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Data·Mingcha|The number of marriage registrations hit a new low in the first half of the year. Are Chinese people really not getting married anymore?

2024-08-09

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As the Chinese Valentine's Day is approaching, Civil Affairs Bureaus in many places are "working overtime for love", but the number of Chinese people entering into marriage may be decreasing.

Recently, the Ministry of Civil Affairs released the "Civil Affairs Statistics for the Second Quarter of 2024", which showed that in the first half of this year, 3.43 million couples registered for marriage and 1.274 million couples registered for divorce. Among them, the number of marriage registrations in the first half of this year was only about half of the 6.94 million couples in the same period of 2014, setting a new low in the past decade.

According to data from previous years, except for the impact of the epidemic in 2020, the number of marriage registrations in the first half of the year has generally been higher than in the second half of the year in the past decade. Based on this, population scholar He Yafu estimated that the number of marriage registrations in 2024 will be about 6.6 million, which will be the lowest since 1980.

Part of the reason for this phenomenon is that the number of people of marriageable age is gradually decreasing. From 2014 to 2022, the population aged 20-40 has decreased by 55.099 million. Among the existing population of marriageable age, there is a serious gender squeeze with more men than women - in 2021, there are 17.52 million more men aged 20-40 than women of marriageable age, with a sex ratio of 108.9.