CCTV News, Russia spotted the Ukrainian F-16 fighter jets over Kakhovka in the Kherson region for the first time.
A Pentagon spokesman did not directly respond to whether the Ukrainian army used U.S.-made weapons, but only said that they were in contact with the Ukrainian military about the operation to understand their goals in attacking Kursk Oblast, and said that the United States supports Ukraine's efforts to defend itself from attacks.
UN Secretary-General's Deputy Spokesperson Haq said all these emergencies are increasing the risk of escalation of conflict and the UN hopes to ease the current situation.
As of now, Ukraine has not responded to the situation in Kursk.
Regarding the purpose of Ukraine's sudden invasion of Russia, Reference News quoted the BBC report:Some military experts have also raised questions, because one of Ukraine's biggest problems on the battlefield is manpower. Therefore, sending Ukrainian soldiers into Russia itself is counterintuitive in the eyes of some people.
Zhang Hong pointed out in an interview with the Daily Economic News reporter that "from the perspective of the situation between Russia and Ukraine, the war in eastern Ukraine is in a stalemate, and Ukraine is in a passive defensive state, and is in an unfavorable environment of being eroded in the war of attrition and tug-of-war. This time, the Ukrainian army chose to 'avoid the real and attack the fake'.Taking this unexpected military action will alleviate the pressure on the front battlefield to a certain extent."He believes that from a tactical perspective, the Ukrainian army's actions did have a certain effect.
In this regard, Xin Hua, director of the China European Society and deputy secretary-general of the Shanghai European Society, pointed out to reporters that Ukraine chose to launch the attack at this time also because it saw the changes in the international situation.
He further analyzed that at present, the change of political leadership in the United States and the European Union has entered a very critical period, and both the United States and Europe are in the midst of a new round of construction of the political ecology and political power structure.Ukraine's offensive at this time may demonstrate its willingness and strength to the new US and European leadership who have not yet come on stage, attract and shape the new US and European leadership's understanding of the prospects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, enable them to form a judgment favorable to Ukraine, and thus enable Ukraine to continue to obtain support and assistance from the West.
Ukraine's surprise attack on Russia also added a hint of uncertainty to the peace talks between the two sides.
Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu said on August 6 that Kiev did not respond to the conditions put forward by Russian President Vladimir Putin in June this year to resolve the Ukrainian conflict. Shoigu also said that the Russian army is still continuing to successfully achieve the goals of special military operations.
Putin said at the time that once Ukraine withdrew its troops from Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions and announced that it would not join NATO, Russia would immediately announce a ceasefire and start negotiations. In response, Ukrainian President Zelensky recently reiterated his position of promoting the "peace plan", demanding that Russia withdraw from all territories claimed by Ukraine and restore Ukraine's borders after independence in 1991.
Regarding the peace talks, Xin Hua told reporters: "The current Russian-Ukrainian conflict has not yet reached the stage of substantive negotiations. Neither side has experienced severe global turmoil. The stalemate will continue. The local expansion and contraction of the battle line has not changed the overall situation of the war."
"Obviously, Russia's current 'top priority' is to resolve security issues and stabilize its position. We have seen that the Russian army has stepped up its bombing of the Sumy Oblast in Ukraine in the past two days, intending to cut off the Ukrainian army's logistics supply line in Kursk and disrupt the speed of the Ukrainian army's offensive on the front line of Kursk Oblast in Russia," Zhang Hong pointed out. Now it seems thatPeace talks do not seem to be the "first choice" for either side.
Xin Hua also said that at present, the possibility of peace talks between the two sides is not great.The time for peace talks may have to wait until after autumn this year.
Daily Economic News
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