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Two days ago, we talked about Zelensky receivingF-16 fighter, which may change the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front. Now, with Ukraine receiving billions of dollars in new financial support from the United States, they sent a 300-man team to launch a ground offensive against Kursk Oblast in Russia. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, this is the largest ground attack by Ukraine on Russia since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Zelensky wants to appear as tough as possible before the negotiations.If possible, provoke a larger-scale conflict so that Western allies will not dare to "abandon" themselves.

Zelensky says peace will be possible by the end of the year

We all know that Zelensky's idea is unlikely to become a reality. Western allies are not stupid. They can give money but not their lives. But it is not impossible. The opportunity lies in the batch of F-16 fighter jets that Ukraine received. According to reports from various media,The Ukrainian army received a total of 10 fighter jets, of which 8 can be used normally and 2 are used to dismantle spare parts for repair.

The Ukrainian reception ceremony was held at an airport about 40 kilometers west of Kiev, but the Ukrainian Air Force only displayed two missile-carrying aircraft on site.F-16So the question is, where are the remaining 8 F-16s? Where are these fighters usually deployed?

Considering that the Russian army has the ability to unilaterally strike all of Ukraine since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it is indeed impossible for the Ukrainian army to announce the actual deployment location of the F-16, but from the Ukrainian side,NATOThe Russian army targeted and eliminated the soldiers as soon as they arrived at the front line.It seems that they cannot find a so-called "top secret location" where they can hide these fighter planes and prevent the Russian army from obtaining intelligence.

Such a big plane is not easy to hide.

Moreover, the F-16 is a deadly weapon that has extremely high requirements for airport takeoff and landing conditions. If the F-16 is to be destroyed by the Russian army before it is put into actual combat, there is only one possibility left: deploying it at airports in NATO neighboring countries such as Romania or Poland. Some analysts believe that although the F-16 is a single-engine medium-sized fighter, deploying it abroad may result in it being unable to effectively cover Ukrainian airspace, but at least it can ensure the safety of the fighter itself.Normally they are kept in the hangars of NATO countries. In wartime, as soon as Zelensky receives a message, the plane will take off immediately.

If this is done, the F-16 may not be able to fly over the front lines such as the four eastern provinces of Ukraine and Kharkiv, but at least Volyn Province and Kiev Province can be guaranteed. This is also in line with what the Ukrainian Air Force spokesman said before, that the F-16 fighter jets will only be used as air defense weapons in the early stage.

I can only hide abroad.

But there is still a huge risk. Russian President Vladimir Putin once clearly warned that if F-16 fighters take off from third-country airports and carry out combat missions, these airports will become legitimate targets for Russian military strikes. Based on this, it is doubtful whether the Ukrainian army will use these F-16 fighters to trigger a full-scale conflict between NATO and Russia.

Some friends may say, "Well, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has lasted for more than two years. Putin has drawn countless red lines for Ukraine, but they have all been trampled under the feet of Zelensky and the United States and the West." This is true, but if Zelensky is bolder and lets F-16 fighters take off from Polish airports and bomb the Russian mainland, causing large-scale civilian casualties, will Putin still be able to hold back and not launch missiles to attack Polish airports?If Poland is attacked, whether NATO will activate the "common defense mechanism" will be a huge test for the United States.

Putin: You try to see if I dare to bomb you

Therefore, the United States and the West sending F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine and deploying them at airports in NATO countries is a gamble with Putin himself.They are betting that Putin is a good person and will not allow the risk of conflict to spill over, so that Zelensky can get what he wants and a more advantageous position at the negotiation table. As for whether Putin will do what the United States and the West want, I estimate that the answer will be revealed soon.